Unfinished-Carload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

17.7%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$321

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-23 01:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

54% 25% $-0

Politics

22% 33% $-0

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$-0	06-01 01:28
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No		-1	$-1	96¢	$-1	$-0	07-21 09:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-01 01:15
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 01:32
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-17 01:58
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 01:21
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 03:13
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-02 01:29
Human moon landing in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 00:58
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 01:30
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-30 01:33
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 01:42
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be less than 70	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 05:58
us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-10 01:21
bitcoin above 66k on april 21	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 01:01
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 01:27
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 01:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 02:25
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 00:58
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 00:55
hood up or down on february 19 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-19 06:07
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	07-21 09:30
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 00:49
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-14 01:25
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:19
military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 03:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-27 01:15
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 03:10
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:13
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 04:33
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-11 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 01:31:34	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xadc776…
07-23 01:23:49	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa695c3…
07-22 01:33:57	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x323738…
07-22 01:17:52	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xea63ea…
07-21 09:30:00	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x872e04…
07-20 01:28:40	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4542e5…
07-20 01:05:15	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51b20f…
07-18 01:39:07	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x543793…
07-18 01:20:57	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70514f…
07-17 09:19:54	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe8fd8b…
07-17 09:04:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94e93f…
07-16 00:59:17	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x18e61f…
07-16 00:41:01	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7928d7…
07-15 01:18:32	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2bc97b…
07-15 01:08:23	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x41554d…
07-13 00:58:32	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf66e1d…
07-13 00:42:05	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc962d2…
07-11 07:30:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x672622…
07-11 07:16:47	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f3ea1…
07-10 00:41:59	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa8f45e…
07-10 00:29:46	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3eedb5…
07-09 09:03:50	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd6548b…
07-09 08:52:25	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x43c1bd…
07-08 00:48:05	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x58f7c7…
07-08 00:37:13	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xebb73b…
07-07 09:40:59	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfb600a…
07-07 09:24:17	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8613a8…
07-06 00:58:17	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5a73ee…
07-06 00:47:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe1b4d7…
07-04 00:42:34	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeca200…
07-04 00:32:19	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x66e349…
07-03 01:47:41	Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb9ec4…
07-03 01:32:38	Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93910a…
07-02 01:26:22	will polymarket mindshare hit 70 by december 31 20260630144203054	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa31eb3…
07-02 01:24:34	laso finance fdv above 1m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6851e0…
07-02 01:10:52	will polymarket mindshare hit 70 by december 31 20260630144203054	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4fc799…
07-02 01:01:23	laso finance fdv above 1m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x023441…
07-01 00:52:01	Will UBS fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa944fc…
07-01 00:45:49	Will UBS fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x201d79…
06-30 07:15:40	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4b7b07…
06-30 07:15:11	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb64451…
06-30 07:00:28	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc8ebdb…
06-30 06:54:50	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x47d36b…
06-29 01:01:50	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc155a1…
06-29 01:01:26	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7ec081…
06-29 00:45:02	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c9d75…
06-29 00:42:31	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x42d23a…
06-27 01:15:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xffd465…
06-27 01:04:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb17ea…
06-26 09:32:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7cadd8…
06-26 09:32:31	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf1f7d6…
06-26 09:23:10	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78f0f3…
06-26 09:19:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa120c6…
06-25 01:48:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x35d81a…
06-25 00:58:08	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3b4805…
06-24 03:09:41	will trump say border 7 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746752	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa3035b…
06-24 03:09:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x313437…
06-24 02:59:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x986ece…
06-24 02:49:58	will trump say border 7 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746752	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa71e15…
06-23 01:30:53	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf2a9d8…
06-23 01:13:19	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x605d90…
06-22 07:56:11	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x821047…
06-22 07:44:04	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d53fe…
06-21 01:37:02	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf6069a…
06-21 01:19:11	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb0aabb…
06-18 01:29:16	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1771df…
06-18 01:27:59	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6056b8…
06-18 01:15:02	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x68eb0c…
06-18 01:03:07	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x496c84…
06-16 01:42:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c48c9…
06-16 01:23:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x974766…
06-15 01:14:10	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0c01d…
06-13 01:16:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5d844e…
06-12 01:16:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcf1f0b…
06-12 01:16:12	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x28f716…
06-12 01:05:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3a4192…
06-12 00:54:55	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xadaeca…
06-11 01:25:10	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x62966f…
06-11 01:10:51	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d4b59…
06-10 01:21:36	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9a7309…
06-10 01:21:07	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x73174f…
06-10 01:05:34	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7943ed…
06-10 00:59:58	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca6e75…
06-09 01:18:31	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7555b…
06-09 01:12:25	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49140b…
06-08 01:08:36	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x020e5e…
06-08 01:08:16	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x00e4bc…
06-08 00:46:57	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x687e84…
06-08 00:44:49	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e677b…
06-06 01:41:33	will relay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x76bc4c…
06-06 01:20:52	will relay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x222b79…
06-05 01:25:25	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4b28a1…
06-05 01:25:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x38de9c…
06-05 01:06:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e0b20…
06-05 00:59:36	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x52c95e…
06-04 02:52:16	Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4c8459…
06-04 02:48:43	Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ae185…
06-02 00:36:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9784db…
06-01 02:03:04	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x709d54…
06-01 01:37:41	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x496b19…