Warm-Vane 0x7d5898…54cfcc
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$121
Hit rate
16.3%
Resolved
24
Trades
3,571
lifetime
Volume
$532.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$6.48K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 06-09 16:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
61% 40% $-485
Other
34% 25% $-146
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
1% 0% $-1,032
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +3,700 $2,819 84¢ $3.1K +$270 06-09 16:11
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +700 $511 98¢ $684 +$173 05-28 08:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +3,000 $480 18¢ $525 +$45 06-07 17:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +636 $350 66¢ $417 +$67 06-09 09:05
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +326 $198 100¢ $325 +$127 06-07 20:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +1,413 $502 22¢ $318 $-184 06-07 18:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +21,946 $398 1¢ $208 $-189 06-09 07:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +1,559 $430 12¢ $187 $-243 06-07 19:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +708 $444 24¢ $170 $-274 06-08 02:39
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +600 $138 25¢ $150 +$12 06-08 11:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +353 $120 40¢ $139 +$19 06-09 09:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +800 $99 12¢ $94 $-5 06-08 11:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -500 $-125 16¢ $-82 +$42 06-01 07:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +278 $50 20¢ $57 +$7 06-09 09:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +588 $20 5¢ $31 +$11 06-09 09:05