Realized P&L
-$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.17K
Hit rate
16.3%
Resolved
24
Trades
5,068
lifetime
Volume
$604.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$3.77K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 07-21 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
60% 40% $-485
Other
34% 25% $-146
Crypto
3%
Sports
2% 0% $-1,032
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -10,620 $-882 29¢ $-3027 $-2,145 06-14 22:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +700 $335 46¢ $326 $-10 07-19 17:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +6,816 $266 $160 $-106 07-10 18:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +154 $102 99¢ $152 +$50 06-28 04:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +400 $60 26¢ $104 +$44 06-11 20:28