Warm-Vane 0x7d5898…54cfcc
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$616
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
14
lifetime
Volume
$4.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$297
Open exposure
$4.73K
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
99% — —
Other
1% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,333 $1,000 80¢ $1.1K +$60 05-06 08:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? No +1,080 $949 87¢ $940 $-9 05-06 15:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +5,836 $300 15¢ $870 +$570 05-06 02:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -4,093 $-819 20¢ $-839 $-20 05-06 11:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes -13,001 $-550 4¢ $-507 +$43 05-06 18:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +234 $200 85¢ $199 $-1 05-06 15:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +267 $200 72¢ $191 $-9 05-06 15:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +1,036 $60 4¢ $45 $-15 05-06 08:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-40 4¢ $-42 $-2 05-06 14:17
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes -38 $-37 96¢ $-36 +$1 05-06 04:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +5 $4 79¢ $4 +$0 05-06 15:37