Realized P&L
+$5.79K
Unrealized P&L
-$490
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
1,688
Trades
8,977
lifetime
Volume
$833.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$3.75K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 10-27 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 236 days
Categories
Politics
51% 53% +$2,220
Other
39% 42% -$5,524
Sports
6% 42% +$2,483
Crypto
3% 58% +$5,727
Tech
1% 65% +$884
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,161 -$2,175 84¢ $-2640 -$464 09-18 18:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +440 $238 53¢ $233 -$4 09-10 03:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +381 $238 56¢ $212 -$26 09-09 04:44
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287 No +253 $126 66¢ $169 +$43 09-19 04:14
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +833 $150 18¢ $146 -$4 10-20 21:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +862 $184 16¢ $134 -$51 09-17 10:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +200 $118 55¢ $110 -$8 07-31 11:39
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +100 $40 85¢ $85 +$44 07-24 00:40
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +143 $60 16¢ $22 -$38 09-22 22:55
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 No +5 -$16 48¢ $2 +$18 08-30 21:29