Warm-Vane 0x7d5898…54cfcc
new
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Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$664
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
14
15 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$4.17K
$4.17K lifetime
Avg / trade
$278
Open exposure
$4.76K
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 19:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
99% — —
Other
1% 0% $-2
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,333 $1,000 80¢ $1.1K +$60 05-06 08:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? No +1,080 $949 88¢ $956 +$7 05-06 15:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +5,836 $300 15¢ $896 +$596 05-06 02:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -4,093 $-819 20¢ $-839 $-20 05-06 11:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes -13,001 $-550 4¢ $-494 +$56 05-06 18:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +234 $200 85¢ $198 $-2 05-06 15:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +267 $200 70¢ $185 $-15 05-06 15:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-40 4¢ $-42 $-2 05-06 14:17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +1,036 $60 4¢ $40 $-20 05-06 08:56
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes -38 $-37 95¢ $-36 +$1 05-06 04:18
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? Yes -35 $-10 18¢ $-6 +$3 05-06 19:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 05-06 15:37