Grounded-Depression 0x35bbba…22009b
whale hot
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$266.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$24.7K
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
836
Trades
59,036
lifetime
Volume
$48.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$826
Open exposure
$371.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-31 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 238 days
Categories
Politics
67% 73% +$181,532
Other
31% 69% +$76,840
Crypto
1% 78% +$7,967
Sports
1% 58% +$121
Tech
0% 100% +$214
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 779 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +65,631 $47,852 88¢ $58.1K +$10,232 10-26 20:14
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +48,144 $44,003 92¢ $44.5K +$530 10-29 19:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +27,413 $26,508 100¢ $27.3K +$768 10-29 17:29
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +26,999 $23,062 86¢ $23.2K +$157 10-13 12:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25,000 $10,876 83¢ $20.8K +$9,874 10-12 16:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +28,108 $21,899 70¢ $19.8K -$2,083 10-29 14:43
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +20,000 $13,386 88¢ $17.7K +$4,314 10-11 05:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +16,706 $15,103 94¢ $15.6K +$517 10-10 13:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +15,000 $11,994 98¢ $14.8K +$2,781 10-27 10:41
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +15,000 $14,103 92¢ $13.8K -$341 10-17 06:41
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +13,075 $8,225 86¢ $11.2K +$3,019 10-20 19:27
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +15,000 $10,921 68¢ $10.1K -$796 10-26 23:55
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +55,837 $20,398 16¢ $9.2K -$11,185 10-11 04:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +28,108 $6,465 28¢ $7.7K +$1,265 10-29 22:05
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10,444 $6,430 70¢ $7.3K +$881 10-20 18:58
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +7,676 $6,001 90¢ $6.9K +$869 10-21 08:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6,670 $4,192 98¢ $6.5K +$2,345 10-24 19:08
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +23,000 $4,565 28¢ $6.3K +$1,760 10-15 15:10
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,705 $5,368 100¢ $5.7K +$329 10-28 00:17
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes — +5,554 $5,010 95¢ $5.3K +$277 10-31 18:11
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +5,209 $3,615 99¢ $5.2K +$1,565 10-29 21:02
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +7,422 $5,761 68¢ $5.0K -$751 10-29 19:26
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +5,112 $4,852 97¢ $5.0K +$105 10-29 17:32
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +15,000 $4,058 32¢ $4.9K +$817 10-27 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +25,775 $9,732 17¢ $4.4K -$5,350 10-12 16:25
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +4,513 $4,150 92¢ $4.2K +$25 10-26 20:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,202 $2,869 72¢ $3.0K +$135 10-24 12:49
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +25,000 $1,229 12¢ $2.9K +$1,646 10-13 18:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +2,787 $1,963 100¢ $2.8K +$824 10-25 15:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +21,111 $2,237 12¢ $2.4K +$191 10-20 19:17