Grounded-Depression 0x35bbba…22009b
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$18.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.64K
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
13
Trades
37,458
lifetime
Volume
$32.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$865
Open exposure
$157.7K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-30 12:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
77% 56% $-21,246
Other
22% 75% +$2,670
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +48,461 $47,589 100¢ $48.4K +$823 06-22 16:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +23,001 $23,115 100¢ $23.0K $-138 06-23 03:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25,004 $21,052 86¢ $21.6K +$576 06-21 02:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +16,000 $15,904 100¢ $16.0K +$80 06-25 14:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +13,403 $11,739 100¢ $13.3K +$1,604 06-26 21:25
New pandemic in 2026? No -11,429 $-10,286 90¢ $-10344 $-57 06-20 17:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +7,368 $7,217 100¢ $7.3K +$122 06-23 13:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -6,578 $-6,249 100¢ $-6568 $-319 05-29 15:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +8,031 $2,773 64¢ $5.2K +$2,407 06-26 17:47
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +2,640 $2,618 100¢ $2.6K +$16 06-25 19:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -2,645 $-2,037 88¢ $-2314 $-278 05-29 15:21
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +532 $482 96¢ $508 +$26 06-06 04:00
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +250 $218 87¢ $218 +$0 06-27 14:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +775 $299 14¢ $105 $-194 06-11 12:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -13,964 $-705 0¢ $-63 +$643 06-17 15:36
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? No -21 $-17 70¢ $-15 +$3 06-12 09:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +74 $75 20¢ $14 $-61 05-29 15:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +15 $12 86¢ $13 +$0 06-24 12:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -948 $-180 0¢ $-4 +$176 05-29 08:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -769 $-200 0¢ $-2 +$198 05-30 04:09
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +0 $-343 100¢ $0 +$343 06-22 20:07
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +5 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-22 18:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $-2,667 100¢ $0 +$2,667 06-19 21:02