Realized P&L
+$200
Unrealized P&L
-$50
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,657
lifetime
Volume
$165.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$2.05K
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-07 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
77% 62% +$281
Other
15% 33% $-81
Crypto
6%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -848 $-741 86¢ $-733 +$7 06-17 05:48
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -408 $-386 94¢ $-385 +$1 06-22 14:05
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -178 $-166 94¢ $-168 $-2 07-02 14:43
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -173 $-167 96¢ $-166 +$1 06-06 09:02
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +677 $179 24¢ $162 $-16 07-03 02:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +377 $164 40¢ $151 $-13 06-29 08:32
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +88 $80 95¢ $84 +$4 06-05 04:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -49 $-6 77¢ $-38 $-32 06-17 18:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +48 $36 78¢ $37 +$1 06-16 16:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -142 $-41 26¢ $-36 +$5 06-21 11:49
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -37 $-36 97¢ $-36 $-0 06-17 13:23
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -26 $-25 100¢ $-26 $-1 05-29 22:48
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +10 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-06 22:51
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +69 $12 10¢ $7 $-6 06-15 18:46
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-8 32¢ $-6 +$2 05-29 04:11
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +29 $5 18¢ $5 +$0 07-07 16:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $-0 23¢ $0 +$0 06-20 08:29