Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
11
lifetime
Volume
$937
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$670
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
58%
Other
42%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -1,323 $-211 16¢ $-218 $-7 05-05 23:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -239 $-109 45¢ $-107 +$1 05-06 00:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +158 $73 64¢ $102 +$29 05-04 20:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +439 $87 18¢ $79 $-9 05-05 23:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes +2,737 $77 $78 +$1 05-05 22:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No -79 $-65 94¢ $-74 $-9 05-05 15:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -221 $-22 $-11 +$12 05-05 23:00