Realized P&L
-$2.27K
Unrealized P&L
-$923
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
381
Trades
3,713
lifetime
Volume
$223.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$8.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 11-11 21:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Politics
75% 53% -$2,183
Other
18% 47% -$1,746
Crypto
6% 41% +$1,070
Sports
1% 79% +$625
Tech
0% 64% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5,834 -$4,682 92¢ $-5397 -$715 10-29 17:45
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -646 -$620 98¢ $-636 -$16 10-29 17:31
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -312 -$296 100¢ $-311 -$15 08-14 10:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -264 -$252 99¢ $-262 -$10 06-06 09:02
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +260 $174 72¢ $188 +$15 10-29 19:01
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +153 $148 99¢ $151 +$3 10-29 17:46
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -114 -$109 98¢ $-111 -$2 10-29 17:44
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No +93 $87 96¢ $90 +$2 10-29 17:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -800 -$105 10¢ $-82 +$23 10-10 20:35
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +157 $73 48¢ $76 +$3 11-07 10:13
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +80 $73 95¢ $76 +$3 08-20 18:48
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +819 $121 8¢ $70 -$51 11-11 21:01
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +68 $64 99¢ $67 +$3 10-29 17:54
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +74 $63 84¢ $62 -$1 11-10 20:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? No +200 $56 30¢ $59 +$3 09-25 15:21
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +510 $131 12¢ $59 -$73 10-20 11:32
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +56 $29 90¢ $50 +$21 10-04 05:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -53 -$36 92¢ $-49 -$13 07-15 18:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +719 $73 6¢ $47 -$26 11-10 10:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +188 $87 24¢ $46 -$41 10-30 21:28
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +418 $65 11¢ $46 -$19 11-10 22:52
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -43 -$41 99¢ $-42 -$2 10-29 17:30
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 2027 No +43 $38 93¢ $40 +$1 10-29 17:46
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +113 $50 34¢ $39 -$11 10-29 17:46
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +40 $37 94¢ $38 +$1 10-29 17:46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +544 $82 6¢ $35 -$46 10-29 17:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +47 $2 68¢ $32 +$30 11-10 20:07
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +96 $40 32¢ $31 -$9 10-29 17:46
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $25 72¢ $30 +$4 11-10 22:52
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +31 $14 94¢ $29 +$15 05-09 05:42