Realized P&L
-$2.27K
Unrealized P&L
-$908
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
381
Trades
3,713
lifetime
Volume
$223.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$8.27K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 11-11 21:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Politics
75%
53%
-$2,183
Other
18%
47%
-$1,746
Crypto
6%
41%
+$1,070
Sports
1%
79%
+$625
Tech
0%
64%
-$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk
• peak 55 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 128 | $21.0K | 10,523 | 16,358 | -5,834 | open | — | 10-29 17:45 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 166 | $15.4K | 22,935 | 22,935 | +0 | No | -$72 | 05-31 01:46 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 83 | $9.9K | 17,973 | 17,973 | +0 | No | -$948 | 05-31 16:58 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 73 | $7.6K | 16,001 | 16,001 | +0 | No | -$633 | 04-30 21:10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 74 | $7.5K | 6,843 | 7,253 | -409 | Yes | +$177 | 06-16 03:31 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 52 | $6.7K | 8,720 | 6,638 | +2,082 | Yes | +$1,149 | 04-27 18:05 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 80 | $5.2K | 8,514 | 8,466 | +48 | Yes | +$124 | 06-17 15:54 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 62 | $5.1K | 5,297 | 5,297 | +0 | No | +$37 | 04-30 03:12 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 69 | $4.5K | 10,599 | 9,642 | +957 | No | -$621 | 04-22 05:24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 83 | $4.4K | 7,257 | 7,790 | -533 | No | +$191 | 06-30 20:27 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 63 | $4.1K | 4,790 | 4,790 | +0 | No | +$674 | 06-01 21:36 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 63 | $4.1K | 11,712 | 11,712 | +0 | No | -$1,161 | 04-28 19:49 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 28 | $3.2K | 2,556 | 2,556 | +0 | Yes | -$13 | 04-16 19:47 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 31 | $3.0K | 494 | 2,669 | -2,175 | No | -$94 | 06-13 20:24 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 25 | $2.7K | 1,959 | 1,531 | +428 | Yes | +$202 | 04-21 18:04 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | 8 | $2.6K | 1,363 | 1,363 | +0 | Yes | -$6 | 04-13 19:44 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 36 | $2.5K | 9,960 | 8,102 | +1,858 | Yes | +$336 | 04-22 15:20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 52 | $2.1K | 8,044 | 8,044 | +0 | No | +$40 | 05-10 18:45 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | 5 | $2.1K | 1,177 | 1,171 | +6 | No | +$44 | 04-23 14:56 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | 14 | $2.0K | 3,204 | 3,204 | +0 | Yes | -$31 | 05-01 21:36 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 18 | $2.0K | 1,729 | 1,729 | +0 | No | +$31 | 05-07 20:49 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 20 | $1.9K | 1,001 | 1,001 | +0 | No | +$32 | 04-16 19:57 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 27 | $1.9K | 1,041 | 1,041 | +0 | open | — | 05-20 12:04 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 16 | $1.9K | 18,872 | 2,872 | +16,000 | Yes | -$227 | 05-09 18:40 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | 11 | $1.9K | 1,109 | 1,105 | +3 | Yes | -$79 | 04-29 23:36 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 22 | $1.8K | 1,377 | 1,377 | +0 | No | -$20 | 05-20 07:57 |
| will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30 | 36 | $1.7K | 1,322 | 1,322 | +0 | Yes | +$28 | 06-18 18:22 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 22 | $1.7K | 1,266 | 1,217 | +49 | Yes | +$362 | 06-01 12:01 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 5 | $1.6K | 2,530 | 2,530 | +0 | Yes | +$289 | 05-08 18:08 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 26 | $1.6K | 868 | 868 | +0 | Yes | +$49 | 04-17 20:48 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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