Realized P&L
+$435
Unrealized P&L
+$685
Hit rate
95.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,418
lifetime
Volume
$415.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$4.29K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
79% 75% +$580
Other
21% 50% $-197
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$52
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +1,322 $1,214 99¢ $1.3K +$94 06-11 10:18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +679 $176 99¢ $674 +$498 06-29 20:20
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +516 $466 99¢ $511 +$45 06-06 03:20
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +467 $439 96¢ $450 +$11 06-10 09:57
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +315 $304 100¢ $313 +$10 06-10 12:41
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +260 $253 100¢ $259 +$6 06-02 01:14
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -272 $-228 87¢ $-236 $-8 06-10 10:27
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -208 $-282 100¢ $-208 +$74 06-22 14:38
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No -178 $-165 91¢ $-162 +$3 06-23 06:24
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No -88 $-80 95¢ $-84 $-4 05-29 21:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -100 $-72 74¢ $-74 $-2 06-02 01:25
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No +50 $12 16¢ $8 $-4 06-05 20:14
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,333 $30 $3 $-27 06-17 12:48
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +100 $14 $0 $-14 06-01 13:32
Another Canada election called by June 30? Yes -77 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-10 10:13
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -66 $-4 $-0 +$3 06-03 00:09