Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41d1…071c98
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$250
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
714
Trades
4,338
lifetime
Volume
$578.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$11.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 03:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Politics
78% 53% +$8,492
Other
21% 62% -$42
Sports
0% 50% -$802
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$52
Crypto
0% 80% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,436 $2,322 96¢ $2.3K +$24 10-11 17:51
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2,566 $1,125 80¢ $2.1K +$927 10-21 00:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,132 $2,202 26¢ $1.9K -$312 10-15 00:53
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,531 $936 34¢ $848 -$89 10-19 23:25
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +730 $664 90¢ $661 -$4 10-26 15:15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,674 $615 34¢ $561 -$54 10-21 23:17
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,147 $345 32¢ $373 +$28 10-15 16:32
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No -375 -$348 88¢ $-332 +$16 10-27 03:08
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +500 $300 58¢ $292 -$8 10-19 11:31
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +382 $261 72¢ $275 +$14 10-19 02:52
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +300 $256 90¢ $270 +$14 10-25 08:30
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +282 $200 87¢ $246 +$46 09-29 17:51
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +238 $230 98¢ $232 +$2 10-18 13:02
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +225 $200 89¢ $200 +$0 10-22 21:49
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +241 $200 80¢ $194 -$6 10-26 19:45
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +235 $200 79¢ $186 -$14 10-18 03:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +161 $92 62¢ $101 +$9 10-25 19:06
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,067 $320 8¢ $91 -$230 10-09 00:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +418 $100 18¢ $76 -$24 08-07 02:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -100 -$72 74¢ $-74 -$1 06-02 01:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,017 $67 7¢ $67 $0 10-25 14:15
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +323 $131 18¢ $60 -$72 10-11 11:28
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,046 $52 6¢ $59 +$6 10-23 15:47
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $36 96¢ $39 +$3 06-01 13:52
will steve witkoff attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2 No +46 $30 72¢ $33 +$3 10-15 07:35
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +94 $30 17¢ $16 -$14 10-11 21:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? No +396 $15 2¢ $10 -$5 10-26 19:49
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,000 $10 0¢ $8 -$2 10-18 07:47
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? Yes +233 $10 3¢ $7 -$3 10-25 17:12
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +479 $10 1¢ $6 -$4 10-18 01:40