Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41d1…071c98
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$435
Unrealized P&L
+$911
Hit rate
95.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,121
lifetime
Volume
$380.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$8.01K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 01:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
78% 75% +$580
Other
21% 50% $-197
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$52
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +2,093 $2,005 98¢ $2.1K +$51 06-04 08:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +2,195 $1,485 64¢ $1.4K $-91 06-07 21:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +884 $834 97¢ $859 +$25 06-07 20:13
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +741 $378 100¢ $740 +$362 06-05 15:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +500 $470 94¢ $472 +$2 06-04 19:03
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +516 $466 91¢ $470 +$3 06-06 03:20
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +511 $-3 76¢ $385 +$388 06-09 23:14
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +1,165 $199 28¢ $320 +$121 06-09 03:09
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +272 $217 100¢ $272 +$55 06-04 22:00
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +260 $253 99¢ $257 +$4 06-02 01:14
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +200 $182 87¢ $174 $-8 06-09 09:16
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +569 $131 29¢ $162 +$32 06-07 19:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +500 $180 30¢ $152 $-28 06-05 15:37
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No -88 $-80 95¢ $-84 $-4 05-29 21:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -100 $-72 73¢ $-73 $-1 06-02 01:25
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +42 $40 98¢ $41 +$1 06-07 13:57
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No +35 $25 92¢ $32 +$7 06-01 06:26
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-27 89¢ $-27 +$0 06-09 00:59
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +67 $19 34¢ $22 +$4 06-01 14:37
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No +50 $12 18¢ $9 $-3 06-05 20:14
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +100 $14 4¢ $4 $-10 06-01 13:32
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -66 $-4 4¢ $-3 +$1 06-03 00:09