Realized P&L
-$4.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$476
Hit rate
20.4%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,891
lifetime
Volume
$426.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$9.46K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 07-01 06:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
67% 0% $-3,364
Other
29% 64% $-843
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +4,647 $1,041 36¢ $1.6K +$609 06-27 14:25
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +2,319 $1,600 67¢ $1.6K $-46 06-26 10:00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -1,665 $-1,149 74¢ $-1240 $-92 06-04 18:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,100 $-990 90¢ $-995 $-5 06-29 17:00
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -869 $-621 84¢ $-725 $-104 06-07 20:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -882 $-643 74¢ $-657 $-13 06-03 14:22
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No -646 $-620 100¢ $-644 $-24 05-28 20:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,122 $579 56¢ $634 +$55 06-28 13:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +555 $226 57¢ $316 +$90 06-29 23:36
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -302 $-284 94¢ $-285 $-2 05-30 14:11
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -282 $-253 90¢ $-255 $-1 06-30 23:35
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +208 $193 100¢ $208 +$15 06-01 10:34
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No -209 $-155 74¢ $-155 $-0 06-28 12:42
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -118 $-102 91¢ $-108 $-6 05-28 14:25
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -50 $-36 69¢ $-34 +$2 06-29 07:00