Realized P&L
-$4.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$475
Hit rate
20.4%
Resolved
13
Trades
3,294
lifetime
Volume
$490.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$11.0K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 07-21 23:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
68% 0% $-3,364
Other
28% 64% $-843
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,858 $5,555 72¢ $4.9K $-652 07-14 11:19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -1,665 $-1,149 78¢ $-1307 $-158 06-04 18:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,200 $-1,113 90¢ $-1074 +$39 07-14 14:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +777 $699 90¢ $695 $-4 07-06 15:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -882 $-643 78¢ $-692 $-48 06-03 14:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -869 $-621 74¢ $-638 $-17 06-07 20:15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +824 $302 70¢ $581 +$279 07-11 17:04
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -302 $-284 95¢ $-287 $-3 05-30 14:11
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -282 $-253 97¢ $-273 $-20 06-30 23:35
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -222 $-160 81¢ $-180 $-20 07-02 08:12
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No -209 $-155 82¢ $-173 $-18 06-28 12:42
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +160 $-62 80¢ $129 +$191 07-20 02:31
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -118 $-102 90¢ $-107 $-5 05-28 14:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-911 46¢ $0 +$911 07-20 22:31