Realized P&L
-$1.55K
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
39.3%
Resolved
133
Trades
94,715
lifetime
Volume
$2.43M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$815
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
74% 35% $-1,264
Sports
12% 0% $-205
Politics
9% 0% $-13
Crypto
5% 50% $-70
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1392 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +220 $147 86¢ $188 +$42 05-31 02:58
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -164 $-156 97¢ $-158 $-3 06-02 11:45
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? Yes +300 $48 24¢ $72 +$24 06-17 05:59
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +63 $86 99¢ $63 $-23 06-10 07:42
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +156 $62 40¢ $62 $-0 06-29 08:34
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? Yes +300 $66 16¢ $46 $-20 06-17 01:36
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +299 $45 15¢ $43 $-1 06-14 02:06
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? Yes +264 $77 13¢ $34 $-42 06-23 15:56
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +300 $54 11¢ $33 $-21 06-24 14:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +34 $1 91¢ $31 +$30 06-10 15:51
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? Yes +227 $33 12¢ $28 $-5 06-18 00:02
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -161 $-68 $-14 +$54 06-15 16:20
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -15 $-12 78¢ $-12 $-0 06-30 08:02
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +133 $52 $10 $-42 06-19 10:43
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +149 $6 $5 $-1 06-15 21:28
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +29 $-9 15¢ $4 +$14 06-16 17:18
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? Yes -10 $-5 32¢ $-3 +$2 06-16 19:56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +419 $57 $2 $-54 06-27 09:01
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -7 $-2 26¢ $-2 +$0 06-30 04:42
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +300 $7 $1 $-6 06-08 16:41
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? Yes -8 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-17 14:37
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? Yes +49 $13 $0 $-13 06-29 20:30
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-27 100¢ $0 +$27 06-24 16:47
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? Yes +105 $-5 $0 +$5 06-22 18:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $-6 14¢ $0 +$6 06-11 17:34