Realized P&L
-$1.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$172
Hit rate
39.3%
Resolved
133
Trades
96,886
lifetime
Volume
$2.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$808
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
75% 35% $-1,264
Sports
11% 0% $-205
Politics
8% 0% $-13
Crypto
5% 50% $-70
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 720 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +220 $147 86¢ $188 +$42 05-31 02:58
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +300 $135 53¢ $159 +$24 07-20 15:55
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $212 30¢ $88 $-124 07-06 11:40
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +156 $62 52¢ $80 +$18 06-29 08:34
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -52 $-47 98¢ $-51 $-4 07-07 00:28
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? Yes +264 $77 15¢ $40 $-37 06-23 15:56
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? Yes +300 $66 12¢ $38 $-28 06-17 01:36
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +299 $45 12¢ $34 $-10 06-14 02:06
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +34 $1 92¢ $31 +$30 06-10 15:51
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? Yes +227 $33 12¢ $26 $-7 06-18 00:02
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? Yes +300 $48 $17 $-32 06-17 05:59
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -161 $-68 $-14 +$55 06-15 16:20
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -15 $-12 82¢ $-12 $-1 06-30 08:02
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +133 $52 $10 $-42 06-19 10:43
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +29 $-9 15¢ $4 +$14 06-16 17:18
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +149 $6 $4 $-3 06-15 21:28
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? No +5 $3 77¢ $4 +$1 07-05 08:30
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -7 $-368 47¢ $-3 +$365 07-20 15:57
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? Yes -10 $-5 23¢ $-2 +$3 06-16 19:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? Yes -8 $-3 12¢ $-1 +$2 06-17 14:37
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1 $66 70¢ $1 $-65 07-06 11:40
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $29 60¢ $0 $-29 07-05 01:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $0 26¢ $0 +$0 07-15 20:50
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 07-06 11:43
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-08 23:17