Realized P&L
+$8.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved
7,665
Trades
132,172
lifetime
Volume
$3.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$3.27K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 287 days
Categories
Other
76% 38% +$8,108
Sports
12% 41% -$8,283
Politics
8% 42% +$5,515
Crypto
4% 38% +$2,018
Tech
1% 40% +$1,711
Pop-Culture
0% 12% -$213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 491 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -1,249 -$513 40¢ $-493 +$19 10-24 09:11
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -1,102 -$295 34¢ $-380 -$86 08-27 03:02
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +290 $256 95¢ $276 +$20 09-03 00:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +734 $280 34¢ $253 -$26 10-26 15:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +445 $242 56¢ $251 +$9 10-26 21:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +408 $277 62¢ $251 -$26 10-26 21:23
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +257 $249 97¢ $250 +$1 10-26 03:41
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +446 $267 36¢ $158 -$109 10-09 13:08
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -215 -$116 73¢ $-156 -$40 10-26 22:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +210 $153 70¢ $148 -$5 10-25 22:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,199 $230 12¢ $138 -$92 10-25 16:54
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +362 $23 27¢ $99 +$76 10-26 22:22
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +211 $117 44¢ $92 -$25 10-25 02:32
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +299 $72 18¢ $55 -$16 10-11 18:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +1,199 $187 4¢ $54 -$133 10-26 15:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +87 $38 44¢ $38 +$0 10-25 22:54
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +74 $20 45¢ $34 +$14 10-23 07:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +66 $20 30¢ $19 -$1 10-23 22:21
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -385 -$198 5¢ $-18 +$179 10-07 18:09
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +63 $12 26¢ $17 +$4 10-25 15:21
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -289 -$70 5¢ $-15 +$56 10-26 21:59
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +238 $82 5¢ $12 -$70 08-07 01:48
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -391 -$23 3¢ $-12 +$12 10-10 12:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? No +1,103 $101 1¢ $11 -$90 10-26 09:04
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -491 -$21 2¢ $-11 +$10 05-05 02:36
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $30 12¢ $8 -$22 10-25 14:29
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -7 -$368 84¢ $-6 +$362 07-20 15:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +203 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 09-24 07:38
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +149 $6 3¢ $5 -$2 06-15 21:28
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +31 -$26 14¢ $4 +$30 10-23 23:34