Realized P&L (7d)
-$83
Unrealized P&L
-$67
Hit rate
55.6%
Resolved (7d)
38
Trades (7d)
818
132,455 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$22.7K
$3.31M lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 00:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 288 days
Categories
Other
75% 38% +$8,238
Sports
12% 41% -$8,283
Politics
8% 42% +$5,416
Crypto
4% 38% +$2,018
Tech
1% 40% +$1,711
Pop-Culture
0% 12% -$213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 491 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -1,102 -$295 39¢ $-430 -$135 08-27 03:02
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -1,019 -$418 40¢ $-408 +$10 10-28 00:32
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +290 $256 94¢ $271 +$16 09-03 00:39
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +453 $270 43¢ $195 -$75 10-27 19:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +650 $244 28¢ $179 -$65 10-28 01:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +299 $145 50¢ $151 +$6 10-28 01:01
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +211 $117 48¢ $100 -$17 10-25 02:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,199 $230 6¢ $66 -$164 10-25 16:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +96 $39 58¢ $56 +$17 10-28 01:01
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +299 $72 18¢ $55 -$16 10-11 18:42
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Spurs +43 -$49 89¢ $38 +$87 10-28 01:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +87 $38 42¢ $36 -$2 10-25 22:54
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +74 $20 48¢ $35 +$16 10-23 07:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -385 -$198 7¢ $-28 +$170 10-07 18:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +1,093 $173 2¢ $22 -$151 10-28 00:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +66 $20 26¢ $17 -$3 10-23 22:21
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -391 -$23 3¢ $-12 +$11 10-10 12:05
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +63 $12 19¢ $12 -$1 10-25 15:21
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +238 $82 5¢ $12 -$70 08-07 01:48
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -491 -$21 2¢ $-10 +$11 05-05 02:36
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Kings +76 $16 11¢ $8 -$8 10-28 01:06
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $30 11¢ $7 -$22 10-25 14:29
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -7 -$368 85¢ $-6 +$362 07-20 15:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +203 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 09-24 07:38
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +149 $6 3¢ $5 -$2 06-15 21:28
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +51 $6 6¢ $3 -$3 09-06 00:48
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +149 $145 2¢ $3 -$142 10-20 00:04
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +31 -$26 11¢ $3 +$29 10-23 23:34
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 No +3 -$6 81¢ $3 +$8 08-12 12:07
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +2 -$69 93¢ $1 +$71 06-10 15:51