Realized P&L (90d)
+$329
Unrealized P&L
-$79
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved (90d)
1,203
Trades (90d)
14,840
132,181 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$284.2K
$3.30M lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 22:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 288 days
Categories
Other
76% 38% +$8,376
Sports
12% 41% -$8,283
Politics
8% 42% +$5,515
Crypto
4% 38% +$2,018
Tech
1% 40% +$1,711
Pop-Culture
0% 12% -$213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 491 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -1,249 -$513 38¢ $-481 +$32 10-24 09:11
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -1,102 -$295 35¢ $-386 -$91 08-27 03:02
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +290 $256 95¢ $276 +$20 09-03 00:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +445 $242 57¢ $256 +$14 10-26 21:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +734 $280 34¢ $253 -$26 10-26 15:17
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +257 $249 98¢ $252 +$3 10-26 03:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +408 $277 62¢ $251 -$26 10-26 21:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +210 $153 70¢ $148 -$5 10-25 22:52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +446 $267 33¢ $147 -$120 10-09 13:08
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +211 $117 46¢ $98 -$19 10-25 02:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,199 $230 8¢ $90 -$140 10-25 16:54
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +299 $72 18¢ $55 -$16 10-11 18:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +1,199 $187 4¢ $48 -$139 10-26 15:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +87 $38 42¢ $37 -$1 10-25 22:54
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +74 $20 46¢ $34 +$14 10-23 07:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -385 -$198 6¢ $-24 +$173 10-07 18:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +66 $20 30¢ $19 -$1 10-23 22:21
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +63 $12 22¢ $13 +$1 10-25 15:21
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -391 -$23 3¢ $-12 +$11 10-10 12:05
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +238 $82 5¢ $12 -$70 08-07 01:48
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -491 -$21 2¢ $-11 +$10 05-05 02:36
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $30 12¢ $8 -$22 10-25 14:29
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -7 -$368 84¢ $-6 +$362 07-20 15:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +203 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 09-24 07:38
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +149 $6 3¢ $5 -$2 06-15 21:28
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +31 -$26 12¢ $4 +$30 10-23 23:34
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +149 $145 2¢ $3 -$142 10-20 00:04
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +51 $6 5¢ $3 -$4 09-06 00:48
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 No +3 -$6 78¢ $2 +$8 08-12 12:07
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +2 -$69 94¢ $1 +$71 06-10 15:51