Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.06K
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved (30d)
349
Trades (30d)
4,720
134,019 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$123.6K
$3.36M lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$3.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 292 days
Categories
Other
75% 38% +$8,533
Sports
12% 40% -$10,146
Politics
9% 42% +$5,258
Crypto
4% 38% +$2,018
Tech
1% 42% +$1,725
Pop-Culture
0% 12% -$213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 492 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -1,031 -$273 46¢ $-469 -$196 10-31 11:39
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -695 -$267 48¢ $-330 -$63 10-31 08:34
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +564 $312 46¢ $259 -$53 10-28 13:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +346 $249 74¢ $256 +$7 10-31 18:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +409 $248 62¢ $255 +$7 10-30 15:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +490 $236 50¢ $247 +$11 10-31 22:39
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +448 $237 55¢ $246 +$9 10-31 17:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +891 -$73 28¢ $245 +$318 10-31 21:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +1,200 -$167 16¢ $186 +$353 10-30 03:42
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +300 $136 55¢ $165 +$29 10-31 23:35
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +116 $90 94¢ $109 +$19 10-31 22:13
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +107 $30 97¢ $103 +$73 10-31 19:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +169 $78 54¢ $91 +$13 10-28 12:45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +120 -$28 55¢ $65 +$93 10-30 09:19
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +299 $72 13¢ $39 -$33 10-11 18:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,149 $254 2¢ $23 -$231 10-31 15:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -210 -$55 10¢ $-20 +$35 10-29 17:47
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -415 -$24 5¢ $-19 +$5 10-29 21:47
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +30 $15 52¢ $16 +$1 10-31 21:27
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +238 $82 5¢ $13 -$69 08-07 01:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 -$52 98¢ $12 +$65 10-30 05:47
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -385 -$198 3¢ $-12 +$186 10-29 12:34
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -491 -$21 2¢ $-10 +$11 05-05 02:36
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $30 8¢ $6 -$24 10-25 14:29
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -7 -$368 72¢ $-5 +$363 07-20 15:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +203 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 09-24 07:38
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +149 $6 3¢ $5 -$2 06-15 21:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +66 -$125 7¢ $4 +$129 10-30 00:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +15 -$7 26¢ $4 +$11 10-31 15:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +3 $1 93¢ $3 +$2 10-29 20:25