Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$781
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
7
134,920 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$96
$3.38M lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 06:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 298 days
Categories
Other
74% 39% +$8,359
Sports
12% 40% -$10,145
Politics
9% 43% +$7,201
Crypto
4% 38% +$2,018
Tech
1% 41% +$1,714
Pop-Culture
0% 12% -$213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 492 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -1,250 -$483 32¢ $-400 +$83 11-05 12:32
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -1,102 -$307 28¢ $-303 +$4 11-01 22:03
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +364 $232 31¢ $113 -$119 11-04 23:28
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +82 $58 96¢ $79 +$21 11-03 23:06
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? Yes +260 $68 20¢ $53 -$15 10-18 13:25
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? Yes +278 $40 17¢ $46 +$7 11-02 11:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -300 -$115 11¢ $-31 +$84 11-04 09:57
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m? No +31 $31 100¢ $30 -$1 11-04 18:58
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +238 $82 12¢ $30 -$53 08-07 01:48
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? Yes +60 $19 49¢ $30 +$10 10-18 22:41
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15? Yes +299 $30 8¢ $24 -$6 10-28 04:12
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -536 -$30 2¢ $-13 +$16 11-02 14:52
will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043 Yes +176 $45 8¢ $13 -$32 08-18 23:40
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? Yes +69 $15 14¢ $10 -$5 10-27 18:41
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -243 -$56 4¢ $-9 +$48 11-08 05:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +203 $10 3¢ $7 -$3 09-24 07:38
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -491 -$21 1¢ $-6 +$14 05-05 02:36
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -385 -$203 2¢ $-6 +$197 11-03 23:46
Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season? Yes +40 $11 14¢ $6 -$6 10-09 08:39
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +149 $6 4¢ $6 -$1 06-15 21:28
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -7 -$368 71¢ $-5 +$363 07-20 15:57
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? Yes -52 -$17 7¢ $-4 +$13 10-24 18:33
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $30 6¢ $4 -$26 10-25 14:29
will lebanon join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026 Yes +19 $2 16¢ $3 +$1 08-27 20:01
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 No +3 -$6 84¢ $3 +$9 08-12 12:07
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +2 -$73 98¢ $2 +$75 11-02 07:52
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? No -125 -$108 2¢ $-2 +$106 11-04 02:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? Yes — +45 -$1 4¢ $2 +$3 09-14 06:41
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? Yes -6 -$1 26¢ $-2 -$1 10-19 08:51
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? Yes +38 $7 4¢ $1 -$5 11-06 08:31