Realized P&L
+$7.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.13K
Hit rate
60.7%
Resolved
7,813
Trades
134,082
lifetime
Volume
$3.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 05:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 293 days
Categories
Other
75% 38% +$8,365
Sports
12% 40% -$10,145
Politics
9% 42% +$5,258
Crypto
4% 38% +$2,018
Tech
1% 42% +$1,725
Pop-Culture
0% 12% -$213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 492 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -1,031 -$273 44¢ $-459 -$186 10-31 11:39
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -696 -$267 44¢ $-306 -$39 11-01 06:32
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +564 $312 46¢ $257 -$55 10-28 13:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +409 $248 62¢ $255 +$7 10-30 15:12
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +462 $244 55¢ $254 +$10 11-01 01:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +490 $236 50¢ $247 +$11 10-31 22:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +891 -$73 28¢ $245 +$318 10-31 21:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +1,200 -$167 15¢ $174 +$341 10-30 03:42
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +300 $136 55¢ $165 +$29 10-31 23:35
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +107 $30 96¢ $102 +$72 10-31 19:54
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +108 $83 94¢ $101 +$18 11-01 06:29
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +169 $78 54¢ $91 +$13 10-28 12:45
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +299 $72 13¢ $39 -$33 10-11 18:42
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -423 -$25 4¢ $-19 +$6 11-01 04:06
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -210 -$55 8¢ $-18 +$37 10-29 17:47
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +238 $82 5¢ $13 -$69 08-07 01:48
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -330 -$199 4¢ $-13 +$186 11-01 03:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 -$52 99¢ $12 +$65 10-30 05:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,149 $254 1¢ $11 -$242 10-31 15:47
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -491 -$21 2¢ $-8 +$13 05-05 02:36
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $30 8¢ $6 -$24 10-25 14:29
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -7 -$368 70¢ $-5 +$363 07-20 15:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +203 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 09-24 07:38
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +149 $6 3¢ $5 -$2 06-15 21:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +15 -$7 24¢ $4 +$11 10-31 15:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +66 -$125 5¢ $3 +$128 10-30 00:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +3 $1 95¢ $3 +$2 10-29 20:25
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 No +3 -$6 80¢ $2 +$8 08-12 12:07
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$112 97¢ $1 +$113 09-16 23:46
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1 -$28 92¢ $1 +$29 09-19 22:40