Realized P&L
+$768
Unrealized P&L
+$159
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
183
Trades
936
lifetime
Volume
$52.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.78K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-26 06:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Politics
76% 85% -$144
Other
24% 100% +$912
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +330 $300 99¢ $327 +$27 09-03 09:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +314 $235 94¢ $297 +$62 09-16 15:54
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +290 $245 88¢ $256 +$11 10-16 14:15
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +184 $110 94¢ $172 +$62 10-01 16:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +295 $207 56¢ $166 -$40 10-16 04:00
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +168 $152 96¢ $162 +$10 10-01 15:59
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +118 $100 88¢ $104 +$4 10-22 20:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +114 $80 68¢ $78 -$2 10-16 04:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +47 $40 97¢ $46 +$6 10-22 20:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +39 $36 99¢ $39 +$3 10-25 19:19
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +43 $31 87¢ $37 +$6 10-26 06:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +51 $30 55¢ $28 -$2 10-13 07:34
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +38 $20 68¢ $26 +$6 10-26 06:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +31 $20 72¢ $23 +$3 10-16 04:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +56 $24 40¢ $22 -$2 10-13 07:34
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +0 -$8 93¢ $0 +$8 07-17 07:40