Realized P&L (90d)
-$596
Unrealized P&L
+$161
Hit rate
76.4%
Resolved (90d)
65
Trades (90d)
297
961 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$12.7K
$52.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$1.89K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-31 10:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Politics
76% 85% -$108
Other
24% 100% +$946
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +330 $300 99¢ $328 +$28 09-03 09:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +314 $235 100¢ $312 +$77 09-16 15:54
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +290 $245 94¢ $273 +$28 10-16 14:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +204 $130 99¢ $202 +$72 10-31 10:44
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +168 $152 99¢ $167 +$15 10-01 15:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +295 $207 53¢ $156 -$50 10-16 04:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +112 $80 72¢ $81 +$1 10-28 20:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +114 $80 64¢ $73 -$7 10-16 04:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +75 $70 94¢ $70 +$0 10-31 10:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +89 $50 49¢ $44 -$6 10-28 20:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +42 $40 97¢ $40 +$0 10-31 10:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +41 $40 98¢ $40 +$0 10-31 10:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +44 $40 84¢ $37 -$3 10-31 10:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +56 $24 38¢ $21 -$3 10-13 07:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-29 15:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-31 10:45
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +0 -$8 94¢ $0 +$8 07-17 07:40