Realized P&L (7d)
+$30
Unrealized P&L
+$158
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
8
Trades (7d)
19
939 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$347
$52.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.86K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-28 20:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Politics
76% 85% -$138
Other
24% 100% +$929
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +330 $300 99¢ $327 +$27 09-03 09:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +314 $235 96¢ $303 +$68 09-16 15:54
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +290 $245 92¢ $268 +$23 10-16 14:15
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +184 $110 96¢ $177 +$67 10-01 16:00
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +168 $152 98¢ $165 +$13 10-01 15:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +295 $207 52¢ $155 -$52 10-16 04:00
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +118 $100 100¢ $118 +$18 10-22 20:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +112 $80 74¢ $83 +$3 10-28 20:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +114 $80 65¢ $74 -$6 10-16 04:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +47 $40 100¢ $47 +$7 10-22 20:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +89 $50 52¢ $46 -$4 10-28 20:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +39 $36 100¢ $39 +$3 10-25 19:19
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +43 $31 87¢ $37 +$6 10-26 06:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +56 $24 38¢ $21 -$3 10-13 07:34
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +38 $20 1¢ $0 -$20 10-26 06:46
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +0 -$8 93¢ $0 +$8 07-17 07:40