Realized P&L (30d)
+$333
Unrealized P&L
+$146
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
24
Trades (30d)
129
948 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.56K
$52.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$1.89K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-29 15:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Politics
76% 85% -$138
Other
24% 100% +$931
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +330 $300 99¢ $327 +$27 09-03 09:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +314 $235 96¢ $300 +$65 09-16 15:54
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +290 $245 91¢ $265 +$20 10-16 14:15
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +184 $110 91¢ $167 +$57 10-01 16:00
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +168 $152 98¢ $164 +$12 10-01 15:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +295 $207 48¢ $143 -$64 10-16 04:00
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +118 $100 99¢ $117 +$17 10-22 20:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +112 $80 74¢ $84 +$4 10-28 20:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +114 $80 64¢ $73 -$7 10-16 04:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +47 $40 99¢ $47 +$7 10-22 20:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +89 $50 49¢ $44 -$6 10-28 20:15
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +43 $31 98¢ $42 +$11 10-26 06:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +39 $36 100¢ $39 +$3 10-25 19:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +31 $30 89¢ $28 -$2 10-29 15:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +33 $30 84¢ $28 -$2 10-29 15:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +56 $24 36¢ $20 -$4 10-13 07:34
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +0 -$8 94¢ $0 +$8 07-17 07:40