Modern-Malice 0x9baebe…e95d34
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$21.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$14.0K
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
880
Trades
5,672
lifetime
Volume
$554.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$79.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 03:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 225 days
Categories
Other
53% 70% +$6,261
Politics
43% 61% +$8,941
Sports
3% 68% +$4,836
Tech
2% 52% +$1,703
Crypto
0% 67% -$97
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +52,617 $26,339 71¢ $37.4K +$11,045 10-13 18:58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +63,324 $39,195 29¢ $18.3K -$20,862 10-14 12:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,684 $4,101 94¢ $4.4K +$278 10-02 10:01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,413 76¢ $3.0K +$607 10-13 15:49
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,978 $7,855 22¢ $2.0K -$5,880 07-01 00:09
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +1,937 $1,859 99¢ $1.9K +$51 10-26 13:04
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +7,466 $2,802 24¢ $1.8K -$972 10-13 10:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,111 $1,283 78¢ $1.6K +$363 08-11 02:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,458 $1,035 76¢ $1.1K +$80 09-15 02:57
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +1,020 $773 91¢ $932 +$159 06-29 13:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,030 $748 79¢ $814 +$66 09-30 11:28
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,000 $585 78¢ $785 +$200 09-16 18:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,007 $696 76¢ $761 +$65 09-22 07:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +798 $458 93¢ $742 +$284 10-27 02:01
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +1,000 $657 74¢ $737 +$80 09-16 18:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +750 $312 78¢ $588 +$276 09-01 17:20
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +300 $251 97¢ $291 +$39 09-12 19:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $148 88¢ $266 +$118 09-27 22:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $408 24¢ $245 -$163 09-16 18:00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +250 $199 94¢ $235 +$36 09-29 20:50
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,013 $157 22¢ $218 +$61 09-23 16:15
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +260 $216 82¢ $213 -$3 10-18 23:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $360 21¢ $210 -$150 09-16 18:00
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +196 $177 99¢ $194 +$17 04-28 23:25
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +215 $107 82¢ $175 +$68 09-01 17:19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $127 78¢ $157 +$30 09-29 11:27
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +150 $124 96¢ $145 +$20 10-05 19:20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $94 88¢ $133 +$38 09-29 20:50
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +135 $96 97¢ $130 +$35 06-07 23:52
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $85 74¢ $112 +$26 09-25 08:13