Realized P&L
+$333
Unrealized P&L
-$7.11K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
2,558
lifetime
Volume
$353.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$138
Open exposure
$6.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
58% 100% +$307
Other
39% 100% +$27
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,061 $1,236 88¢ $1.8K +$578 07-06 14:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,978 $7,855 12¢ $1.1K $-6,778 07-01 00:09
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes +1,674 $895 39¢ $653 $-242 06-30 14:56
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +542 $440 100¢ $541 +$102 06-20 21:09
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +562 $426 78¢ $436 +$10 06-29 13:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +300 $161 99¢ $297 +$135 07-01 12:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +400 $354 55¢ $218 $-135 06-25 12:38
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,019 $224 18¢ $186 $-38 07-14 22:32
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +260 $202 55¢ $142 $-60 07-15 08:04
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +135 $96 94¢ $127 +$31 06-07 23:52
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $80 90¢ $90 +$9 07-08 14:03
X banned in any European country by December 31? No +97 $84 86¢ $84 $-0 07-15 16:06
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +126 $51 64¢ $82 +$31 06-05 12:52
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +260 $161 30¢ $78 $-83 07-15 03:32
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +1,110 $813 $69 $-744 06-07 23:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +150 $32 46¢ $68 +$36 06-19 10:24
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +104 $39 50¢ $52 +$14 06-05 20:38
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +76 $60 66¢ $50 $-10 06-04 15:12
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +50 $46 97¢ $49 +$3 06-09 11:07
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +50 $42 92¢ $46 +$4 06-09 09:47
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 90¢ $45 $-1 06-08 16:31
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +50 $42 90¢ $45 +$4 06-18 13:11
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +50 $42 86¢ $43 +$1 07-01 22:40
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +50 $32 81¢ $40 +$8 06-08 15:23
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +50 $15 80¢ $40 +$25 06-08 21:14
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +44 $32 85¢ $37 +$5 06-15 15:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50 $41 72¢ $36 $-5 06-08 21:47
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +67 $40 50¢ $33 $-6 06-12 20:14
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +200 $45 15¢ $30 $-15 06-28 14:43
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +50 $20 60¢ $30 +$10 06-17 22:20