Realized P&L
+$333
Unrealized P&L
-$508
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
2,411
lifetime
Volume
$335.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$4.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 22:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
60% 100% +$307
Other
38% 100% +$27
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +650 $562 99¢ $646 +$84 06-25 10:08
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +542 $440 100¢ $541 +$102 06-20 21:09
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +562 $426 77¢ $431 +$5 06-29 13:28
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +433 $353 100¢ $431 +$78 06-22 08:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +400 $354 82¢ $330 $-24 06-25 12:38
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter? Yes +250 $241 98¢ $244 +$3 06-29 14:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +500 $263 38¢ $188 $-75 06-26 08:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +250 $126 62¢ $156 +$30 06-20 13:55
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +135 $96 94¢ $127 +$32 06-07 23:52
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 06-14 22:13
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +126 $51 52¢ $66 +$16 06-05 12:52
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +1,110 $813 $63 $-751 06-07 23:46
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +76 $60 73¢ $55 $-5 06-04 15:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +50 $26 100¢ $50 +$23 06-16 18:15
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$2 06-22 10:08
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 06-09 11:07
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +56 $46 84¢ $47 +$1 06-23 09:39
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +155 $47 30¢ $46 $-0 06-09 10:10
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +67 $40 67¢ $45 +$5 06-12 20:14
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +200 $45 22¢ $45 $-0 06-28 14:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +50 $42 90¢ $45 +$3 06-18 13:11
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 90¢ $45 $-2 06-08 16:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50 $41 86¢ $43 +$2 06-08 21:47
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +50 $42 84¢ $42 $-0 06-09 09:47
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +44 $32 82¢ $36 +$4 06-15 15:09
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +50 $15 72¢ $36 +$21 06-08 21:14
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +50 $32 70¢ $35 +$3 06-08 15:23
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +104 $39 33¢ $34 $-4 06-05 20:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $55 29¢ $29 $-27 06-14 10:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $74 28¢ $28 $-46 06-08 21:18