Modern-Malice 0x9baebe…e95d34
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.83K
Unrealized P&L
-$15.4K
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved (30d)
131
Trades (30d)
468
5,738 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$58.3K
$563.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$83.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 230 days
Categories
Other
53% 69% +$5,345
Politics
43% 61% +$8,868
Sports
3% 67% +$4,701
Tech
2% 48% +$1,215
Crypto
0% 75% -$79
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +52,917 $26,558 68¢ $36.0K +$9,452 10-28 12:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +63,324 $39,195 32¢ $20.2K -$18,963 10-14 12:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,684 $4,101 92¢ $4.3K +$208 10-02 10:01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,413 72¢ $2.9K +$487 10-13 15:49
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +7,466 $2,802 28¢ $2.1K -$749 10-13 10:29
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +1,937 $1,859 98¢ $1.9K +$29 10-26 13:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,111 $1,283 86¢ $1.8K +$522 08-11 02:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,087 $1,570 70¢ $1.5K -$120 10-28 18:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,978 $7,855 15¢ $1.3K -$6,553 07-01 00:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,864 $1,218 65¢ $1.2K -$6 10-27 20:01
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,458 $1,035 74¢ $1.1K +$36 09-15 02:57
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +1,000 $900 92¢ $920 +$20 10-31 04:52
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +1,020 $773 90¢ $914 +$141 06-29 13:28
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +1,204 $826 64¢ $765 -$62 10-30 23:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,030 $748 72¢ $747 -$1 09-30 11:28
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +748 $701 99¢ $740 +$39 10-31 04:52
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,000 $585 72¢ $725 +$140 09-16 18:00
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +1,000 $657 70¢ $698 +$41 09-16 18:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +750 $312 84¢ $633 +$321 09-01 17:20
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,397 $630 42¢ $594 -$37 10-28 21:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,500 $840 35¢ $525 -$315 10-28 02:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $408 30¢ $305 -$103 09-16 18:00
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +300 $251 97¢ $290 +$39 09-12 19:29
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,013 $157 28¢ $279 +$122 09-23 16:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $360 28¢ $275 -$85 09-16 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $148 88¢ $266 +$118 09-27 22:02
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +250 $199 92¢ $231 +$33 09-29 20:50
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +900 $206 26¢ $230 +$24 11-01 21:54
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +260 $216 86¢ $224 +$8 10-18 23:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,020 $398 22¢ $219 -$178 10-27 16:28