Modern-Malice 0x9baebe…e95d34 Create alert
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$15.4K
Hit rate
83.6%
Resolved (30d)
137
Trades (30d)
486
5,762 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$58.5K
$563.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$82.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 06:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 232 days
Categories
Other
53% 69% +$5,474
Politics
43% 61% +$7,919
Sports
3% 68% +$4,703
Tech
2% 48% +$1,215
Crypto
0% 75% -$79
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +52,917 $26,558 72¢ $38.0K +$11,436 10-28 12:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +63,324 $39,195 28¢ $17.9K -$21,337 10-14 12:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,684 $4,101 92¢ $4.3K +$185 10-02 10:01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,413 72¢ $2.9K +$487 10-13 15:49
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +7,466 $2,802 28¢ $2.1K -$749 10-13 10:29
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +1,937 $1,859 97¢ $1.9K +$12 10-26 13:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,111 $1,283 83¢ $1.8K +$469 08-11 02:17
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,978 $7,855 17¢ $1.5K -$6,329 07-01 00:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,087 $1,570 72¢ $1.5K -$57 10-28 18:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,864 $1,218 66¢ $1.2K +$22 10-27 20:01
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,458 $1,035 76¢ $1.1K +$80 09-15 02:57
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +1,020 $773 90¢ $919 +$146 06-29 13:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,030 $748 74¢ $768 +$20 09-30 11:28
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +1,204 $826 64¢ $765 -$62 10-30 23:42
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,397 $630 52¢ $733 +$103 10-28 21:11
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,000 $585 72¢ $725 +$140 09-16 18:00
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +1,000 $657 71¢ $710 +$53 09-16 18:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +750 $312 80¢ $603 +$291 09-01 17:20
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +748 $701 76¢ $567 -$135 10-31 04:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,500 $840 34¢ $503 -$337 10-28 02:27
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +300 $251 98¢ $293 +$41 09-12 19:29
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,013 $157 28¢ $279 +$122 09-23 16:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $408 28¢ $275 -$133 09-16 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $148 88¢ $266 +$118 09-27 22:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $360 26¢ $255 -$105 09-16 18:00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +250 $199 94¢ $236 +$38 09-29 20:50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,021 $190 11¢ $231 +$41 10-27 14:42
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +260 $216 84¢ $220 +$4 10-18 23:04
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +196 $177 99¢ $194 +$17 04-28 23:25
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $127 94¢ $187 +$60 09-29 11:27