Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$15.5K
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved (7d)
31
Trades (7d)
118
5,722 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$16.9K
$561.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$82.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 229 days
Categories
Other
53% 69% +$6,238
Politics
43% 61% +$8,952
Sports
2% 68% +$4,836
Tech
2% 52% +$1,703
Crypto
0% 75% -$79
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +52,917 $26,558 68¢ $36.2K +$9,637 10-28 12:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +63,324 $39,195 32¢ $20.0K -$19,184 10-14 12:43
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +4,684 $4,101 87¢ $4.1K -$26 10-02 10:01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,413 72¢ $2.9K +$447 10-13 15:49
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +7,466 $2,802 29¢ $2.1K -$674 10-13 10:29
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +1,937 $1,859 97¢ $1.9K +$16 10-26 13:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,111 $1,283 84¢ $1.8K +$480 08-11 02:17
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,978 $7,855 16¢ $1.5K -$6,374 07-01 00:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,087 $1,570 70¢ $1.5K -$99 10-28 18:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,458 $1,035 78¢ $1.1K +$102 09-15 02:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,864 $1,218 57¢ $1.1K -$155 10-27 20:01
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +1,020 $773 93¢ $947 +$174 06-29 13:28
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +1,204 $826 68¢ $819 -$7 10-30 23:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,030 $748 72¢ $747 -$1 09-30 11:28
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,000 $585 72¢ $725 +$140 09-16 18:00
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +1,000 $657 70¢ $696 +$40 09-16 18:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,500 $840 43¢ $645 -$195 10-28 02:27
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,397 $630 44¢ $621 -$9 10-28 21:11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +750 $312 80¢ $596 +$283 09-01 17:20
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +560 $520 96¢ $540 +$21 10-30 23:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $408 30¢ $295 -$113 09-16 18:00
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +300 $251 96¢ $289 +$38 09-12 19:29
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,013 $157 28¢ $279 +$122 09-23 16:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $360 28¢ $275 -$85 09-16 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $148 89¢ $267 +$120 09-27 22:02
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +250 $199 89¢ $222 +$24 09-29 20:50
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +260 $216 84¢ $217 +$1 10-18 23:04
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +196 $177 98¢ $193 +$16 04-28 23:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,021 $190 10¢ $193 +$3 10-27 14:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,020 $398 18¢ $184 -$214 10-27 16:28