Modern-Malice 0x9baebe…e95d34 Create alert
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$19.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$15.7K
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
1,033
Trades
6,085
lifetime
Volume
$569.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$81.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 234 days
Categories
Other
53% 66% +$5,467
Politics
43% 58% +$8,124
Sports
3% 68% +$4,703
Tech
2% 48% +$1,215
Crypto
0% 75% -$79
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +52,917 $26,558 66¢ $34.8K +$8,288 10-28 12:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +63,324 $39,195 34¢ $21.6K -$17,569 10-14 12:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,684 $4,101 73¢ $3.4K -$698 10-02 10:01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,413 67¢ $2.7K +$267 10-13 15:49
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +7,466 $2,802 33¢ $2.5K -$338 10-13 10:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,111 $1,283 97¢ $2.0K +$759 08-11 02:17
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +1,937 $1,859 97¢ $1.9K +$22 10-26 13:04
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,458 $1,035 99¢ $1.4K +$409 09-15 02:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,864 $1,218 76¢ $1.4K +$207 10-27 20:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,087 $1,570 66¢ $1.4K -$203 10-28 18:02
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +1,020 $773 90¢ $916 +$143 06-29 13:28
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +748 $701 100¢ $747 +$46 10-31 04:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,030 $748 68¢ $706 -$42 09-30 11:28
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +1,000 $657 67¢ $669 +$12 09-16 18:00
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,000 $585 66¢ $665 +$80 09-16 18:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +750 $312 86¢ $648 +$336 09-01 17:20
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,759 $178 24¢ $422 +$244 10-22 21:31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,021 $190 20¢ $409 +$219 10-27 14:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,500 $840 24¢ $353 -$487 10-28 02:27
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1,407 $362 25¢ $352 -$10 11-05 19:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $408 34¢ $345 -$63 09-16 18:00
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,013 $157 34¢ $339 +$182 09-23 16:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $360 32¢ $315 -$45 09-16 18:00
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +300 $251 97¢ $292 +$41 09-12 19:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,978 $7,855 3¢ $292 -$7,563 07-01 00:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $148 90¢ $268 +$121 09-27 22:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,020 $398 24¢ $245 -$153 10-27 16:28
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +260 $216 88¢ $229 +$13 10-18 23:04
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? Yes +260 $224 88¢ $228 +$4 10-18 23:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +212 $122 96¢ $204 +$81 11-04 02:45