Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved
77
Trades
22,200
lifetime
Volume
$30.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-30 10:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
48% 38% +$85
Politics
21% 23% $-22
Crypto
17% 35% $-19
Sports
9% 20% $-20
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +118 $1 $3 +$2 06-25 01:12
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? Yes -188 $-3 $-3 +$1 06-18 13:27
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -133 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-18 06:50
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? No +141 $2 $2 $-1 06-23 21:42
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +108 $2 $1 $-1 06-15 19:13
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes -323 $-5 $-1 +$4 06-20 22:42
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +356 $1 $1 +$0 06-22 11:50
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes -331 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-15 02:12
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +315 $4 $1 $-4 06-12 20:36
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? Yes +299 $2 $1 $-2 06-19 14:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +218 $1 $1 $-0 06-19 17:05
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? Yes +529 $3 $1 $-2 06-18 22:57
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes -492 $-3 $-0 +$2 06-20 09:50
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? Yes +231 $2 $0 $-2 06-21 06:52
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +184 $3 $0 $-2 06-14 07:54
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +445 $2 $0 $-2 06-19 20:04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +43 $1 $0 $-0 06-17 04:18
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes -179 $-2 $-0 +$1 06-08 05:38
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? Yes +167 $2 $0 $-2 06-10 08:54
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +161 $3 $0 $-2 06-15 06:01
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? Yes +313 $3 $0 $-3 06-10 07:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +293 $-3 $0 +$4 06-20 10:54
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes -192 $-5 $-0 +$5 06-14 16:01
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -86 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-19 16:03
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -171 $-2 $-0 +$1 06-07 09:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +236 $2 $0 $-2 06-12 09:01
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +233 $4 $0 $-4 06-17 05:44
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +225 $6 $0 $-5 06-16 13:02
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? Yes +214 $1 $0 $-1 06-05 19:32
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -69 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-29 18:03