Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved
77
Trades
21,136
lifetime
Volume
$29.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$79
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-10 06:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
49% 38% +$85
Politics
21% 23% $-22
Crypto
17% 35% $-19
Sports
9% 20% $-20
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? Yes +355 $2 $6 +$4 06-10 05:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +675 $-0 $4 +$5 06-10 01:14
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +263 $4 $4 +$0 06-09 13:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? Yes +275 $4 $3 $-0 06-10 00:58
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -157 $-5 $-3 +$1 06-09 04:56
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? Yes +840 $3 $3 +$1 06-06 08:57
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? Yes -163 $-2 $-3 $-1 05-29 17:56
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? Yes +467 $5 $3 $-2 06-08 16:53
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +192 $1 $3 +$2 06-09 18:29
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes -85 $-3 $-3 +$0 05-31 11:02
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +159 $1 $3 +$2 06-06 07:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +470 $2 $3 +$0 06-10 05:53
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes +235 $3 $3 $-1 06-06 20:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? Yes +160 $2 $2 +$0 06-10 06:50
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +180 $3 $2 $-0 06-07 08:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +169 $3 $2 $-0 06-10 00:18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes +201 $2 $2 $-0 06-07 12:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +172 $2 $2 +$1 06-08 12:30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +170 $5 $2 $-3 06-10 05:38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +248 $2 $2 $-0 06-09 12:39
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +140 $1 $2 +$0 06-10 00:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +203 $3 $2 $-1 06-08 15:46
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? Yes +313 $3 $2 $-2 06-10 07:11
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +246 $-0 $2 +$2 06-07 04:53
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -154 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-04 13:13
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? Yes +93 $3 $2 $-1 06-09 19:48
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? Yes +208 $5 $2 $-3 06-09 00:18
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes -179 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-08 05:38
Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30? No +552 $2 $2 $-0 06-09 09:18
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? Yes -148 $-1 $-2 $-0 06-06 03:48