Punctual-Freak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

Trades

22,343

lifetime

Volume

$30.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-09 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

48% 38% +$85

Politics

21% 23% $-22

Crypto

17% 35% $-19

Sports

9% 20% $-20

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	60	$182	8,813	8,468	+345	open	—	03-25 23:43
GTA VI released before June 2026?	102	$161	4,357	4,168	+189	open	—	05-17 11:04
will gta 6 cost 100	103	$159	8,354	7,981	+374	open	—	02-12 13:59
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	61	$146	5,199	4,680	+519	open	—	03-16 21:58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	82	$134	5,825	4,995	+829	open	—	04-03 11:12
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	120	$131	3,032	2,586	+446	open	—	04-28 00:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	45	$125	6,229	6,260	-31	open	—	03-03 15:28
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	85	$121	3,964	3,039	+925	open	—	04-28 07:09
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	89	$119	2,534	1,694	+840	open	—	02-25 04:11
trump out as president by march 31	31	$119	3,113	2,983	+130	open	—	03-20 20:21
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	74	$112	4,146	3,160	+987	open	—	03-19 17:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	61	$109	3,640	3,088	+552	open	—	04-05 10:24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	90	$105	4,416	3,633	+783	open	—	04-28 14:39
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	56	$104	5,350	5,087	+263	open	—	03-16 08:52
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	28	$103	3,083	3,285	-202	open	—	03-19 07:53
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	71	$99	3,233	2,306	+928	open	—	03-09 16:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	42	$98	3,391	3,391	+0	open	—	03-26 23:02
Trump out as President by April 30?	55	$95	3,959	3,832	+127	open	—	04-24 04:12
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	28	$91	3,676	3,529	+147	open	—	03-08 17:04
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	80	$91	2,400	2,066	+333	open	—	04-28 00:21
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	45	$91	2,545	2,198	+348	open	—	02-24 06:33
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	37	$89	1,955	1,606	+349	open	—	04-28 14:35
will bitcoin dip to 80k in february 2026 869 956	8	$88	6,910	6,910	+0	open	—	02-01 05:40
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	43	$87	2,410	2,340	+70	open	—	04-19 23:57
netanyahu out by march 31 854	23	$84	2,341	2,341	+0	open	—	03-26 09:56
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	51	$81	6,448	4,489	+1,959	open	—	03-24 19:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	23	$80	3,098	3,591	-493	open	—	04-26 10:44
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	47	$76	4,950	4,825	+125	open	—	03-06 21:36
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	32	$75	3,700	3,604	+96	open	—	04-23 06:26
will tariffs generate 250b in 2025	52	$75	2,748	2,275	+473	open	—	02-25 03:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 04:04:57	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	159	2¢	$3	0x46cc64…
08-09 02:18:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0xf0035d…
08-07 14:32:51	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x9f1180…
08-07 06:57:52	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	144	2¢	$3	0x78c20a…
08-06 20:03:23	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x81061b…
08-06 19:37:44	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	155	1¢	$1	0x95c3d0…
08-05 08:17:23	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xe16a3a…
08-05 08:16:38	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	254	1¢	$2	0xa5f2a8…
08-05 08:15:33	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x437841…
08-05 07:45:35	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$1	0x9decfb…
08-05 07:37:56	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	378	0¢	$2	0x289250…
08-05 05:15:20	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x4d62a2…
08-05 04:19:02	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$2	0xf29c2e…
08-05 04:03:57	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	2¢	$2	0x63f0b3…
08-05 03:56:08	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x164fc5…
08-05 03:38:59	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xca5b06…
08-05 03:19:54	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x91ad2f…
08-05 03:17:15	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3a38ca…
08-05 03:15:15	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x795d27…
08-05 03:12:32	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd8bb7d…
08-05 03:11:41	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xc9c29f…
08-04 06:58:32	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x019aa0…
07-31 18:13:32	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	857	0¢	$3	0xb82ce4…
07-31 10:36:21	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0x9f45f6…
07-31 04:27:33	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5364ba…
07-31 04:27:33	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x36e520…
07-31 04:27:27	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x7f071f…
07-31 04:27:27	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x4c69ff…
07-31 04:27:27	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c6abd…
07-31 02:58:47	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x3f9dc4…
07-31 01:47:17	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xedbd6a…
07-26 16:54:46	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	No	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xfbc2e8…
07-26 15:53:39	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	No	BUY	516	0¢	$3	0xbd92fe…
07-26 10:40:43	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	No	SELL	183	2¢	$3	0xb7f35b…
07-26 10:37:16	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	No	BUY	183	1¢	$2	0x7c63a0…
07-26 08:10:04	ripcars fdv above 7pt5m one day after launch 20260721182210411	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0xdd6e25…
07-16 02:21:41	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	256	1¢	$2	0x0ab691…
07-15 21:34:13	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	Yes	SELL	148	0¢	$0	0x5b8162…
07-15 20:06:20	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	174	0¢	$1	0x937649…
07-15 19:34:19	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	2¢	$3	0x2b1519…
07-12 09:26:59	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	Yes	SELL	233	1¢	$3	0x8c558b…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdf17c9…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc36f7a…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc1f8f9…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb13f8e…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8ab3ec…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8a41eb…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6da227…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5b22c8…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2de820…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdd30e4…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdba350…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd654fe…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd27e18…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd235c3…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd218e7…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd0093b…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xce1df4…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xce149f…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xcd1fc8…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc5d132…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc353b7…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc0bfed…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbf1a61…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaeee3f…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa2b63b…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa07288…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9ff454…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9e6e02…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9dfd7b…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x939b3d…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8fcd12…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x83976b…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7f2625…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x76c246…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x768f03…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7377e7…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x71bb1a…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x71af75…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x556d49…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4fcb06…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4e22ab…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4cda68…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x43885d…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x42c5c9…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3b3d04…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3ae047…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x397bdb…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x30e1e4…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x27ea64…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x276451…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x24950b…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2143b3…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x16457e…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x153e5b…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x149f34…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x123b19…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x058c93…
07-12 05:43:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x01fdd9…
07-12 01:50:31	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	256	1¢	$3	0xf9f4d8…