Noted-Upper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

356

Trades

819

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-17 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

76% 75% -$7

Crypto

17% 77% +$0

Politics

5% 53% $0

Sports

2% 62% $0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	4	$97	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 18:00
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$96	48	48	+0	No	$0	06-02 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 11?	4	$95	48	48	+0	No	$0	07-10 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or below on July 5?	4	$93	47	47	+0	No	$0	07-05 03:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$89	45	45	+0	No	+$0	07-21 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on May 23?	3	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	05-23 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 25?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	06-25 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	06-21 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on July 16?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-16 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 5?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-05 01:25
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-18 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 25?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-25 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 3?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-02 18:09
bitcoin above 58k on july 13 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-12 16:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on July 4?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 00:30
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 1?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-01 13:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 22?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-21 11:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-19 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 28?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-28 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 19?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 06:03
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 26?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-26 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 4?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-04 04:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-24 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 14?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-14 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 6?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-06 02:16
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	02-06 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-22 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on July 4?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-03 09:56
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	06-27 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 22:12:27	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x64e844…
10-14 10:12:55	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xacb407…
10-14 10:12:04	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x72f198…
10-14 10:11:08	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x48b5bc…
10-07 17:13:38	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc94720…
09-24 02:45:37	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x41ef82…
09-20 04:29:15	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x274c74…
09-05 09:33:33	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7102cc…
08-31 05:47:49	Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf60cc4…
08-25 02:18:37	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x680d19…
08-25 02:17:33	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xff37ba…
08-14 11:17:21	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc02c16…
08-09 23:10:24	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7f6909…
07-24 16:00:16	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa251fb…
07-23 21:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfeaa20…
07-23 20:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x084ffb…
07-23 09:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbd0bd6…
07-23 09:08:15	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xd953dc…
07-23 04:36:18	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x024935…
07-23 02:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4671bb…
07-23 00:55:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf01d78…
07-22 22:13:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x14cec4…
07-22 18:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfcd77d…
07-22 18:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8ad8fb…
07-22 14:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0ba4b9…
07-22 12:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6c870f…
07-22 12:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 23?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6828d0…
07-22 06:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x53e508…
07-22 06:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x73f669…
07-22 05:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb4d97d…
07-22 00:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5ccf8a…
07-21 19:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x96ce54…
07-21 12:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6f4e8f…
07-21 11:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0xaa37a0…
07-21 10:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf62bc6…
07-21 08:09:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xabaec0…
07-21 07:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x46229d…
07-21 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 21?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9e50da…
07-21 05:50:22	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5b6f3a…
07-21 05:25:19	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf98779…
07-21 03:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x71ed56…
07-21 00:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x288fb4…
07-20 20:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc4d8fc…
07-20 20:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x088f67…
07-20 20:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfc2ddb…
07-20 19:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 20?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1ace75…
07-20 19:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x479558…
07-20 16:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2bb03b…
07-20 12:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x295924…
07-20 09:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc8932e…
07-20 08:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x12f68d…
07-20 08:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7f0d2f…
07-20 08:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2237e7…
07-20 07:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xec3268…
07-20 07:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd96981…
07-20 06:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 104°F or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1a7dea…
07-20 06:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x30207f…
07-20 05:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x926d10…
07-20 03:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 104°F or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2eb6c6…
07-20 02:50:36	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x606b08…
07-19 17:59:55	Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5c5868…
07-19 16:32:04	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x91fdbb…
07-19 13:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 20?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfa57a1…
07-19 11:58:58	Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4c20d7…
07-19 10:53:54	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x22889e…
07-19 06:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 19?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x62ce63…
07-19 04:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f443e…
07-19 02:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xce4586…
07-19 01:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1a0044…
07-19 00:59:45	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xde3fea…
07-18 22:59:18	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfa4266…
07-18 00:59:15	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1e1236…
07-18 00:16:19	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x54f687…
07-17 23:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x164d09…
07-17 19:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ca38a…
07-17 18:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0e3008…
07-17 15:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x34a2e1…
07-17 11:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xefb194…
07-17 11:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on July 17?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa9abc6…
07-17 11:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 17?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xfd689a…
07-17 11:32:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe7335c…
07-17 11:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6a8ccf…
07-17 08:57:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcfd6de…
07-17 06:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5ace3b…
07-17 03:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfc76fe…
07-17 03:28:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3750ed…
07-17 00:46:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x05d4a6…
07-17 00:22:58	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x188274…
07-17 00:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5c1d94…
07-16 23:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xebbe57…
07-16 23:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x88da6d…
07-16 23:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 16?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf2e9ed…
07-16 22:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3292d0…
07-16 22:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x209fa3…
07-16 22:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x952b1a…
07-16 21:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe82255…
07-16 21:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 17?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7ddd2c…
07-16 19:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa09bc5…
07-16 18:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xcaae2e…
07-16 16:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x15110b…