Cuddly-Chin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

297

Trades

686

lifetime

Volume

$8.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-03 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

79% 73% +$0

Crypto

15% 80% +$0

Politics

4% 67% +$0

Sports

2% 54% $0

Tech

0% 0% —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-03 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 29?	4	$112	56	56	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:08
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	5	$97	49	49	+0	No	$0	06-29 20:46
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 31?	5	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	05-30 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	4	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-14 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C on June 2?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	06-01 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-04 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 10?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-21 01:26
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 13?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-13 06:20
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-03 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on May 28?	6	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-28 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 3?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-02 19:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	3	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-28 08:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on July 6?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-05 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 22?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-22 22:07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-04 21:50
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-26 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 3?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-02 17:27
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$55	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 16:27
Will Julie Stauch win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-03 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 26?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-26 06:00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-19 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 30?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-29 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 20?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-20 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 11?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-10 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 7?	4	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-07 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 6?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-06 19:03
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 26?	4	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-26 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:19:27	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x098f1a…
10-19 08:32:30	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x316a8e…
10-19 08:31:39	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7745cb…
10-10 02:15:36	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x14099e…
10-08 20:17:45	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0xf92b49…
10-08 20:16:50	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x270040…
10-07 14:46:41	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35bb55…
10-03 07:57:42	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd5f82e…
10-03 07:56:45	Will Dailyn Swain win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xeae98b…
10-03 07:55:54	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x455466…
10-03 07:55:03	Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfaa678…
09-26 02:29:57	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x107581…
09-22 14:09:25	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x1b4e94…
09-18 22:54:34	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6e1e65…
09-17 09:46:01	Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed592f…
09-11 22:50:43	Will Dailyn Swain win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd87bf4…
09-11 09:40:04	Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x712970…
09-11 09:38:49	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9cefee…
09-03 07:53:31	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x459823…
09-03 02:05:52	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe89fa9…
09-01 05:46:21	Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xafa389…
08-30 07:56:15	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6ecd17…
08-28 08:22:04	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3b5381…
08-28 08:20:55	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa22141…
08-28 08:19:46	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcfc303…
08-28 08:18:39	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5081ef…
08-28 08:17:36	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x6d73b2…
08-28 08:16:27	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb0e46d…
08-25 01:42:27	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x96b239…
08-12 10:08:58	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5b43f8…
08-09 05:26:00	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x5be95f…
08-03 14:15:27	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5699b4…
07-31 11:16:24	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaf39d6…
07-28 03:41:34	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x31dab3…
07-16 00:20:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3ebd7e…
07-15 23:20:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 16?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfb6190…
07-15 16:27:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xacbfbc…
07-15 15:41:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on July 15?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc419d4…
07-15 15:39:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x67bf6f…
07-14 20:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x037c8e…
07-14 20:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd2e686…
07-14 20:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcecc07…
07-14 20:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa6b837…
07-14 17:16:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on July 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2f41c7…
07-14 16:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 100°F or higher on July 15?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdd4dbf…
07-14 15:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 100°F or higher on July 15?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x06b537…
07-14 15:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0681f8…
07-14 15:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x103c4a…
07-14 14:47:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7892fb…
07-14 10:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 100°F or higher on July 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x261d61…
07-14 10:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6bb35d…
07-14 07:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 15?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x281bca…
07-13 18:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2af223…
07-13 16:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe6ccd0…
07-13 15:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfb77f6…
07-13 11:12:44	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x930406…
07-13 08:34:59	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x296575…
07-13 08:23:55	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc36d8f…
07-13 06:27:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe52959…
07-13 06:24:59	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf566a4…
07-13 06:24:11	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x27247b…
07-13 06:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 13?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf16a26…
07-13 06:19:17	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 13?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x145c9f…
07-13 06:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xec165b…
07-13 06:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x38e891…
07-13 06:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x937bd7…
07-13 05:25:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfb244b…
07-13 02:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9f4aec…
07-13 00:27:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2c4989…
07-12 23:32:34	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1bbc8d…
07-12 20:54:22	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbb201f…
07-12 14:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe5a99f…
07-12 14:02:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x87916c…
07-12 13:48:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9fd74e…
07-12 09:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8f8758…
07-12 05:59:40	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x360308…
07-12 00:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xde7e3e…
07-11 19:18:35	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x1bd29c…
07-11 17:30:41	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 12?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9efd09…
07-11 17:29:01	Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x1dbc1b…
07-11 15:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x19d7a0…
07-11 13:00:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa20ad3…
07-11 10:40:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd3d145…
07-11 10:29:46	Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x66b2a7…
07-11 07:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x429ed6…
07-11 07:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe5dd6d…
07-11 07:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdd6d8e…
07-11 07:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0d3e9a…
07-11 06:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x212fd8…
07-11 03:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb595fa…
07-11 02:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x96088c…
07-11 01:16:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x62ef7d…
07-11 01:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on July 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x048c0b…
07-11 01:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x611936…
07-10 23:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on July 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6beae5…
07-10 21:37:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed0915…
07-10 21:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb208f8…
07-10 21:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3f26aa…
07-10 20:28:07	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5233c9…
07-10 19:09:04	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe9aa1b…