Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$581
$3,594 in 24h
Trades
48
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$12,040
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-17 04:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $0 | $32 | $31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $2 | $1 | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $1 | $85 | $84 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $32 | $30 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 12 | $1 | $76 | $75 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +284 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f15…91f5 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-28 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-17 04:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e7a…8274 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-06 19:26 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-17 04:20 |
| Dizzy-Dissemination 0x009f…f7ab | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 14:07 |
| Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-17 03:00 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $2 | $62 | 5 | 06-11 22:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 04:20:29 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfec776… |
| 06-17 04:20:29 | Glorious-Administration 0xbf6d…75c7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfec776… |
| 06-17 04:11:14 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6593b3… |
| 06-17 04:11:14 | (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6593b3… |
| 06-17 03:00:13 | Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe382fb… |
| 06-17 03:00:13 | Glorious-Administration 0xbf6d…75c7 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe382fb… |
| 06-17 03:00:13 | (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xe382fb… |
| 06-16 03:09:21 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x888915… |
| 06-16 03:09:21 | Fantastic-Granny 0xb442…bed7 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x888915… |
| 06-11 22:32:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa69561… |
| 06-11 22:32:07 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa69561… |
| 06-11 22:14:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9609a7… |
| 06-11 22:14:18 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9609a7… |
| 06-11 13:11:57 | (anonymous) 0xcb05…accb | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf37625… |
| 06-11 13:11:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf37625… |
| 06-10 18:22:16 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x52021a… |
| 06-10 18:22:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x52021a… |
| 06-10 18:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x2fb9…0b37 | No | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x52021a… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | SELL | 194 | 100¢ | $194 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 286 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Legitimate-Tornado 0x0b34…f5a6 | Yes | SELL | 1,140 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-09 17:50:21 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13e7ee… |
| 06-06 19:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x0e7a…8274 | No | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0xf817bf… |
| 06-06 19:26:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xf817bf… |
| 06-06 19:26:43 | Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf817bf… |
| 06-06 19:06:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x18a89a… |
| 06-06 19:06:16 | Useful-Kangaroo 0x596d…781a | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x18a89a… |
| 06-04 20:13:22 | Meaty-Project 0xf68c…d5b1 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xac5e4d… |
| 06-04 20:13:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xac5e4d… |
| 06-02 18:27:12 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3ca9b8… |
| 06-02 18:27:12 | (anonymous) 0x327e…71d2 | No | SELL | 46 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x3ca9b8… |
| 06-02 14:07:35 | Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfff9ef… |
| 06-02 14:07:35 | (anonymous) 0x327e…71d2 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfff9ef… |
| 06-02 14:07:35 | Dizzy-Dissemination 0x009f…f7ab | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfff9ef… |
| 05-29 14:01:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4a1005… |
| 05-29 14:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x34cb…df96 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4a1005… |
| 05-28 17:24:08 | Legitimate-Tornado 0x0b34…f5a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x21426e… |
| 05-28 17:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x34cb…df96 | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x21426e… |
| 05-28 17:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x7dba…4349 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x21426e… |
| 05-28 14:26:57 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | SELL | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x959a27… |
| 05-28 14:26:57 | (anonymous) 0x6f15…91f5 | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x959a27… |