Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,454
$3,594 in 24h
Trades
152
Unique wallets
61
Liquidity
$12,040
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-30 20:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $1 | $32 | $31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $3 | $435 | $432 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $2 | $446 | $445 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $3 | $298 | $295 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $2 | $232 | $231 |
| Median | 12 | $1 | $150 | $150 |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $280 | $280 |
| unranked | 22 | $2 | $539 | $537 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +617 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 06-25 18:41 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +399 | $-0 | $2 | 32 | 06-30 20:13 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +343 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 18:41 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +253 | $253 | $307 | 2 | 06-25 13:09 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +156 | $155 | $155 | 1 | 06-30 18:02 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 17:50 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $2 | 4 | 06-25 13:09 |
| Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | +45 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 13:30 |
| Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-25 13:30 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-17 04:20 |
| Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 18:02 |
| Dizzy-Dissemination 0x009f…f7ab | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 14:07 |
| Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-17 03:00 |
| Well-To-Do-Patent 0xefa3…2350 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-29 22:35 |
| Beloved-Arrest 0x5c56…b931 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-29 03:35 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 13:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0333…7d70 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 00:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 20:13:38 | Accomplished-Kimono 0x1d56…be85 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x44eed6… |
| 06-30 20:13:38 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x44eed6… |
| 06-30 20:12:07 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x971900… |
| 06-30 20:12:07 | Afraid-Chive 0x7be2…c81a | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x971900… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | Sparse-Pendant 0x1995…cccf | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | Each-Bake 0xdef8…8615 | No | SELL | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | Accomplished-Kimono 0x1d56…be85 | No | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | Kindhearted-Politician 0x288f…c06d | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | BUY | 156 | 100¢ | $155 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x6f15…91f5 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | Demanding-Glass 0x0ddd…5306 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | Some-Oasis 0x2e22…1248 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | Far-Raisin 0xdf4b…5e6d | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-30 18:02:22 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41c0eb… |
| 06-29 22:35:23 | Well-To-Do-Patent 0xefa3…2350 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf93eec… |
| 06-29 22:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x6f15…91f5 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf93eec… |
| 06-29 20:30:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86a006… |
| 06-29 20:30:52 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 353 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x86a006… |
| 06-29 20:30:52 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | SELL | 400 | 100¢ | $399 | 0x86a006… |
| 06-29 20:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x6f15…91f5 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xd758fe… |
| 06-29 20:21:07 | Some-Oasis 0x2e22…1248 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xd758fe… |
| 06-29 11:05:05 | Far-Raisin 0xdf4b…5e6d | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x39f180… |
| 06-29 11:05:05 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39f180… |
| 06-29 10:24:31 | Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x9b9dd4… |
| 06-29 10:24:31 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b9dd4… |
| 06-29 08:32:10 | Unfolded-Inhibitor 0x3880…3649 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x0d8b7d… |
| 06-29 08:32:10 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d8b7d… |
| 06-29 07:38:17 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x883650… |
| 06-29 07:38:17 | Afraid-Chive 0x7be2…c81a | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x883650… |
| 06-29 05:23:16 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x5d7bd3… |
| 06-29 05:23:16 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d7bd3… |
| 06-29 05:22:56 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55eee9… |
| 06-29 05:22:56 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x55eee9… |
| 06-29 03:35:41 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c1ebc… |
| 06-29 03:35:41 | Beloved-Arrest 0x5c56…b931 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5c1ebc… |
| 06-29 02:40:28 | Demanding-Glass 0x0ddd…5306 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xbedc84… |
| 06-29 02:40:28 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbedc84… |
| 06-28 23:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x2b7da9… |
| 06-28 23:45:10 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b7da9… |
| 06-28 23:38:08 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa53b0b… |
| 06-28 23:38:08 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xa53b0b… |
| 06-28 22:08:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e75fc… |
| 06-28 22:08:04 | Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x0e75fc… |
| 06-28 20:24:55 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x398efd… |
| 06-28 20:24:55 | Kindhearted-Politician 0x288f…c06d | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x398efd… |
| 06-28 20:19:58 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x455e3b… |
| 06-28 20:19:58 | Each-Bake 0xdef8…8615 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x455e3b… |
| 06-28 17:39:59 | Unfolded-Inhibitor 0x3880…3649 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x4d796f… |
| 06-28 17:39:59 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d796f… |
| 06-28 16:04:41 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabd18e… |
| 06-28 16:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xabd18e… |
| 06-28 16:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x333c8d… |
| 06-28 16:03:49 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x333c8d… |
| 06-28 15:57:08 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9f506… |
| 06-28 15:57:08 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb9f506… |
| 06-28 15:29:26 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x27e5c4… |
| 06-28 15:29:26 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x27e5c4… |
| 06-28 15:26:44 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13bbe1… |
| 06-28 15:26:44 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x13bbe1… |
| 06-28 15:22:34 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa7817d… |
| 06-28 15:22:34 | Junior-Eagle 0xef01…1359 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xa7817d… |
| 06-28 14:06:08 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0140c2… |
| 06-28 14:06:08 | Accomplished-Kimono 0x1d56…be85 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x0140c2… |
| 06-28 14:03:23 | Dual-Recession 0x9680…f6a8 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc5f5a8… |
| 06-28 14:03:23 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc5f5a8… |
| 06-28 13:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x8e7d…b30e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5871df… |
| 06-28 13:01:34 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5871df… |
| 06-28 12:45:40 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x323943… |
| 06-28 12:45:40 | Dual-Recession 0x9680…f6a8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x323943… |
| 06-28 12:31:55 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 268 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75c4d7… |
| 06-28 12:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x3298…68b1 | Yes | SELL | 268 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75c4d7… |
| 06-28 12:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x3298…68b1 | Yes | BUY | 268 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x32bd88… |
| 06-28 12:30:20 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32bd88… |
| 06-28 12:30:20 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 225 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32bd88… |
| 06-28 12:25:16 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc2d7ba… |
| 06-28 12:25:16 | Accomplished-Kimono 0x1d56…be85 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xc2d7ba… |
| 06-28 12:13:11 | Junior-Eagle 0xef01…1359 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x31f727… |
| 06-28 12:13:11 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x31f727… |
| 06-28 11:51:08 | Sparse-Pendant 0x1995…cccf | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe2eba0… |
| 06-28 11:51:08 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2eba0… |
| 06-28 08:12:29 | Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | SELL | 225 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2edb40… |
| 06-28 08:12:29 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 225 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2edb40… |
| 06-25 18:41:05 | (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x154696… |
| 06-25 18:41:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 147 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x154696… |
| 06-25 18:41:05 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 541 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x154696… |
| 06-25 18:41:05 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 343 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x154696… |
| 06-25 13:30:05 | Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xb075a8… |
| 06-25 13:30:05 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb075a8… |
| 06-25 13:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x0e7a…8274 | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x0e9e80… |
| 06-25 13:09:46 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0e9e80… |
| 06-25 13:09:46 | (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x0e9e80… |
| 06-25 13:09:46 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 281 | 99¢ | $280 | 0x0e9e80… |
| 06-25 13:09:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 186 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0e9e80… |
| 06-25 13:09:46 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e9e80… |
| 06-25 13:01:23 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x903be3… |
| 06-25 13:01:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x903be3… |
| 06-25 12:59:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xf45ded… |
| 06-25 12:59:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf45ded… |
| 06-23 00:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe2f15c… |
| 06-23 00:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x0333…7d70 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe2f15c… |