Each-Bake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

312

Trades

704

lifetime

Volume

$9.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-20 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

74% 73% +$1

Crypto

18% 71% +$0

Politics

5% 81% +$0

Sports

3% 45% $0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	10-09 12:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 5?	5	$106	53	53	+0	No	$0	07-05 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 7?	3	$78	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-07 22:03
solana above 90 on july 17 2026	4	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-17 02:59
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	6	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	06-01 05:42
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	5	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-17 14:15
Will Fiorentina win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	01-27 12:26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?	4	$62	31	31	-0	No	$0	07-06 00:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	06-01 20:50
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on June 27?	5	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	06-26 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 26?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-26 03:53
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 2?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-03 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 3?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-03 08:07
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	02-02 05:15
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-11 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 14?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-14 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 26?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-26 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on July 3?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-03 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 2?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-02 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 14?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-14 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 29?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-29 20:32
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-30 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 1?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-01 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on July 11?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-11 13:26
ethereum above 2100 on june 26 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-25 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 25°C or below on July 11?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-10 06:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 15?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-15 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 2?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-03 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 3?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-03 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on July 13?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-12 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 14:43:51	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x40f0d0…
10-20 14:42:56	Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdffe58…
10-16 22:01:57	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad1bd3…
10-09 12:39:13	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x175ce1…
10-04 12:24:53	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb77d7b…
10-04 12:23:58	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1077ca…
10-04 12:23:02	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x285bde…
10-04 12:22:11	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4d8c2d…
10-04 12:21:19	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x963091…
10-04 12:20:28	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x524933…
09-24 08:57:36	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf0155e…
09-12 12:18:18	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc40257…
09-04 18:47:06	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc31d54…
08-31 01:34:12	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd23cdd…
08-24 17:45:22	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xf5bc1c…
08-08 00:13:28	Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fb5b8…
08-05 17:15:41	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0694c8…
07-22 13:27:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 23?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xfbc2d8…
07-22 05:19:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbc336b…
07-22 00:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xfbdc34…
07-21 22:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdad40f…
07-21 19:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe70589…
07-21 18:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x392967…
07-21 17:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7d20e6…
07-21 17:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2d667f…
07-21 15:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 21?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x492cf3…
07-21 14:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x856e3a…
07-21 14:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7afbfa…
07-21 14:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa8378f…
07-21 12:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on July 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7659bc…
07-21 12:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on July 22?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5585d1…
07-21 08:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe8cb8b…
07-21 07:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x46229d…
07-21 03:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 21?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x616528…
07-21 01:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x81ede3…
07-20 23:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1145d1…
07-20 18:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x661c1d…
07-20 10:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x8acf17…
07-20 10:09:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xddfbec…
07-20 07:08:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x043ace…
07-20 06:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa4ce74…
07-20 04:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa99423…
07-20 03:34:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x878022…
07-19 23:53:54	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc01695…
07-19 18:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 20?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x09570a…
07-19 17:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x703083…
07-19 16:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb001a4…
07-19 10:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 19?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd8c19b…
07-19 07:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x45711f…
07-19 05:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on July 20?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd65060…
07-19 05:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x728860…
07-19 04:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on July 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2afbe5…
07-19 04:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on July 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x07c104…
07-19 04:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on July 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f828a…
07-19 01:10:49	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaf5366…
07-19 01:02:49	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfe62b5…
07-19 00:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on July 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x18d692…
07-18 22:59:04	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb52e1a…
07-17 22:24:43	Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3c09c4…
07-17 22:15:58	Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2db1f6…
07-17 15:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x81a120…
07-17 14:15:22	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa1ceb9…
07-17 12:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x49dd19…
07-17 12:12:58	will spy reach 785 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0x1911a6…
07-17 11:58:45	will spy reach 785 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x329707…
07-17 10:46:09	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc85794…
07-17 10:08:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x182a64…
07-17 10:01:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xbf7bf6…
07-17 09:57:57	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa0eb47…
07-17 07:11:31	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf97482…
07-17 04:27:10	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe51dd5…
07-17 03:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 18?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2cbc01…
07-17 03:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 18?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3ccc95…
07-17 02:59:33	solana above 90 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6abee8…
07-17 01:03:50	solana above 90 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb092b6…
07-17 00:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 17?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc796e6…
07-16 23:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 18?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd4a0bf…
07-16 23:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 16?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xf2e9ed…
07-16 21:52:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1ffbb2…
07-16 20:07:16	solana above 90 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6f1af7…
07-16 19:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x38e41e…
07-16 19:23:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4d577a…
07-16 16:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3005e9…
07-16 16:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4d19dd…
07-16 15:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd35465…
07-16 09:56:17	solana above 90 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf4bc05…
07-16 07:49:19	solana above 90 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9ee621…
07-16 06:33:22	bitcoin above 72k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4cfa6b…
07-16 06:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc74e0b…
07-16 06:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on July 16?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x724127…
07-16 06:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x038500…
07-16 05:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on July 16?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9896d7…
07-16 05:34:13	bitcoin above 72k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74ea5a…
07-16 05:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on July 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1e8925…
07-16 03:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1e978…
07-16 00:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 16?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6220ea…
07-15 23:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on July 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb49c8a…
07-15 23:15:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0ba51f…
07-15 22:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 16?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xab0b8a…
07-15 22:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x07b6d9…