Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$196

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

Trades

339

lifetime

Volume

$21.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$1.01K

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 10-21 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

53% 43% -$425

Sports

17% 25% -$258

Politics

15% 7% -$344

Crypto

13% 36% -$404

Tech

1% 0% -$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+3,933	$1,200	26¢	$1.0K	-$197	09-27 22:55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+435	$10	3¢	$11	+$1	10-21 14:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.2K	3,933	0	+3,933	open	—	09-27 22:55
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	12	$1.1K	897	881	+16	No	+$5	06-30 18:19
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$1000	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	$0	07-02 19:57
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	11	$799	400	400	+0	No	$0	06-29 20:30
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?	9	$679	340	340	+0	No	$0	06-29 20:30
Will T1 make a roster change before July?	9	$674	340	340	+0	No	-$6	06-29 20:30
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	6	$654	1,915	1,915	+0	No	+$4	07-02 19:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	6	$635	2,710	2,710	+0	No	-$115	07-02 19:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$582	2,139	2,139	+0	No	-$138	07-02 19:57
will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	8	$579	290	290	+0	No	$0	06-29 20:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$543	963	963	+0	No	-$27	07-02 19:57
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	7	$479	241	240	+1	No	-$1	06-29 20:30
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	6	$418	210	210	+0	No	-$2	06-29 20:30
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?	5	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	06-29 20:30
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	6	$380	190	190	+0	No	$0	06-29 20:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	4	$369	3,082	3,082	+0	No	-$81	07-02 19:57
will canvas valuation hit high 45b by june 30	5	$358	180	180	+0	No	-$1	06-29 20:31
hyperliquid listed on binance by june 30 2026	5	$358	180	180	+0	No	-$2	06-29 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?	2	$350	250	250	+0	No	+$150	06-29 20:28
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?	6	$339	170	170	+0	No	-$1	06-29 20:31
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	2	$335	2,046	2,046	+0	No	+$35	07-02 19:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$333	33,300	0	+33,300	No	-$333	06-02 21:32
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$310	1,766	1,766	+0	No	+$10	07-02 19:57
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	4	$301	151	151	+0	No	+$1	06-29 20:31
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$289	1,796	1,796	+0	No	-$11	07-02 19:57
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	2	$267	1,721	1,721	+0	No	-$33	07-02 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?	3	$260	212	211	+1	Yes	+$162	06-29 20:28
will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 118	4	$259	130	130	+0	No	-$1	06-29 20:31
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	2	$251	2,303	2,303	+0	No	-$49	07-02 19:56
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	42	$242	246	246	+0	cancelled	$0	06-08 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 14:29:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x69e3c4…
09-27 22:55:36	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,933	31¢	$1,200	0x297215…
07-02 19:57:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	82	98¢	$81	0x78209c…
07-02 19:57:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	85	93¢	$79	0x8b1d9d…
07-02 19:57:55	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	86	85¢	$72	0x096221…
07-02 19:57:53	Will Kyler Murray be traded?	Yes	SELL	91	15¢	$14	0xb213c9…
07-02 19:57:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	119	96¢	$114	0x5d5cfd…
07-02 19:57:47	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	No	SELL	162	9¢	$15	0x9db1f2…
07-02 19:57:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	283	12¢	$34	0x2d1b44…
07-02 19:57:43	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	357	5¢	$18	0x61b268…
07-02 19:57:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	413	10¢	$41	0x39c45d…
07-02 19:57:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	469	10¢	$45	0x28bcef…
07-02 19:57:35	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	583	3¢	$16	0x05830d…
07-02 19:57:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	590	3¢	$20	0x9e1937…
07-02 19:57:31	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	696	3¢	$21	0x1af2a5…
07-02 19:57:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	698	26¢	$181	0xb1fbf0…
07-02 19:57:25	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	871	2¢	$18	0xd3f650…
07-02 19:57:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	924	3¢	$29	0x0cfe9b…
07-02 19:57:20	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	1,111	45¢	$500	0xa250de…
07-02 19:57:19	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	1,409	14¢	$200	0x647c23…
07-02 19:57:16	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,439	2¢	$25	0xb47d2b…
07-02 19:57:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	1,460	6¢	$88	0xb4f417…
07-02 19:57:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1,721	6¢	$103	0xfa3fd7…
07-02 19:57:08	Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	1,721	7¢	$117	0x340dee…
07-02 19:57:05	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	1,766	9¢	$160	0xb518b5…
07-02 19:57:02	Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	1,796	8¢	$139	0x9c2695…
07-02 19:57:01	Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	2,046	9¢	$185	0x4ad039…
07-02 19:56:58	Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	2,303	4¢	$101	0x10b4a6…
07-02 19:56:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	2,381	2¢	$40	0x208fcf…
07-02 19:56:52	Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	4,236	1¢	$55	0x9838c7…
07-02 19:56:50	Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	4,275	0¢	$16	0xffb6c4…
07-02 19:56:47	Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	4,579	2¢	$70	0xece312…
07-02 19:56:44	Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	4,621	1¢	$46	0xdb64e2…
07-02 19:56:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5,100	1¢	$63	0x84b668…
07-02 19:56:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	8,344	1¢	$70	0x489b53…
07-02 08:39:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	130	27¢	$35	0x8f7a25…
07-02 08:39:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	131	27¢	$35	0xb160d1…
07-02 08:39:53	Will Kyler Murray be traded?	Yes	BUY	91	39¢	$35	0x3f5915…
07-02 08:39:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	175	20¢	$35	0x80c458…
07-02 08:39:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	292	12¢	$35	0xae18c3…
07-02 08:39:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	198	18¢	$35	0x00b849…
07-02 08:39:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	924	8¢	$75	0xffc3e0…
07-02 08:39:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	1,071	7¢	$75	0xdffea3…
07-02 08:16:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	1,667	7¢	$117	0x05d798…
07-02 07:57:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,230	2¢	$30	0xa71893…
07-02 07:03:52	Will Kyler Murray be traded?	Yes	SELL	559	5¢	$28	0x686781…
07-02 05:43:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	3,000	2¢	$63	0xbb06ff…
07-02 05:27:22	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0x621140…
07-02 05:27:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1,429	14¢	$200	0xf82976…
07-02 05:27:20	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	1,409	14¢	$200	0xea570c…
07-02 05:27:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	1,667	12¢	$200	0xbf0d6f…
07-02 05:27:19	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	1,766	8¢	$150	0x4ede3d…
07-02 05:27:17	Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	1,796	8¢	$150	0xa5f0e2…
07-02 05:27:16	Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	1,721	9¢	$150	0xb9c469…
07-02 05:27:16	Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	2,046	7¢	$150	0x9eae26…
07-02 05:27:14	Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	2,303	7¢	$150	0x94e061…
07-02 05:27:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	3,000	5¢	$150	0xa97fe0…
07-02 05:27:13	Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	4,236	2¢	$100	0x758c22…
07-02 05:27:11	Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	4,275	2¢	$100	0x8b25d2…
07-02 05:27:10	Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	4,579	2¢	$100	0xd007e7…
07-02 05:27:08	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5,100	2¢	$100	0xa53c61…
07-02 05:27:08	Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	4,621	2¢	$100	0x6bb7c1…
07-02 05:27:07	Will Kyler Murray be traded?	Yes	BUY	559	18¢	$100	0xa42c1b…
07-02 05:27:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	8,344	1¢	$100	0x22cd5e…
07-02 05:25:14	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	453	2¢	$7	0x3952c7…
07-02 04:31:01	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,437	3¢	$50	0xced95f…
07-02 04:30:11	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	999	2¢	$24	0xfcf18b…
07-02 02:39:11	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	999	5¢	$50	0x01499b…
07-02 02:39:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,229	4¢	$50	0x404c56…
07-02 02:38:22	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	592	3¢	$18	0xa1bb32…
07-02 02:38:20	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	641	3¢	$21	0xca63d9…
07-01 23:59:41	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	2,381	2¢	$50	0x9f30ce…
07-01 21:35:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x18df8f…
07-01 21:34:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	99	29¢	$29	0x9a8920…
07-01 21:33:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xca001c…
07-01 21:28:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	1,250	2¢	$23	0x731a1f…
07-01 21:22:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x2562bb…
07-01 20:58:32	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	389	9¢	$35	0x43738e…
07-01 20:58:31	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	593	6¢	$35	0xffa954…
07-01 20:58:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	641	5¢	$35	0xd946d2…
07-01 20:57:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	583	4¢	$25	0xab7ab2…
07-01 20:57:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	590	4¢	$25	0x791e33…
07-01 20:56:59	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	696	4¢	$25	0xcb9d51…
07-01 20:56:58	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	871	3¢	$25	0x64940d…
07-01 20:56:56	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	453	6¢	$25	0x7c55a0…
07-01 20:56:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x713ccc…
07-01 20:53:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	166	29¢	$48	0x1fe445…
07-01 20:53:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	333	12¢	$40	0x3f7313…
07-01 20:46:14	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	420	14¢	$57	0xe9db10…
07-01 19:25:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xd010eb…
07-01 19:23:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xfc3283…
07-01 19:23:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xa698a8…
07-01 19:23:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	272	18¢	$50	0x0a4550…
07-01 19:23:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0xf5b1ba…
07-01 19:23:52	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	86	88¢	$75	0x988a98…
07-01 07:15:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	82	91¢	$75	0x846432…
07-01 00:43:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xd36acc…
07-01 00:43:40	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	420	12¢	$50	0x652273…
07-01 00:35:07	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x760e72…
07-01 00:35:05	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x2fe559…