Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
open
Total volume
$585
$23 in 24h
Trades
55
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,897
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-19 20:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9
vs crowd: 4% YES on $497)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $8 | $39 | $32 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $0 | $166 | $166 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $7 | $273 | $266 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | $31 | $21 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $5 | $165 | $160 |
| unranked | 12 | $1 | $263 | $262 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Windy-Leeway 0xbf45…fb80 | Yes | +180 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 06-10 15:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +171 | $165 | $165 | 4 | 06-18 00:03 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b13…28df | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 06-17 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | +76 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 06-17 14:28 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +51 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-18 14:22 |
| Hairy-Retrospective 0x50b3…fa74 | No | +41 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-30 08:31 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-30 08:31 |
| Lumpy-Priesthood 0x1342…8c75 | No | +20 | $19 | $49 | 2 | 06-17 03:15 |
| Elated-Clothing 0x8232…0ad1 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc990…3139 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x59cb…0c53 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 23:07 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-31 23:07 |
| Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-15 22:13 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 16:37 |
| Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 16:37 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $4 | $58 | 6 | 06-19 20:22 |
| Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | +3 | $-0 | $0 | 4 | 06-16 10:32 |
| Hoarse-Exile 0xb2c3…be17 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 14:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 20:22:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x763f55… |
| 06-19 20:22:34 | (anonymous) 0x7365…61b0 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x763f55… |
| 06-18 14:22:04 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 146 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf8c1c0… |
| 06-18 14:22:04 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf8c1c0… |
| 06-18 14:22:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8c1c0… |
| 06-18 00:03:14 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x03b6af… |
| 06-18 00:03:14 | Unsteady-Agency 0xb4ee…cc59 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x03b6af… |
| 06-17 14:28:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b13…28df | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x101529… |
| 06-17 14:28:25 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x101529… |
| 06-17 14:28:25 | (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x101529… |
| 06-17 14:28:25 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x101529… |
| 06-17 14:28:25 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 146 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x101529… |
| 06-17 03:15:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x74e482… |
| 06-17 03:15:12 | Lumpy-Priesthood 0x1342…8c75 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x74e482… |
| 06-17 03:15:12 | (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x74e482… |
| 06-16 10:32:28 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe8169… |
| 06-16 10:32:28 | Unaware-Raffle 0x5cfa…6362 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe8169… |
| 06-16 02:52:25 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb7f14b… |
| 06-16 02:52:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb7f14b… |
| 06-16 02:42:30 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x633972… |
| 06-16 02:42:30 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x633972… |
| 06-15 22:13:28 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x54a546… |
| 06-15 22:13:28 | Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x54a546… |
| 06-12 17:25:04 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x52fde7… |
| 06-12 17:25:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x52fde7… |
| 06-11 13:26:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeadc71… |
| 06-11 13:26:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xeadc71… |
| 06-11 13:26:07 | Baggy-Rehospitalization 0x03dc…132a | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeadc71… |
| 06-11 13:25:52 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2d4b32… |
| 06-11 13:25:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x2d4b32… |
| 06-11 13:25:52 | Baggy-Rehospitalization 0x03dc…132a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2d4b32… |
| 06-10 15:33:43 | Windy-Leeway 0xbf45…fb80 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x5818ce… |
| 06-10 15:33:43 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 148 | 97¢ | $144 | 0x5818ce… |
| 06-10 15:33:43 | (anonymous) 0x39f4…f75f | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x5818ce… |
| 06-08 07:47:07 | Windy-Leeway 0xbf45…fb80 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe1ed10… |
| 06-08 07:47:07 | (anonymous) 0x7365…61b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe1ed10… |
| 06-08 05:40:33 | Lumpy-Priesthood 0x1342…8c75 | No | BUY | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x6bb4a2… |
| 06-08 05:40:33 | Windy-Leeway 0xbf45…fb80 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6bb4a2… |
| 06-07 08:21:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b13…28df | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x01ba64… |
| 06-07 08:21:57 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x01ba64… |
| 06-07 08:21:57 | Windy-Leeway 0xbf45…fb80 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x01ba64… |
| 06-06 21:47:31 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x329350… |
| 06-06 21:47:31 | (anonymous) 0xc990…3139 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x329350… |
| 06-04 16:37:57 | Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xad15e3… |
| 06-04 16:37:57 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xad15e3… |
| 06-01 19:57:15 | Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd3ff80… |
| 06-01 19:57:15 | Elated-Clothing 0x8232…0ad1 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xd3ff80… |
| 06-01 19:57:15 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd3ff80… |
| 05-31 23:07:46 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x376744… |
| 05-31 23:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x59cb…0c53 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x376744… |
| 05-30 08:31:39 | Hairy-Retrospective 0x50b3…fa74 | No | BUY | 41 | 90¢ | $37 | 0x3cda8e… |
| 05-30 08:31:39 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x3cda8e… |
| 05-30 08:31:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x3cda8e… |
| 05-29 14:41:37 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc2f01e… |
| 05-29 14:41:37 | Hoarse-Exile 0xb2c3…be17 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc2f01e… |