Disastrous-Beastie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

115

Trades

275

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-30 00:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

96% 63% -$8

Politics

4% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 01:45
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-26 20:20
Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-16 23:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-28 22:10
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:01
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-25 12:54
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-20 22:42
Will Robert Menendez Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-08?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	06-03 02:24
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 21:15
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 21:58
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-21 05:24
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-29 02:45
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-23 13:48
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 19:10
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-07 20:06
Will the US add between 200k and 250k jobs in April?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-07 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 7?	7	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 8?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-06 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 10:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-26 20:15
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 13:59
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-12 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on May 12?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 14:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 00:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe0f10d…
06-29 12:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8e86ef…
06-29 02:45:11	Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3619c9…
06-28 22:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x7f4d8f…
06-28 21:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7ea8bd…
06-28 03:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x923ff7…
06-28 03:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1dfa9a…
06-27 11:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfb4bb5…
06-27 11:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x8850ed…
06-27 11:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 27?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xdbb377…
06-26 12:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xc5eb96…
06-26 12:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5401e5…
06-25 12:54:25	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x821702…
06-25 02:59:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2ae895…
06-25 02:29:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb062e7…
06-24 06:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x1bad51…
06-24 06:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xab000c…
06-24 01:45:22	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x63414b…
06-23 13:48:34	Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x23a029…
06-23 07:35:52	Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x70be66…
06-23 07:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5b0fc7…
06-22 00:08:14	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x3cf3c8…
06-21 21:58:08	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc4eb98…
06-21 05:24:20	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x92bc80…
06-20 16:14:16	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x00ceea…
06-19 22:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7d1d24…
06-19 18:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfe9a48…
06-19 17:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc681f…
06-19 14:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 20?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x087e73…
06-19 14:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x234c21…
06-18 07:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xb99bb4…
06-18 07:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x2b1a25…
06-18 00:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x40b339…
06-17 19:10:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcd0354…
06-17 17:39:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbdd568…
06-16 02:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd4b35f…
06-15 03:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa314f2…
06-15 03:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x68c3d2…
06-14 06:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x57e86b…
06-14 05:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5f030e…
06-13 08:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9f4f3e…
06-13 08:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x43a515…
06-13 08:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc53a31…
06-13 08:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf60343…
06-12 07:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x14e668…
06-12 07:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xcbf193…
06-11 12:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x30591b…
06-11 12:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4402d6…
06-11 12:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x05617e…
06-10 20:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xe1a795…
06-10 14:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 11?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3e7ebe…
06-09 02:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa79ca8…
06-09 01:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6118b6…
06-08 13:01:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf19a56…
06-08 12:21:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe79dff…
06-08 11:30:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf590b3…
06-08 08:39:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 8?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xbe17ed…
06-07 15:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe8cdd7…
06-07 15:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1b596a…
06-07 14:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xc45daf…
06-07 12:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 8?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5d53a1…
06-06 21:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1dfc8d…
06-06 21:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x15aeff…
06-06 21:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xeaa51c…
06-06 21:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 7?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5299d7…
06-06 13:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8d5e0e…
06-06 02:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xaa290c…
06-06 02:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a2ce7…
06-05 12:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x46bcc7…
06-04 17:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb08764…
06-04 17:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8ffab0…
06-04 04:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xa56c51…
06-03 16:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 4?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf68874…
06-03 02:24:30	Will Robert Menendez Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-08?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9f4341…
06-02 17:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x498bdc…
06-02 16:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 3?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xab5b44…
06-02 08:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xd62829…
06-02 08:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x990fab…
06-02 07:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x6c04eb…
06-01 20:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe7e391…
06-01 20:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x790339…
06-01 20:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb8ca27…
06-01 19:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x29adc7…
06-01 10:29:41	Will Robert Menendez Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-08?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x595dbd…
05-31 19:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xc26244…
05-31 16:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x596649…
05-31 06:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x973159…
05-31 05:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xee67a2…
05-31 04:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x319d1c…
05-30 16:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9e7f14…
05-30 03:29:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x63a83c…
05-30 03:28:07	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcc4919…
05-29 20:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x7a0343…
05-29 20:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x46cf65…
05-29 16:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x12c55f…
05-29 07:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7d82e9…
05-29 07:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x53a31f…
05-29 06:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd3bc9c…
05-28 22:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xee178d…
05-28 22:10:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7c0e93…