Unwritten-Surplus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

112

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-04 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

90% 58% +$3

Politics

10% 88% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-29 02:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59.25 and 60 million views in week 1?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	07-04 12:48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	06-03 17:39
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-29 17:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-22 00:35
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-08 12:30
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-25 12:54
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:16
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	07-01 01:49
Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 05:05
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-09 03:53
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-21 05:24
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-09 03:50
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-15 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 00:51
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 14:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 8?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 10?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 08:58
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-09 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-10 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 8?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 21:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 06:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 12:48:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 59.25 and 60 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0ed14f…
07-04 07:06:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 59.25 and 60 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb54fec…
07-01 01:49:22	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xec86d6…
06-29 02:45:23	Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa906aa…
06-29 02:44:59	Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe21c90…
06-29 00:05:35	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xefb79a…
06-28 10:08:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 28?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x7d9663…
06-28 10:06:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe9f4fa…
06-27 16:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x105fdb…
06-27 16:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6012df…
06-27 06:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3f5098…
06-26 23:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x49f115…
06-26 00:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xedc12d…
06-25 22:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x72c35a…
06-25 21:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x95c0c8…
06-25 14:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb1fc81…
06-25 12:54:25	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x561e35…
06-24 23:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7b6e95…
06-24 23:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8315ac…
06-24 23:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbe6865…
06-24 05:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x189331…
06-24 04:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x81a64f…
06-24 04:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9f3c62…
06-24 03:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x507326…
06-24 03:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 24?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb66c06…
06-23 05:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x49a161…
06-23 05:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x0da361…
06-23 02:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 23?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1878a0…
06-23 02:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdade93…
06-21 09:45:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x097cc4…
06-21 05:24:10	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xce1f6a…
06-21 04:07:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x278f2f…
06-20 03:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe666ee…
06-20 03:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2930d9…
06-19 12:21:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x011208…
06-19 07:00:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f081d…
06-16 19:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x8781fc…
06-16 16:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 17?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x661c71…
06-15 15:35:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x750cbb…
06-15 08:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf57cfe…
06-15 06:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x529fd4…
06-15 06:07:55	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x12d8f2…
06-14 09:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xa76817…
06-14 08:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1ecfbd…
06-14 08:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x7f454b…
06-13 12:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3467fb…
06-13 12:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1f59f4…
06-13 12:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x646e2b…
06-13 10:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfb1d0c…
06-12 14:05:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x46c170…
06-12 03:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf33841…
06-11 21:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8e722a…
06-11 20:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7b2cef…
06-10 22:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x9eeea9…
06-10 21:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 11?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa75bb6…
06-09 07:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xecee31…
06-09 06:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x04fc79…
06-09 03:53:01	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8f53db…
06-09 03:50:01	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe88d39…
06-08 09:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe60778…
06-08 09:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1260d2…
06-08 07:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 8?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x548f93…
06-08 05:05:09	Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc51d4c…
06-07 15:50:09	Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xec098d…
06-07 06:49:18	Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x81ac70…
06-06 12:24:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd36f64…
06-06 12:23:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1ef4f8…
06-06 12:23:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7381be…
06-06 12:18:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc8290a…
06-05 16:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x0c37ab…
06-05 16:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 6?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb1def5…
06-05 00:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb4e86a…
06-04 22:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa22df5…
06-04 06:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa57b87…
06-04 06:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x221e0a…
06-03 17:39:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc3fc86…
06-02 18:59:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x1c3bf7…
06-02 07:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0c462f…
06-02 04:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xd90e19…
06-02 04:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xfdab44…
06-02 04:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 2?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x97b7ac…
06-01 14:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3e01a3…
06-01 07:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x360e7f…
06-01 07:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa7fde8…
05-31 22:16:18	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd79f32…
05-31 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 81°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x454ed2…
05-31 12:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 81°F or below on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3fa5a1…
05-31 03:31:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x2d2492…
05-31 01:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x954ecc…
05-30 12:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4d0544…
05-30 03:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x88bb94…
05-30 02:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6e6913…
05-29 18:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc68581…
05-29 18:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa243ec…
05-29 18:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x7f1b84…
05-29 18:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x346e3a…
05-29 17:46:39	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7964b5…
05-29 07:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xdb0ef2…
05-29 06:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfd1659…
05-29 04:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x0c6b63…