Alarmed-Vintner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-31 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

71% 95% -$13

Sports

24% 94% -$12

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$67	41	41	+0	Lakers	-$14	04-25 02:34
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	05-28 07:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	07-12 17:21
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$50	50	0	+50	Thunder	+$0	04-25 21:45
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$45	45	0	+45	Spurs	+$0	05-16 03:51
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$45	45	0	+45	Spurs	+$0	05-31 02:44
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$40	40	0	+40	Pistons	+$0	05-02 01:32
highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 9c	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-12 01:09
highest temperature in atlanta on march 15 2026 68 69f	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-15 08:43
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	06-27 22:27
highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 68 69f	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-12 23:55
highest temperature in wellington on march 13 2026 20c	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-12 23:34
nba lal hou 2026 03 18	1	$25	25	0	+25	Lakers	+$0	03-19 04:03
nba chi dal 2026 04 12	1	$25	25	0	+25	Mavericks	+$0	04-13 02:12
ethereum above 1400 on july 3 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	07-02 15:56
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	06-24 23:27
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	07-14 20:44
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 13 2026 31c	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-13 17:00
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-25 13:11
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	1	$22	22	0	+22	Suns	+$0	04-18 04:33
highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 17c	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-14 05:23
highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 8c	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-15 02:30
highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 10c	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-12 23:14
highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 5c	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-12 18:22
nba sac atl 2026 03 28	1	$21	21	0	+21	Hawks	+$0	03-29 01:44
nba mil por 2026 03 25	1	$20	20	0	+20	Trail Blazers	+$0	03-26 04:04
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	1	$20	20	0	+20	Rockets	+$0	04-08 05:34
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	1	$20	20	0	+20	Lakers	+$0	04-01 04:44
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-14 14:57
nba gsw was 2026 03 16	1	$20	20	0	+20	Warriors	+$0	03-17 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:09:36	Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x073603…
08-31 02:46:45	Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8da550…
07-27 19:08:06	will tsla reach 450 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2007d8…
07-25 11:58:13	spcx above 180 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdddfb1…
07-14 20:44:08	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xbed5b2…
07-12 17:21:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x34db77…
07-02 15:56:59	ethereum above 1400 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x214604…
06-27 22:27:55	Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x05ebb5…
06-25 13:11:56	Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb1d274…
06-24 23:27:31	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x84eb40…
06-14 14:57:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x881302…
05-31 02:44:35	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x34d76f…
05-28 07:51:15	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf004d2…
05-16 03:51:38	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb7647e…
05-02 01:32:24	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x37d36b…
04-25 21:45:14	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbdbc9e…
04-25 02:34:46	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	41	65¢	$27	0x3b3082…
04-25 02:31:26	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x5b1017…
04-18 04:33:00	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2537b3…
04-13 02:12:35	nba chi dal 2026 04 12	Mavericks	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdc42da…
04-08 05:34:05	nba hou phx 2026 04 07	Rockets	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x687354…
04-01 04:44:55	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Lakers	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7b986e…
03-29 01:44:22	nba sac atl 2026 03 28	Hawks	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x97005e…
03-26 04:04:35	nba mil por 2026 03 25	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd59c6b…
03-25 02:30:27	nba orl cle 2026 03 24	Cavaliers	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe305a2…
03-22 03:52:47	nba phi uta 2026 03 21	76ers	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x54db89…
03-19 04:03:13	nba lal hou 2026 03 18	Lakers	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6eb0d1…
03-17 01:29:03	nba gsw was 2026 03 16	Warriors	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x721010…
03-15 23:27:27	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 21c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x573bb1…
03-15 19:34:25	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 21c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x92bb9e…
03-15 08:43:33	highest temperature in atlanta on march 15 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x843d82…
03-15 02:30:15	highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 8c	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc06138…
03-14 12:42:57	highest temperature in atlanta on march 15 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2db4aa…
03-14 12:42:55	highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 8c	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xc06742…
03-14 05:23:11	highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x540678…
03-14 04:57:19	highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdf2ea4…
03-13 19:26:33	highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 43forbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x664341…
03-13 17:00:41	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 13 2026 31c	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb139af…
03-13 08:18:27	highest temperature in singapore on march 13 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1a0e95…
03-12 23:55:29	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x00d2a6…
03-12 23:34:05	highest temperature in wellington on march 13 2026 20c	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x71edf7…
03-12 23:14:15	highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 10c	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9ef93f…
03-12 22:02:23	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 13 2026 31c	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x01c8cf…
03-12 18:22:25	highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 5c	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1f0485…
03-12 18:04:19	highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 10c	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x9f8cc0…
03-12 16:30:03	highest temperature in wellington on march 13 2026 20c	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x211411…
03-12 14:03:13	highest temperature in hong kong on march 13 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x41a5cd…
03-12 11:28:09	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xfc7eac…
03-12 11:03:05	highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 50 51f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2049ae…
03-12 07:17:33	highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa5863e…
03-12 01:09:51	highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 9c	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7ed71d…
03-11 23:52:35	highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 5c	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xa79ad5…
03-11 14:22:59	highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 9c	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf4fe78…
03-11 05:08:23	highest temperature in wellington on march 11 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb210ab…
03-10 14:10:15	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xaf3525…
03-09 08:43:57	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb91c14…
03-08 08:37:03	highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfe0669…
03-08 06:07:59	highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5a9203…
03-08 02:00:23	highest temperature in seattle on march 8 2026 44 45f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x344dae…
03-07 14:33:33	highest temperature in seattle on march 8 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa55b5a…
03-07 06:26:55	highest temperature in ankara on march 7 2026 4c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb39f45…
03-07 02:11:07	highest temperature in seoul on march 7 2026 7c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2cd823…
03-06 20:45:27	highest temperature in chicago on march 6 2026 72forhigher	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x70ccc4…
03-06 16:13:43	highest temperature in munich on march 6 2026 17corhigher	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x27cdd7…
03-06 12:51:33	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 5 be between 2000000 and 2200000	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x627c46…
03-06 12:00:51	highest temperature in seoul on march 7 2026 7c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc09b6d…
03-06 12:00:51	highest temperature in ankara on march 7 2026 4c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1c2d1c…
03-06 01:41:57	highest temperature in dallas on march 5 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6ad174…
03-05 19:43:45	highest temperature in munich on march 6 2026 17corhigher	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7d86ff…
03-05 18:22:35	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 86forhigher	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5a1a88…
03-05 14:55:39	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 78 79f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x77943b…
03-05 14:16:55	highest temperature in chicago on march 6 2026 72forhigher	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf43e78…
03-05 10:30:57	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6948d6…
03-05 04:58:19	highest temperature in seoul on march 5 2026 11corhigher	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9f76ef…
03-05 04:25:05	highest temperature in seoul on march 5 2026 11corhigher	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8cb0f1…
03-04 23:35:55	highest temperature in dallas on march 5 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x236d91…
03-04 18:32:09	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 86forhigher	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbd3b80…
03-04 14:04:07	highest temperature in wellington on march 5 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xae3ebe…
03-04 10:51:49	highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 8c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe611b2…
03-04 10:46:01	highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 8c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa88f61…
03-04 03:39:37	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 5 be between 2000000 and 2200000	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4ba20b…
03-04 03:18:03	Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x479d91…
03-03 21:30:23	highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 10corhigher	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x08b705…
03-03 16:43:49	andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 130 159	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x934330…
03-03 16:35:39	andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 130 159	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x11d8a3…
03-03 13:34:53	highest temperature in paris on march 3 2026 16c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x36ed28…
03-03 10:22:17	highest temperature in paris on march 3 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2a729c…
03-03 04:30:17	highest temperature in wellington on march 3 2026 15c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x352010…
03-02 21:42:09	Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8105d6…
03-02 14:38:59	highest temperature in atlanta on march 3 2026 62forhigher	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b3a3f…
03-02 10:32:47	highest temperature in miami on march 2 2026 75forbelow	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x48dea5…
03-02 02:50:03	highest temperature in miami on march 2 2026 75forbelow	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb4326f…
03-01 18:05:31	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 1 2026 31c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x353355…
03-01 13:55:59	highest temperature in miami on march 1 2026 75forbelow	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbd061b…
03-01 00:54:35	will tommaso paradiso win sanremo 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf3f59a…
02-28 12:00:49	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 1 2026 31c	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x92e17d…
02-28 12:00:49	highest temperature in miami on march 1 2026 75forbelow	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1cfe8a…
02-28 05:01:49	highest temperature in toronto on february 28 2026 4c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x262cc8…
02-28 04:57:07	highest temperature in toronto on february 28 2026 4c	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x49a757…
02-27 13:59:07	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 27	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0ac99a…