Afraid-Chive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

377

Trades

813

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-28 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

79% 70% $0

Crypto

14% 71% +$0

Politics

5% 65% $0

Sports

2% 50% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+4	$3	100¢	$4	+$0	10-12 00:57
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+3	$3	100¢	$3	$0	10-22 10:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?	5	$122	61	61	+0	No	$0	07-13 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 27?	3	$94	47	47	+0	No	$0	07-26 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on July 23?	3	$78	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-23 09:25
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	08-01 05:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	4	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 00:35
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 25?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	06-24 12:50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-10 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 24?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-24 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on July 21?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C or below on July 8?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-08 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 22?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-21 13:23
will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-03 03:00
bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	08-01 05:24
Will Katie Bansil be the Democratic nominee for NJ-06?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-01 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on May 29?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-29 14:37
will nflx reach 82 50 by july 13 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-17 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on July 3?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-02 17:54
Will National Construction Movement (BINAA) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-01 22:25
Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-05 01:07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 30?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 6?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-05 21:07
will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-01 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on July 24?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 12:40
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-01 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 16?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-16 11:44
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-31 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on July 4?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-04 07:09
will solana dip to 50 june 22 28 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-28 15:31
will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-30 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on July 30?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 08:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:30:36	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcdf48d…
10-28 01:29:44	Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdd80b8…
10-22 10:16:15	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8f7a3d…
10-12 00:57:27	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x0c4b0c…
09-20 13:57:45	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xff5187…
09-07 08:42:21	Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc196d…
09-02 20:30:03	Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf65852…
08-27 03:46:55	Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d276f…
08-06 07:01:23	xrp above 1pt2 on august 6 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x27da06…
08-06 06:43:50	Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x11dad2…
08-06 06:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x13be29…
08-05 15:54:27	xrp above 1pt2 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf02e9b…
08-05 10:54:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x53a1ff…
08-05 07:58:24	Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x8c2448…
08-05 04:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x85947e…
08-05 02:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x62ba25…
08-05 01:07:26	Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x71d9a6…
08-04 22:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe89e93…
08-04 21:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on August 4?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x989bc9…
08-04 19:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfef506…
08-04 17:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on August 5?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd2ca83…
08-04 17:58:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 4?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x35815d…
08-04 17:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 4?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x558efe…
08-04 17:55:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 4?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x21b48a…
08-04 11:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x909f44…
08-04 09:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x850492…
08-04 06:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1e2429…
08-04 04:17:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 4?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xde162b…
08-04 03:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 4?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x62ef55…
08-03 23:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on August 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2963ce…
08-03 19:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd37624…
08-03 17:28:32	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe2c524…
08-03 17:06:06	will josh hader be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533473	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd29597…
08-03 15:52:17	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98bbf5…
08-03 12:08:24	Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe377ab…
08-03 11:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 3?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x30f8a0…
08-03 08:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9ae4dd…
08-03 06:15:30	will josh hader be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533473	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe0c7bf…
08-03 03:00:15	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xd0219c…
08-03 02:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 3?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9857fe…
08-03 02:39:38	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe3f8a6…
08-03 02:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x9b3012…
08-03 02:06:30	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcf31a3…
08-02 21:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x07a5f8…
08-02 20:13:38	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe8015e…
08-02 18:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4fc281…
08-02 17:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 2?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4a8053…
08-02 16:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb6a8be…
08-02 15:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa95cdb…
08-02 15:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 2?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x528845…
08-02 14:52:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x56c1f3…
08-02 13:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5aa963…
08-02 12:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x72edae…
08-02 11:23:12	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x182780…
08-02 11:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5ecab…
08-02 07:21:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0715d5…
08-02 06:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2273fb…
08-02 06:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf98236…
08-02 06:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 2?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x933738…
08-02 06:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 2?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb9e3ef…
08-02 03:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9f03d0…
08-02 00:31:32	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 1	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3eae96…
08-01 22:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 2?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9a4222…
08-01 22:22:09	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xb15ecb…
08-01 22:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 1?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9b868a…
08-01 22:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 2?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x712d26…
08-01 21:39:30	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 1	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9791d3…
08-01 21:09:08	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xa91330…
08-01 18:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 2?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa244f2…
08-01 16:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb266fb…
08-01 16:34:54	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb727c7…
08-01 16:22:41	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeca66a…
08-01 12:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe97e44…
08-01 10:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x827ad6…
08-01 10:02:53	Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x278907…
08-01 08:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa2e6fc…
08-01 07:34:36	Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xbd0a88…
08-01 05:30:18	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x43421a…
08-01 05:27:26	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x873892…
08-01 05:24:18	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x4b854a…
08-01 02:23:17	Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xca7001…
08-01 01:08:17	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf164e8…
07-31 23:56:51	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3c03a0…
07-31 22:50:44	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x55aae0…
07-31 20:17:59	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb82af1…
07-31 17:01:44	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7b9f0c…
07-31 16:55:50	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3c0690…
07-31 15:19:09	will pltr dip to 90 in july 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb6b7f9…
07-31 15:16:41	will xauusd reach 4300 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2a3102…
07-31 14:47:48	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4213a4…
07-31 14:24:21	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x562819…
07-31 13:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x75e251…
07-31 13:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x23cfde…
07-31 11:48:36	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x40a5b5…
07-31 10:13:44	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd123f…
07-31 09:25:17	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc2946f…
07-31 08:03:12	will xauusd reach 4300 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc116f…
07-31 05:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x162fff…
07-31 03:57:24	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1420a7…
07-31 02:35:57	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0e7ec6…