Demanding-Glass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

402

Trades

883

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-21 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

80% 73% +$1

Crypto

16% 77% +$0

Politics

2% 71% +$0

Sports

1% 25% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	4	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	07-31 06:56
xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-17 06:56
ethereum above 2000 on july 26 2026	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-26 15:58
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-11 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 4?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-04 21:07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on July 23?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-23 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	08-07 14:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-13 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 1?	6	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-01 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 28?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-28 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or higher on August 3?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-03 00:41
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on July 24?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 1?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-01 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 7?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-07 17:14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 31?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-01 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-25 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C or higher on July 25?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 10:05
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-26 01:46
will nflx reach 82 50 by july 13 2026	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-17 19:30
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 20	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 15?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-14 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C or below on August 9?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-08 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-26 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-30 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 2?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-01 23:04
will xauusd dip to 3900 by august 3 2026	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-07 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on July 29?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-29 03:02
will bitcoin reach 68k july 27 august 2 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-02 06:49
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 13?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-13 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 01:34:03	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd11c67…
09-02 16:33:34	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa021ae…
09-01 15:33:55	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5dfa89…
09-01 10:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4f168e…
09-01 09:23:51	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6f7ece…
09-01 09:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe29168…
09-01 08:51:13	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x88f60b…
09-01 06:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa59d81…
09-01 05:59:34	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb19cfe…
09-01 04:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe7ed90…
09-01 01:47:31	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x04876d…
08-31 18:55:27	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x15ccbd…
08-31 18:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x32800e…
08-31 17:40:07	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd0deed…
08-31 16:33:54	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2df285…
08-31 13:37:13	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6da167…
08-31 05:59:58	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7c2254…
08-31 00:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on August 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x788ad0…
08-30 22:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc90bf0…
08-30 21:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x201ff6…
08-30 21:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf13d72…
08-30 18:30:54	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5a8ab…
08-30 15:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xece7ac…
08-30 06:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5f8336…
08-30 05:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8ba9ce…
08-30 05:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9df2cb…
08-30 05:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x677441…
08-30 05:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x60eb5b…
08-29 22:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfc20cb…
08-28 20:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7341b7…
08-28 19:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf94c6e…
08-28 14:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 28?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xcfaaeb…
08-28 12:43:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x018d98…
08-28 11:19:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x21adb7…
08-28 05:57:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8099b6…
08-28 05:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x49105b…
08-28 00:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x05ba5f…
08-27 20:05:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe44c8b…
08-27 17:05:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xde53a5…
08-27 13:41:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 27?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4a4102…
08-27 09:30:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf9104f…
08-27 07:49:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa38fde…
08-27 06:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 27?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfe9be3…
08-27 04:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x57e71b…
08-27 04:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1de7e4…
08-27 02:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x98685a…
08-27 02:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa846d6…
08-27 02:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x867776…
08-27 02:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb0f3be…
08-27 00:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8f5cbc…
08-26 23:16:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on August 27?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf4804a…
08-26 20:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa91d22…
08-26 17:02:25	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x717912…
08-25 14:11:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x46fb2b…
08-25 13:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x8e8e6c…
08-25 12:23:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xda6648…
08-25 07:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x990b94…
08-25 05:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe3bceb…
08-25 03:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x49629a…
08-25 03:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x865916…
08-25 02:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5b2717…
08-25 00:02:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x106621…
08-24 23:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0x7461bf…
08-24 22:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xfaa7cd…
08-24 20:35:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76f5d6…
08-24 18:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xfa1e35…
08-24 05:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4eed81…
08-24 05:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x444707…
08-24 05:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x568bac…
08-24 01:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xded623…
08-23 15:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd249bb…
08-23 10:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfa2935…
08-14 17:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe3549f…
08-14 16:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd77af9…
08-14 16:01:01	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf74ec6…
08-14 15:54:37	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x05f1f1…
08-14 10:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc79b35…
08-14 09:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x77bfab…
08-14 09:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdeb28e…
08-14 08:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x761f2a…
08-14 08:34:36	ethereum above 2100 on august 14 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x3d2d2d…
08-14 06:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5ea9a…
08-14 02:53:09	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf1f91b…
08-14 00:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x932215…
08-13 22:43:24	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb88665…
08-13 22:23:43	will taylor brown be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432958	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4aec9d…
08-13 22:08:51	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfcbe3e…
08-13 20:57:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xf82b53…
08-13 19:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on August 14?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa547c3…
08-13 16:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xde0a77…
08-13 14:35:52	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd2c457…
08-13 13:50:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8f494d…
08-13 13:50:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x44071a…
08-13 12:41:58	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5a36a1…
08-13 12:15:45	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbd07ef…
08-13 11:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc80c7c…
08-13 11:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7f1c7b…
08-13 08:57:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x092fba…
08-13 07:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc04067…
08-13 04:02:00	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4b94ae…