Sparse-Pendant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

375

Trades

863

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 09-01 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

80% 74% +$0

Crypto

14% 88% +$0

Politics

4% 64% +$0

Sports

1% 62% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 28?	5	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-28 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	4	$95	48	48	+0	No	$0	08-11 23:19
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	6	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	08-04 20:30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	3	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-21 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 11?	7	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	08-11 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on July 17?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-17 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 26?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 18?	6	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-17 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on July 26?	8	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-30 10:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	09-01 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-19 23:40
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-31 11:18
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-28 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 12?	6	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-12 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 20?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 01:18
ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	08-06 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-14 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 24?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 31?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-31 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-29 09:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-29 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-08 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 13?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-12 20:49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 4?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-04 08:03
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-27 20:22
will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-09 10:27
xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-17 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 29?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-29 03:30
bitcoin above 80k on august 30 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-30 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 15:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xde412b…
09-01 15:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x992856…
09-01 15:24:25	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb77728…
09-01 15:23:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe5c732…
09-01 12:13:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x01f7e3…
09-01 09:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x00ff0d…
09-01 09:23:51	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6f7ece…
09-01 05:59:34	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb19cfe…
09-01 05:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5abc06…
09-01 04:00:51	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2af45a…
08-31 20:48:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd1b245…
08-31 20:47:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd5bd78…
08-31 20:39:39	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x363d99…
08-31 20:29:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x612088…
08-31 15:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x10ac99…
08-31 15:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2e054a…
08-31 15:01:25	bitcoin above 84k on august 31 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x68fd64…
08-31 14:22:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9bb769…
08-31 05:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xf89a50…
08-31 03:12:37	bitcoin above 84k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6f6ddf…
08-30 23:02:19	will bitcoin reach 84k august 24 30 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdc793d…
08-30 22:43:45	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4f6fb7…
08-30 21:30:10	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x607d87…
08-30 21:06:34	will bitcoin reach 84k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4a0889…
08-30 20:00:33	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d176d…
08-30 17:39:58	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x10a2f5…
08-30 15:43:18	bitcoin above 80k on august 30 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x32d3e4…
08-30 14:35:12	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0xfc7ae0…
08-30 14:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xed460b…
08-30 13:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4b2fd1…
08-30 13:35:31	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x76c2c2…
08-30 12:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x063f95…
08-30 11:18:12	bitcoin above 80k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xeba245…
08-30 10:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x15458f…
08-30 10:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x19ae05…
08-30 09:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3d9b54…
08-30 05:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x676aa1…
08-29 20:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x7f1b6d…
08-29 20:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x78f4f7…
08-29 18:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd1b59c…
08-29 09:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc90f06…
08-29 09:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4a185a…
08-28 19:18:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x9f33c1…
08-28 13:01:10	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe1d75e…
08-28 09:33:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe2d384…
08-28 00:29:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3c43f6…
08-27 23:32:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x377c7e…
08-27 22:21:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x18cd4f…
08-27 18:31:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc0b6de…
08-27 15:19:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf83d96…
08-27 15:02:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x746d72…
08-27 10:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf57466…
08-27 08:53:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4f5e62…
08-27 06:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x61c797…
08-27 05:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7cb54d…
08-27 05:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x46d06e…
08-27 00:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 27?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd4d937…
08-27 00:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcf3273…
08-26 23:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9f03e4…
08-26 21:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x7f4659…
08-26 19:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8282ea…
08-26 16:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2fb045…
08-26 11:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x432eca…
08-25 14:11:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x46fb2b…
08-25 13:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x8fd04c…
08-25 11:26:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa70ad7…
08-25 10:46:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4528d…
08-25 05:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3b5a72…
08-25 05:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x93e56b…
08-25 05:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcc3fee…
08-25 04:17:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x555638…
08-25 01:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe3f43c…
08-24 23:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x90b833…
08-24 21:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc5b6e0…
08-24 21:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa7fc2a…
08-24 19:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x525c62…
08-24 17:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7adef1…
08-24 17:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x1fa097…
08-24 13:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xf8cfbc…
08-24 11:09:54	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 24?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x45de65…
08-24 11:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8c128c…
08-24 05:50:07	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xff08a9…
08-24 04:21:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x55d361…
08-24 00:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xeb4aca…
08-23 23:58:33	Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x15766a…
08-23 20:51:37	Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ef82e…
08-23 20:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8c5716…
08-23 20:06:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7a0714…
08-23 13:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb30b88…
08-14 20:55:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x72acf8…
08-14 18:58:33	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9974f1…
08-14 18:24:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbc2639…
08-14 18:18:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xabe097…
08-14 18:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x3009ab…
08-14 17:17:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9fc740…
08-14 14:35:36	will wti dip to 55 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcdeec2…
08-14 13:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb26f15…
08-14 10:58:21	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe514ed…
08-14 06:54:06	will wti dip to 55 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x791339…
08-14 06:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x45239a…