Accomplished-Kimono — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

335

Trades

733

lifetime

Volume

$9.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-18 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

75% 77% +$1

Crypto

18% 79% +$0

Politics

5% 62% $0

Sports

2% 73% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	4	$79	40	40	+0	No	$0	06-30 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	4	$78	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-21 20:09
Will Lindsey Horvath finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$77	39	39	+0	No	$0	06-01 16:28
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	4	$75	38	38	+0	No	$0	07-13 14:01
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	8	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-26 05:17
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$67	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	06-26 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 28?	5	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-28 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	05-17 04:00
bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	4	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-06 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 26?	3	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-25 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 28?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-27 19:03
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 27?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-27 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C or higher on June 25?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-25 08:03
Will Debra Salters win the Newark mayoral election?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-13 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 17?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-16 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 5?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-05 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 106°F or higher on July 1?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-01 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on July 8?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-08 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-17 20:43
Will Xiaomi have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-25 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 19?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-19 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 15?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-14 13:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 2?	6	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-02 07:44
Will JT Poston win the 2026 Travelers Championship?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-27 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on July 13?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-13 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 16?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-16 05:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 13?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-13 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 2?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-02 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 14?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-14 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 15:52:45	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x56a7a1…
10-17 04:09:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe86714…
10-15 08:52:47	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b6a7c…
10-07 21:30:31	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x91181a…
10-07 21:29:37	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4a6c46…
10-07 21:28:43	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5058f8…
09-23 21:06:01	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0e235f…
09-04 22:43:42	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa0dbca…
08-31 00:29:09	Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x306629…
08-07 09:29:51	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa98f9a…
08-01 15:26:20	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe031fc…
07-22 12:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdd0bfa…
07-22 12:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe570a9…
07-22 12:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b8352…
07-22 11:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 22?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeab99f…
07-22 05:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d3414…
07-22 03:16:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x76373b…
07-22 03:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 22?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb2d7ae…
07-22 02:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x959a0a…
07-22 01:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x82e9af…
07-22 00:04:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1c185d…
07-21 23:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 22?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa4a5b8…
07-21 20:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x1ad938…
07-21 20:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8516e1…
07-21 20:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x16875b…
07-21 20:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x627059…
07-21 17:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcaf76a…
07-21 13:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 22?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd6ef06…
07-21 10:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe4b274…
07-21 09:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4320a7…
07-21 06:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x3da928…
07-21 04:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd3c153…
07-21 04:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3d2184…
07-21 04:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfb4afa…
07-21 02:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x16c2f5…
07-21 02:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb9b818…
07-20 23:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x745743…
07-20 16:10:09	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x34a320…
07-20 14:50:49	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x68b037…
07-20 11:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd5fad0…
07-20 10:03:46	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb5c0aa…
07-20 10:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x18cdf9…
07-20 09:29:10	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x11004d…
07-20 06:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x270665…
07-20 02:55:52	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x312342…
07-20 00:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd692fd…
07-20 00:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 20?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa70f0f…
07-19 23:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x03b469…
07-19 22:28:31	Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xca926e…
07-19 18:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x47c84d…
07-19 18:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1babfc…
07-19 11:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 19?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x830a17…
07-19 09:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 19?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa1536d…
07-19 09:09:04	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf3a415…
07-19 09:09:04	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2c19e2…
07-19 05:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 19?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x08e756…
07-19 04:42:43	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xa34a0b…
07-19 03:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x88c07f…
07-19 02:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x0b07eb…
07-18 23:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x0c061d…
07-18 23:14:43	Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe27b87…
07-18 21:34:09	Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6894df…
07-18 20:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf90759…
07-18 20:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7d4fbb…
07-18 00:49:31	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x064322…
07-17 23:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd87714…
07-17 22:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd304ac…
07-17 20:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x22a442…
07-17 20:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x99a902…
07-17 20:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8eba26…
07-17 20:00:01	will rklb reach 88 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8c16b7…
07-17 19:57:19	will mu reach 1080 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xdc9d38…
07-17 19:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbee97d…
07-17 17:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe8064c…
07-17 16:05:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x49168e…
07-17 13:30:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd49156…
07-17 12:42:37	will mu reach 1080 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa5fe18…
07-17 10:23:12	will rklb reach 88 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x59340c…
07-17 10:01:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbf7bf6…
07-17 09:49:27	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1ed5e1…
07-17 06:53:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1b7dc8…
07-17 05:20:13	xrp above 1pt2 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x57e5db…
07-17 03:47:30	xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2996a4…
07-17 03:08:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x765a57…
07-16 23:50:41	xrp above 1pt2 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x652774…
07-16 19:58:52	xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x606cfe…
07-16 18:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x213dc5…
07-16 17:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 17?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc529a9…
07-16 17:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x29b3ca…
07-16 13:22:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x38275e…
07-16 12:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf0c52a…
07-16 11:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x03c578…
07-16 11:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x506310…
07-16 10:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 16?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x38849f…
07-16 08:34:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa13d8f…
07-16 07:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x14fc2b…
07-16 05:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 16?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x50a8f5…
07-16 05:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 16?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x7fd746…
07-16 05:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 16?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x55215b…
07-16 04:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 16?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x262c47…