Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,458
Trades
105
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$1,502
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-30 19:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $2 | $330 | $329 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $5 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $7 | $472 | $465 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $1 | $22 | $22 |
| Median | 8 | $4 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 18 | $5 | $333 | $328 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x45e5…fe83 | Yes | +1,250 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 06-30 19:37 |
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | +1,115 | $1,114 | $1,114 | 2 | 06-30 19:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +800 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 02:09 |
| Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 03:12 |
| Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 03:12 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +300 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 06-25 13:47 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +285 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-10 09:40 |
| Frivolous-Engineering 0xd2e8…b0a3 | No | +135 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 06-25 13:47 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +134 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-19 15:06 |
| Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-19 15:06 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +98 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 06-08 07:55 |
| Brief-Commander 0x6213…b8f0 | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-12 13:28 |
| Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | +29 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-12 17:27 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-04 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9089…17f2 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-29 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 18:12 |
| Careful-Happening 0x0dab…a25b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a02…522d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 20:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 19:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x45e5…fe83 | Yes | BUY | 515 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x43825c… |
| 06-30 19:37:07 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 515 | 100¢ | $515 | 0x43825c… |
| 06-30 08:03:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19476f… |
| 06-30 08:03:04 | (anonymous) 0x45e5…fe83 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19476f… |
| 06-29 17:08:05 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0x09c4e4… |
| 06-29 17:08:05 | (anonymous) 0x45e5…fe83 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x09c4e4… |
| 06-29 13:52:20 | (anonymous) 0x45e5…fe83 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x50668d… |
| 06-29 13:52:20 | (anonymous) 0x9089…17f2 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x50668d… |
| 06-29 09:16:02 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4aaac… |
| 06-29 09:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4aaac… |
| 06-29 09:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x45e5…fe83 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4aaac… |
| 06-28 16:24:38 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d9279… |
| 06-28 16:24:38 | (anonymous) 0xb545…9d97 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d9279… |
| 06-28 16:24:38 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | SELL | 61 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x6d9279… |
| 06-25 14:52:47 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c2eaf… |
| 06-25 14:52:47 | (anonymous) 0xb545…9d97 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c2eaf… |
| 06-25 13:47:13 | (anonymous) 0xb545…9d97 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac8047… |
| 06-25 13:47:13 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac8047… |
| 06-25 13:47:13 | Frivolous-Engineering 0xd2e8…b0a3 | No | BUY | 135 | 100¢ | $134 | 0xac8047… |
| 06-24 21:32:07 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 685 | 100¢ | $683 | 0xedd42f… |
| 06-24 21:32:07 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 685 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xedd42f… |
| 06-24 18:14:19 | (anonymous) 0x5b09…a8e6 | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x8e02d1… |
| 06-24 18:14:19 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e02d1… |
| 06-24 18:12:46 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91429d… |
| 06-24 18:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x5b09…a8e6 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x91429d… |
| 06-24 18:12:46 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91429d… |
| 06-23 10:48:31 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x171152… |
| 06-23 10:48:31 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x171152… |
| 06-22 13:35:19 | Aggressive-Platter 0x392f…408d | No | SELL | 162 | 100¢ | $162 | 0x1aeb4a… |
| 06-22 13:35:19 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 162 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1aeb4a… |
| 06-22 11:32:56 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x285271… |
| 06-22 11:32:56 | Flimsy-Cuisine 0xd862…6207 | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x285271… |
| 06-22 11:32:43 | Flimsy-Cuisine 0xd862…6207 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x11e6ab… |
| 06-22 11:32:43 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11e6ab… |
| 06-22 11:30:01 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x086f1d… |
| 06-22 11:30:01 | Flimsy-Cuisine 0xd862…6207 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x086f1d… |
| 06-22 07:18:43 | Fond-Disruption 0x5b8c…7322 | No | SELL | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0xbd6854… |
| 06-22 07:18:43 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd6854… |
| 06-22 07:16:55 | Fond-Disruption 0x5b8c…7322 | No | BUY | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x163cce… |
| 06-22 07:16:55 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x163cce… |
| 06-22 04:41:08 | Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf80c8d… |
| 06-22 04:41:08 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf80c8d… |
| 06-22 04:40:01 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17b243… |
| 06-22 04:40:01 | Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17b243… |
| 06-22 04:38:29 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x194284… |
| 06-22 04:38:29 | Sophisticated-Cushion 0x151d…cb37 | No | SELL | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x194284… |
| 06-22 04:37:05 | Sophisticated-Cushion 0x151d…cb37 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xa1f9ed… |
| 06-22 04:37:05 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1f9ed… |
| 06-22 04:36:55 | Identical-Samurai 0x3967…3af9 | No | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xde7d36… |
| 06-22 04:36:55 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde7d36… |
| 06-22 04:32:46 | Identical-Samurai 0x3967…3af9 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xf0fb5d… |
| 06-22 04:32:46 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0fb5d… |
| 06-22 03:12:01 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xd7d4b7… |
| 06-22 03:12:01 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd7d4b7… |
| 06-22 03:12:01 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd7d4b7… |
| 06-22 02:09:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xaa8e20… |
| 06-22 02:09:11 | Nervous-Industrialisation 0x4b57…37aa | Yes | SELL | 2,939 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xaa8e20… |
| 06-22 02:09:11 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 1,690 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xaa8e20… |
| 06-19 15:06:41 | Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x7e5972… |
| 06-19 15:06:41 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e5972… |
| 06-19 15:06:41 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e5972… |
| 06-15 12:36:42 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x49b40d… |
| 06-15 12:36:42 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x49b40d… |
| 06-12 20:55:54 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x81bd66… |
| 06-12 20:55:54 | (anonymous) 0x9a02…522d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x81bd66… |
| 06-12 17:27:09 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xba205d… |
| 06-12 17:27:09 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xba205d… |
| 06-12 16:10:48 | (anonymous) 0xb4b2…014f | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xdd50a8… |
| 06-12 16:10:48 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xdd50a8… |
| 06-12 13:28:54 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9ca8e8… |
| 06-12 13:28:54 | Brief-Commander 0x6213…b8f0 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x9ca8e8… |
| 06-10 09:40:12 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf50cb6… |
| 06-10 09:40:12 | Tasty-Brake 0x3b7d…92e7 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf50cb6… |
| 06-08 07:55:45 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1a4fda… |
| 06-08 07:55:45 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a4fda… |
| 06-08 07:45:46 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c23cc… |
| 06-08 07:45:46 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6c23cc… |
| 06-08 07:34:54 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2df481… |
| 06-08 07:34:54 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x2df481… |
| 06-08 07:21:52 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xcc3b61… |
| 06-08 07:21:52 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc3b61… |
| 06-07 04:17:51 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x979900… |
| 06-07 04:17:51 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 222 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x979900… |
| 06-07 04:17:51 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 330 | 100¢ | $329 | 0x979900… |
| 06-07 04:17:51 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x979900… |
| 06-07 02:38:16 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | SELL | 321 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x083427… |
| 06-07 02:38:16 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 222 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x083427… |
| 06-07 02:38:16 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x083427… |
| 06-06 18:17:21 | Pertinent-Carnival 0x0320…d00f | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb1b7f2… |
| 06-06 18:17:21 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1b7f2… |
| 06-06 13:25:46 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf77d86… |
| 06-06 13:25:46 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 266 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xf77d86… |
| 06-06 13:25:46 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 300 | 99¢ | $297 | 0xf77d86… |
| 06-06 04:14:39 | (anonymous) 0xb4b2…014f | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6b31d8… |
| 06-06 04:14:39 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b31d8… |
| 06-05 07:09:16 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x828264… |
| 06-05 07:09:16 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x828264… |
| 06-05 07:08:24 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9cec70… |
| 06-05 07:08:24 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9cec70… |
| 06-04 20:11:52 | Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x4f6ee1… |