Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

464

Trades

538

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$77

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 11-02 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

87% 92% +$13

Sports

7% 92% -$1

Crypto

3% 92% -$1

Tech

2% 50% -$10

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+31	$30	98¢	$30	+$0	10-01 13:13
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	07-12 11:54
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	+11	$10	97¢	$11	+$1	06-11 06:36
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	06-25 11:40
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	$0	07-23 22:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	06-14 12:58
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+3	$1	33¢	$1	$0	10-15 00:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$50	50	0	+50	United States	+$0	07-02 01:56
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread away 2pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Argentina	+$0	07-07 09:01
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	3	$35	24	13	+10	Yes	+$1	06-15 03:23
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-06 13:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 15?	1	$33	33	0	+33	Down	+$0	10-15 13:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	10-01 13:13
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-10 14:32
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$30	30	0	+30	Argentina	+$0	07-12 01:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	10	$30	24	24	+0	Yes	-$10	07-31 15:25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 7?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	10-07 12:28
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-14 12:56
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 team total home 2pt5	1	$23	23	0	+23	Under	+$0	06-20 04:55
fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	5	$22	21	5	+16	Yes	+$1	06-28 12:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 2?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	10-02 12:22
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	07-10 14:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-24 10:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 8?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	10-08 09:04
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	2	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	07-08 08:58
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	07-09 12:52
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	07-12 11:54
will nvda dip to 168 by june 29 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-02 13:50
bitcoin above 58k on july 6 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	07-06 12:47
bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	07-04 14:56
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$17	19	0	+19	Argentina	+$2	07-12 03:36
spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	07-16 13:28
spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Up	+$0	07-20 13:14
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-25 11:44
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-12 03:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 30?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Down	+$0	10-30 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 23?	2	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-23 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 08:31:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdfa51d…
10-30 12:33:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x492671…
10-29 12:51:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e1ec1…
10-28 12:30:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9bf620…
10-27 12:25:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7bca2d…
10-21 12:50:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc6d87e…
10-19 09:01:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0e44bd…
10-16 13:09:07	spx opens up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x82f1e2…
10-15 13:23:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xba4ee1…
10-15 00:50:10	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x497e79…
10-14 13:17:12	spx opens up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x107c1b…
10-13 12:51:17	spx opens up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x106948…
10-13 00:38:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x710a87…
10-12 03:13:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0676f3…
10-09 07:09:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xc06e07…
10-08 09:04:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xdd7273…
10-07 12:28:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x10cfca…
10-06 12:30:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb2107…
10-02 12:22:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xb84141…
10-02 10:41:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc6eb76…
10-01 13:13:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa5af43…
10-01 13:11:32	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdab3ae…
09-30 13:17:05	spx opens up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25d965…
09-28 13:11:20	spx opens up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7e258…
09-17 02:29:04	hsi up or down on september 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x82c0e7…
09-17 02:28:49	hsi up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x679fb8…
09-17 01:22:27	hsi up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe502f1…
09-16 14:55:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1d3c76…
08-19 12:50:36	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x260fbf…
08-19 12:50:13	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b7752…
08-18 12:50:25	spx opens up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb41d25…
08-17 13:26:00	spx opens up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1732dc…
08-12 03:09:37	hsi up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x9a6124…
08-11 13:26:33	spx opens up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x352ea9…
08-07 15:32:22	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5dc9ac…
08-06 09:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x96c344…
08-06 09:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf3aef6…
08-06 00:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae4e9f…
08-05 13:05:44	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34aa98…
08-05 06:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x012085…
08-04 16:04:02	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x376647…
08-04 16:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc303de…
08-04 13:12:44	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ab14e…
08-04 06:04:32	hsi up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6ccad2…
08-04 02:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2759c4…
08-03 08:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xaa88eb…
08-03 07:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on August 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x678fcc…
08-03 07:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd9b3e9…
08-02 11:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on August 3?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ec92f…
08-02 03:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc2abcf…
08-02 03:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x91e118…
08-02 03:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 3?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x897081…
08-01 08:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4160ec…
08-01 06:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 1?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2dd9f6…
08-01 06:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 1?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x080db9…
08-01 06:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x06202c…
08-01 01:41:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x25f817…
08-01 01:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41d4f8…
08-01 01:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x83deff…
08-01 01:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on August 1?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x0a3eb7…
07-31 15:32:56	pfe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt68	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7f7b42…
07-31 15:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xce990f…
07-31 15:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 2?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7470e5…
07-31 15:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 2?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xef1694…
07-31 15:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 2?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5be254…
07-31 15:25:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x457a79…
07-31 13:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xee4cc3…
07-31 13:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 1?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd54a0d…
07-31 13:33:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7f16d…
07-31 08:50:47	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd8b7aa…
07-31 06:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e1d0a…
07-31 02:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 31?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcb6658…
07-31 02:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8cc9d8…
07-30 22:30:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3a5d9b…
07-30 12:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6b46f8…
07-30 12:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x46758f…
07-30 12:04:06	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa5b617…
07-30 00:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5dca66…
07-30 00:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd6f6f…
07-29 13:28:08	spx opens up or down on july 29 2026	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x496994…
07-29 09:39:50	spx opens up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7a09ff…
07-29 08:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x897b74…
07-29 08:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa6992b…
07-29 08:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xa14f4d…
07-29 08:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd5b187…
07-29 06:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7f3ebc…
07-29 06:12:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x6336da…
07-29 06:12:11	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x0f2d7e…
07-29 00:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40cd8e…
07-29 00:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 29?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x72f679…
07-29 00:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9d6b3e…
07-28 12:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 29?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8075fb…
07-28 00:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35e19d…
07-28 00:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 28?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x209c94…
07-28 00:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x30a4fb…
07-27 12:03:22	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x66c199…
07-27 08:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ba596…
07-27 00:37:55	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfbf2aa…
07-27 00:33:27	Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b010a…
07-26 14:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 27?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x25fe6e…