Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$245
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
745
lifetime
Volume
$46.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$5.76K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 07-20 22:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
47% 100% +$1
Politics
35%
Sports
14%
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +520 $410 74¢ $382 $-28 07-17 16:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $357 90¢ $358 +$1 07-17 17:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +371 $326 88¢ $324 $-2 07-16 20:36
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +306 $269 88¢ $269 $-0 07-19 20:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $263 90¢ $268 +$6 07-16 05:09
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +302 $254 88¢ $264 +$11 07-19 08:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +300 $252 84¢ $252 +$0 07-17 14:17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +290 $237 86¢ $251 +$14 07-17 19:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +304 $211 80¢ $242 +$31 07-16 19:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +256 $212 88¢ $224 +$13 07-16 18:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +280 $225 76¢ $214 $-11 07-06 21:25
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +230 $185 88¢ $201 +$17 07-16 21:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $142 66¢ $200 +$58 06-29 02:19
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +289 $204 68¢ $198 $-6 07-04 17:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 92¢ $183 +$9 06-26 15:51
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +254 $185 70¢ $178 $-7 07-16 08:35
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +290 $150 60¢ $175 +$25 07-08 03:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $166 86¢ $173 +$7 07-06 04:40
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +198 $141 84¢ $167 +$26 07-03 00:02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +200 $158 84¢ $167 +$9 07-03 17:03
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +200 $134 82¢ $163 +$29 07-05 13:15
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +187 $142 76¢ $143 +$1 07-16 19:06
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? No +160 $117 78¢ $125 +$8 06-27 03:15
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +300 $128 38¢ $112 $-16 07-17 20:10
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +205 $119 52¢ $106 $-13 07-02 13:37
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +205 $76 48¢ $99 +$24 06-28 03:58
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -92 $-86 96¢ $-88 $-1 06-16 10:41
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -82 $-78 96¢ $-80 $-2 06-19 14:42
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +300 $42 26¢ $80 +$37 07-17 01:28
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +106 $68 70¢ $74 +$6 07-20 09:29