Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$107
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
419
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$4.97K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 06-30 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69% 100% +$1
Politics
18%
Crypto
6%
Sports
5%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026? No +1,115 $1,114 100¢ $1.1K $-3 06-30 19:37
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026? No +397 $396 100¢ $396 +$0 06-26 17:24
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026? No +328 $328 100¢ $328 $-0 06-26 17:20
Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026? No +326 $325 100¢ $325 $-0 06-29 23:31
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026? No +272 $272 99¢ $269 $-3 06-29 17:04
Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026? No +195 $194 100¢ $195 +$0 06-29 17:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $142 60¢ $178 +$37 06-29 02:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 86¢ $173 $-1 06-26 15:51
Will RBC fail by June 30, 2026? No +137 $137 100¢ $136 $-0 06-29 17:04
Will KeyBank fail by June 30, 2026? No +136 $136 100¢ $136 $-0 06-29 23:32
Will Lloyds fail by June 30, 2026? No +136 $136 99¢ $135 $-1 06-29 23:31
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026? No +126 $126 100¢ $126 $-0 06-29 23:32
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? No +160 $117 78¢ $125 +$8 06-27 03:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +120 $105 100¢ $119 +$15 06-25 13:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +120 $100 86¢ $103 +$3 06-06 15:19
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $-0 06-29 17:05
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +205 $76 44¢ $89 +$13 06-28 03:58
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026? No +90 $89 99¢ $89 $-1 06-28 04:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -92 $-86 94¢ $-87 $-0 06-16 10:41
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -82 $-78 94¢ $-78 +$0 06-19 14:42
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +90 $65 86¢ $77 +$12 05-30 12:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +86 $67 84¢ $72 +$5 06-07 04:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +100 $68 70¢ $70 +$2 06-19 21:17
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? No -79 $-71 87¢ $-69 +$2 06-21 05:54
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +80 $57 84¢ $67 +$10 05-30 08:02
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +104 $67 64¢ $66 $-0 06-29 18:42
Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026? No +64 $64 99¢ $64 $-1 06-29 17:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +68 $59 92¢ $62 +$3 05-30 21:09
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +70 $58 88¢ $62 +$4 05-31 19:29
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +60 $57 100¢ $60 +$3 06-04 05:59