Realized P&L (90d)
+$75
Unrealized P&L
+$1.29K
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved (90d)
33
Trades (90d)
183
1,580 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$8.41K
$78.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$10.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-24 17:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
43% 83% +$202
Politics
31% 86% +$717
Sports
22% 75% +$416
Tech
2% 43% -$68
Crypto
1% 33% +$20
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +1,000 $585 88¢ $880 +$295 07-01 22:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +545 $427 82¢ $444 +$17 07-17 16:02
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +500 $349 88¢ $438 +$88 09-29 16:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +480 $391 86¢ $415 +$24 08-29 02:45
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +400 $307 97¢ $388 +$81 08-24 18:27
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +400 $351 97¢ $387 +$36 08-14 16:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $352 97¢ $387 +$35 07-16 20:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $357 96¢ $382 +$25 07-17 17:57
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +400 $364 96¢ $382 +$18 09-01 19:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $332 94¢ $378 +$46 09-21 16:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +400 $350 94¢ $378 +$28 09-30 23:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +400 $330 92¢ $370 +$40 07-12 09:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +400 $329 86¢ $344 +$14 08-26 08:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +400 $307 84¢ $338 +$31 08-04 02:15
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +370 $308 90¢ $335 +$27 09-23 23:57
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +400 $268 82¢ $326 +$58 09-01 19:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +400 $307 81¢ $325 +$18 07-18 12:53
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +326 $267 96¢ $311 +$44 08-29 19:15
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +308 $299 97¢ $300 +$1 08-24 18:03
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +300 $273 98¢ $293 +$20 08-18 10:35
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +400 $236 71¢ $284 +$48 08-06 01:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +400 $292 71¢ $284 -$8 09-29 13:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +300 $245 94¢ $284 +$38 07-16 18:30
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +300 $186 94¢ $280 +$94 07-27 01:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +304 $211 91¢ $278 +$67 07-16 19:19
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +302 $254 92¢ $278 +$24 07-19 08:28
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +300 $255 92¢ $278 +$22 09-25 17:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $263 92¢ $278 +$15 07-16 05:09
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +300 $276 92¢ $274 -$2 09-09 22:07
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $229 68¢ $272 +$43 09-24 02:40