Realized P&L (90d)
+$75
Unrealized P&L
+$1.32K
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved (90d)
30
Trades (90d)
183
1,580 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$8.41K
$78.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$10.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-24 17:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
43% 83% +$202
Politics
31% 86% +$717
Sports
22% 75% +$416
Tech
2% 43% -$68
Crypto
1% 33% +$20
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +1,000 $585 88¢ $880 +$295 07-01 22:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +545 $427 82¢ $444 +$17 07-17 16:02
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +500 $349 86¢ $432 +$84 09-29 16:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +480 $391 86¢ $415 +$24 08-29 02:45
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +400 $351 97¢ $388 +$36 08-14 16:44
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +400 $364 96¢ $382 +$18 09-01 19:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $352 95¢ $381 +$29 07-16 20:36
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +400 $307 94¢ $378 +$71 08-24 18:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +400 $350 94¢ $378 +$28 09-30 23:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $332 94¢ $374 +$42 09-21 16:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +400 $330 94¢ $374 +$44 07-12 09:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $357 94¢ $374 +$17 07-17 17:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +400 $329 85¢ $342 +$12 08-26 08:56
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +370 $308 89¢ $329 +$21 09-23 23:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +400 $307 82¢ $326 +$19 08-04 02:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +400 $268 82¢ $326 +$58 09-01 19:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +400 $307 81¢ $325 +$18 07-18 12:53
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +326 $267 96¢ $313 +$46 08-29 19:15
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +400 $236 78¢ $310 +$74 08-06 01:37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +308 $299 98¢ $301 +$2 08-24 18:03
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +300 $273 97¢ $292 +$19 08-18 10:35
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +400 $292 72¢ $288 -$4 09-29 13:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +304 $211 94¢ $286 +$75 07-16 19:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +300 $245 94¢ $284 +$38 07-16 18:30
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $229 70¢ $282 +$53 09-24 02:40
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +302 $254 92¢ $278 +$24 07-19 08:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $263 92¢ $278 +$15 07-16 05:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $142 92¢ $274 +$133 06-29 02:19
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +300 $276 92¢ $274 -$2 09-09 22:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +300 $255 91¢ $273 +$18 09-25 17:51