Tasty-Brake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

20.7%

Resolved

294

Trades

636

lifetime

Volume

$40.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$85

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 33% -$62

Other

20% 52% -$16

Politics

2% 47% +$2

Sports

1% 55% -$1

Tech

0% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+71	$70	99¢	$70	$0	10-26 13:47
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No		+15	$15	98¢	$15	$0	09-08 10:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	3	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	-$1	04-18 10:51
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	-$1	04-17 10:01
Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	4	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	-$2	04-21 16:26
Will Solana reach $140 in April?	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	+$0	04-15 14:44
Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	4	$1.1K	560	560	+0	No	-$3	04-23 10:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	4	$700	350	350	+0	No	$0	08-29 18:14
will xrp reach 1pt8 in august 2026	2	$674	355	355	+0	No	-$34	08-20 17:10
will ethereum dip to 1000 in august 2026	2	$660	331	331	+0	No	+$0	08-22 20:01
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	2	$657	330	330	+0	No	-$2	08-21 18:43
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$420	248	178	+71	open	—	10-26 13:47
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31?	2	$392	200	200	+0	No	-$7	08-25 16:24
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	2	$350	176	176	+0	No	$0	09-15 13:04
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$350	175	175	+0	No	$0	09-16 12:06
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$350	175	175	+0	open	—	09-10 09:09
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$350	175	175	+0	open	—	09-19 08:16
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$350	175	175	+0	open	—	09-11 07:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	2	$350	175	175	+0	No	$0	08-28 18:15
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$350	175	175	+0	No	$0	09-02 15:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	2	$350	178	178	+0	No	$0	09-08 10:30
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	2	$350	176	176	+0	No	$0	09-18 14:22
Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	2	$350	175	175	+0	No	$0	09-03 16:00
Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	2	$350	176	176	+0	No	$0	09-05 00:59
will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	2	$349	178	178	+0	No	-$1	09-07 08:24
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$349	175	175	+0	No	-$1	09-14 13:47
Will Solana reach $190 in September?	2	$349	176	176	+0	No	-$1	09-12 08:43
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$349	177	177	+0	open	—	09-17 12:24
Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	2	$340	170	170	+0	No	+$0	09-28 15:19
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	2	$340	170	170	+0	open	—	10-13 14:35
Will Solana reach $200 in October?	2	$340	171	171	+0	open	—	10-14 10:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	2	$340	170	170	+0	No	$0	09-24 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:47:30	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x4cf11f…
10-26 13:45:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xfce10d…
10-23 12:32:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x834139…
10-23 12:31:23	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x879122…
10-22 12:07:23	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd98ae2…
10-22 12:06:51	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x22e07f…
10-21 14:19:02	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6d95b6…
10-21 14:12:30	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	166	99¢	$165	0x540e3b…
10-20 11:16:56	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0xf4c14a…
10-20 11:14:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	166	99¢	$165	0xc42926…
10-19 13:31:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0x8e0d08…
10-19 13:30:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	171	99¢	$168	0x311f93…
10-16 11:42:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x76cf5d…
10-16 11:41:48	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	171	99¢	$170	0x30ba92…
10-15 09:42:23	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x22e5be…
10-15 09:41:35	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	171	99¢	$169	0x13295b…
10-14 10:20:38	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x40c7ef…
10-14 10:18:23	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$170	0xf16bab…
10-13 14:37:35	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x6ba679…
10-13 14:35:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x0cc41b…
10-12 14:34:12	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x5fd958…
10-12 14:33:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	SELL	174	97¢	$170	0x958fa5…
10-09 15:25:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	BUY	174	98¢	$170	0x6d0e66…
10-09 15:24:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	173	98¢	$170	0xcb628e…
10-08 13:47:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x71532e…
10-08 13:46:32	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x266b7a…
10-07 10:33:38	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x0c4944…
10-07 10:32:06	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x120463…
10-06 11:32:22	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x970d38…
10-06 11:30:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x1b0345…
10-05 14:32:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x9c30dc…
10-05 14:31:23	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	172	99¢	$170	0x30a75a…
10-02 12:36:24	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x59f294…
10-02 12:35:24	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0x96da26…
10-01 12:19:27	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x5df8aa…
09-30 10:47:24	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0xc8910a…
09-30 10:45:38	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0x24bcdc…
09-29 12:06:51	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x59d88e…
09-29 12:05:29	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$170	0xd0341b…
09-28 15:23:57	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x583d94…
09-28 15:19:21	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x721898…
09-25 12:05:23	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x8e8449…
09-25 12:03:30	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	173	98¢	$168	0x395c4a…
09-24 11:22:53	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x780d33…
09-24 11:20:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xd3b2e3…
09-23 11:59:19	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x0719b3…
09-23 11:57:41	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xe16ce8…
09-22 10:38:40	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x62e817…
09-22 10:37:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	171	99¢	$169	0xcefb22…
09-21 15:20:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x8b0ebd…
09-19 08:16:45	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x0aa0a2…
09-18 14:24:43	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x577376…
09-18 14:22:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$175	0xbc0189…
09-17 12:26:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$175	0x508cdb…
09-17 12:24:48	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	177	98¢	$174	0x9d955a…
09-16 12:08:49	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x2d8f8c…
09-16 12:06:24	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x72cee6…
09-15 13:06:16	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xffd63f…
09-15 13:04:25	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$175	0xcb8e66…
09-14 13:50:07	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$175	0x7e9319…
09-14 13:47:25	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0x86a065…
09-12 08:47:15	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xe58be6…
09-12 08:43:57	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0xd6a916…
09-11 07:56:43	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$175	0xf7e021…
09-11 07:56:06	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x29a4f1…
09-10 09:11:57	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xe41955…
09-10 09:09:46	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x490d4f…
09-09 13:16:34	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xebc048…
09-09 13:14:36	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	178	98¢	$175	0xad35cb…
09-09 13:14:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf21b29…
09-08 10:32:33	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8042b4…
09-08 10:31:16	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	99¢	$175	0xa4a5b3…
09-08 10:30:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	SELL	178	98¢	$175	0x006eed…
09-08 10:29:58	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x5191db…
09-07 08:26:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$175	0xa42fbc…
09-07 08:24:31	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	SELL	178	98¢	$174	0x5c7abc…
09-05 01:00:36	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x6cd034…
09-05 00:59:39	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	BUY	178	98¢	$175	0x72e5c0…
09-05 00:59:13	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0xb62b76…
09-03 16:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x05f641…
09-03 16:01:27	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x518aea…
09-03 16:00:30	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x1f36e4…
09-03 15:25:31	Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1fbc3d…
09-02 15:31:31	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xb3ebe6…
09-02 15:27:55	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x9e0aaf…
09-01 15:59:40	Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2a9603…
09-01 15:56:10	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x996da8…
09-01 15:54:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb86d8b…
08-29 18:16:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd72a9c…
08-29 18:15:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xf0c7e2…
08-29 18:14:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x60edfa…
08-29 18:13:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xcfc707…
08-29 18:11:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0xf0cabe…
08-29 18:11:22	Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x69306e…
08-28 18:18:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x8b737c…
08-28 18:15:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0xeb0c09…
08-27 17:15:06	Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xb99e7d…
08-27 17:13:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xfde9b4…
08-27 17:12:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6b7de5…
08-27 17:12:28	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x1e6839…