Realized P&L
+$101
Unrealized P&L
+$100
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
303
Trades
805
lifetime
Volume
$19.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.18K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 10:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
59% 83% +$72
Crypto
27% 83% -$18
Politics
5% 86% -$2
Tech
5% 86% -$42
Sports
4% 77% +$90
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +290 $269 96¢ $279 +$10 09-19 20:38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +220 $209 97¢ $213 +$4 09-24 04:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +150 $141 98¢ $147 +$6 09-19 14:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +150 $134 98¢ $147 +$13 09-03 11:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +150 $142 97¢ $145 +$3 09-22 05:09
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +150 $140 95¢ $142 +$2 09-23 14:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +120 $109 97¢ $116 +$7 08-14 10:53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +120 $111 96¢ $115 +$5 10-08 12:05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +120 $108 90¢ $108 $0 09-19 15:23
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +100 $55 100¢ $100 +$45 08-27 04:15
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$2 09-02 17:00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $64 94¢ $66 +$2 09-02 20:49
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +70 $59 82¢ $58 -$1 09-20 02:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +55 $55 97¢ $53 -$2 09-19 15:27
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +70 $40 72¢ $51 +$11 09-23 16:26
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 09-20 14:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 08-20 17:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $42 98¢ $49 +$8 10-27 08:50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$1 10-07 10:21
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 10-24 00:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +30 $29 96¢ $29 $0 09-15 23:56
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +40 $37 57¢ $23 -$14 05-19 07:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +40 $27 56¢ $23 -$4 09-16 06:22
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 -$1 07-01 14:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 $0 09-01 03:27
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +10 $8 70¢ $7 -$1 09-30 12:43