Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
435
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$1.53K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 17:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$2
Crypto
19%
Politics
9%
Tech
5%
Sports
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +197 $187 96¢ $189 +$3 06-05 01:19
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026? No +165 $164 100¢ $165 +$1 06-16 15:07
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026? No +132 $131 100¢ $132 +$1 06-12 09:01
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026? No +122 $121 100¢ $122 +$1 06-06 03:21
Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026? No +109 $108 100¢ $109 +$1 06-09 02:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$1 06-01 13:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 93¢ $93 +$2 06-29 16:20
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 86¢ $86 +$0 06-10 05:39
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +90 $82 92¢ $82 $-0 06-29 17:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $52 88¢ $53 +$2 06-02 15:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? No -50 $-49 100¢ $-50 $-1 06-02 00:46
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 06-01 07:30
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 06-01 12:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -50 $-46 96¢ $-48 $-2 06-02 04:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$1 06-04 13:03
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 78¢ $31 +$1 06-03 03:50
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 06-08 08:30
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026? No +29 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 06-12 17:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 05-31 00:25
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 06-03 08:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-03 08:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -10 $-11 100¢ $-10 +$1 06-09 13:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +1 $0 100¢ $1 +$0 06-09 21:50