Aggressive-Platter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$212

Unrealized P&L

-$172

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-10 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

76% 77% +$311

Crypto

13% 60% -$473

Politics

8% 43% -$55

Tech

3% 50% +$20

Sports

0% 67% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+211	$183	6¢	$12	-$172	06-22 13:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.3K	0	1,344	-1,344	No	-$1	06-28 12:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$1.1K	725	517	+208	No	-$85	06-02 14:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$1.1K	545	545	+0	No	+$17	06-12 15:23
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?	1	$943	950	0	+950	No	+$7	06-06 20:48
mwoh usa den 2026 02 14	5	$565	600	0	+600	USA	+$35	02-14 21:30
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$472	498	0	+498	No	+$26	07-10 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:25 UTC	1	$442	447	0	+447	Down	+$4	04-18 13:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$368	400	0	+400	No	+$32	07-02 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:35 UTC	1	$300	903	0	+903	Down	-$300	04-18 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:55 UTC	1	$300	319	0	+319	Down	+$19	04-18 13:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$285	360	0	+360	No	+$75	04-21 20:22
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$281	284	0	+284	No	+$3	02-22 17:52
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$274	277	0	+277	No	+$3	02-21 22:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$243	299	99	+200	Yes	-$51	03-08 14:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$218	200	200	+0	Yes	+$118	03-07 14:39
will xauusd reach 4800 in june 2026	1	$217	227	0	+227	No	+$10	06-16 15:17
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 corners total 10pt5	1	$206	303	0	+303	Under	+$97	06-26 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 12:10 UTC	1	$200	206	0	+206	Up	-$200	04-19 12:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$183	211	0	+211	open	—	06-22 13:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$180	200	0	+200	Yes	+$20	07-02 13:50
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?	1	$162	0	162	-162	No	$0	06-22 13:35
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	3	$146	203	103	+100	Yes	+$41	06-12 16:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$145	150	0	+150	No	+$4	04-04 16:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$141	229	0	+229	No	-$141	06-22 14:03
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$137	144	0	+144	No	+$6	03-08 15:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$110	102	102	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:20 UTC	1	$100	104	0	+104	Up	+$4	04-18 13:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$76	81	0	+81	Yes	+$5	03-04 01:32
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$52	60	60	+0	No	+$35	03-08 14:18
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	2	$50	68	0	+68	Spain	+$18	07-10 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 20:04:38	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x124297…
07-10 20:03:53	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x8f2724…
07-10 20:03:38	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xff9ce9…
07-10 19:01:07	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x30e0fc…
07-10 19:00:35	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x294ac8…
07-02 13:50:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x853eab…
07-02 13:49:35	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	285	96¢	$272	0xc4740e…
07-02 13:29:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x74a567…
06-28 12:06:35	Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,344	100¢	$1,342	0x5c3242…
06-26 23:45:26	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	303	68¢	$206	0x0081a9…
06-22 14:03:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0xa369b4…
06-22 13:49:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xc7d72e…
06-22 13:35:19	Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x1aeb4a…
06-16 15:17:17	will xauusd reach 4800 in june 2026	No	BUY	227	96¢	$217	0x5bc616…
06-14 22:33:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xe801be…
06-14 22:13:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x22d335…
06-12 16:02:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xfbadf7…
06-12 15:38:58	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	103	43¢	$44	0x947991…
06-12 15:38:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	102	54¢	$55	0x7f157f…
06-12 15:37:24	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	103	47¢	$48	0xf51bb7…
06-12 15:36:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0xfa594a…
06-12 15:23:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	545	99¢	$542	0x6233c4…
06-06 20:50:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x2aa77e…
06-06 20:48:33	Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	950	99¢	$943	0xec7876…
06-06 20:47:43	Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x5de623…
06-06 20:47:40	Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x4cb334…
06-02 14:32:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	545	96¢	$525	0xbea427…
06-02 14:32:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	517	100¢	$516	0xd9f79a…
05-25 18:45:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	413	97¢	$400	0xa41780…
05-25 18:45:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xe6561b…
04-24 20:54:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	81	39¢	$32	0x4805ad…
04-23 23:16:02	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xc41313…
04-23 23:15:10	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0xb9762a…
04-23 23:14:56	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x43ec68…
04-23 23:14:22	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x7f843f…
04-23 23:12:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x08c83f…
04-21 20:22:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x065f40…
04-21 19:07:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0xf3c41f…
04-19 12:15:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xc78241…
04-19 12:00:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xc3758e…
04-18 22:45:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xfe7b48…
04-18 22:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	903	33¢	$300	0xde2835…
04-18 13:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x4f530a…
04-18 13:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	447	99¢	$442	0x2a9e86…
04-18 13:24:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xab8184…
04-04 16:40:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0x072370…
03-08 15:03:37	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	110	96¢	$105	0x0894d2…
03-08 15:02:45	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xad7ec6…
03-08 14:19:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	97	97¢	$94	0x3b9904…
03-08 14:19:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x474137…
03-08 14:18:03	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0x44abc5…
03-08 14:02:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xb5dfc6…
03-07 14:39:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	80	84¢	$67	0xd5f449…
03-07 14:39:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	120	84¢	$101	0x5c9584…
03-05 01:52:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	99	82¢	$81	0x8232fc…
03-04 01:32:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0xc04759…
03-04 01:31:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xac7065…
03-04 01:23:27	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0xb2355d…
03-04 01:22:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x607546…
03-04 01:22:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x493099…
02-22 17:52:06	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	284	99¢	$281	0x2c0fee…
02-21 22:38:52	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	277	99¢	$274	0x266ca8…
02-21 22:35:02	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0xc82c94…
02-21 22:34:38	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x2761b2…
02-14 21:30:17	mwoh usa den 2026 02 14	USA	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x807d6d…
02-14 20:52:49	mwoh usa den 2026 02 14	USA	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xd4f662…
02-14 20:34:05	mwoh usa den 2026 02 14	USA	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x7b1d2e…
02-14 20:22:39	mwoh usa den 2026 02 14	USA	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd53143…
02-14 19:56:11	mwoh usa den 2026 02 14	USA	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xd2f591…
02-09 03:03:57	will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9cc549…
02-08 18:45:15	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd68517…