Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,601
Trades
90
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$1,455
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-07
last 06-29 12:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $0 | $318 | $318 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $1 | $689 | $689 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $7 | $362 | $356 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $325 | $324 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $131 | $131 |
| Below median | 8 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 23 | $6 | $921 | $915 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x7706…815c | No | +341 | $341 | $341 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +316 | $315 | $315 | 1 | 06-19 00:42 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +300 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +284 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 05:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +249 | $1 | $1 | 7 | 06-25 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +244 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 06-09 05:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +137 | $1 | $3 | 24 | 06-29 12:38 |
| Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | +109 | $108 | $108 | 5 | 06-09 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc172…93ac | No | +108 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 06-25 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x225d…7424 | No | +103 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-25 12:08 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-19 00:42 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-12 07:02 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-19 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x022c…7a01 | No | +70 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 06-16 06:07 |
| Itchy-Birch 0x8157…b5a0 | No | +51 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-25 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 06:07 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 12:36 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e94…79a1 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-09 05:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:48 |
| Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 08:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a02…522d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 20:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 12:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd9ac41… |
| 06-29 12:38:01 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xd9ac41… |
| 06-29 12:35:07 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x8e146a… |
| 06-29 12:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e146a… |
| 06-29 12:32:10 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d1840… |
| 06-29 12:32:10 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x8d1840… |
| 06-29 12:29:41 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xc95a45… |
| 06-29 12:29:41 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc95a45… |
| 06-29 03:31:58 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xeb4909… |
| 06-29 03:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb4909… |
| 06-29 03:28:35 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcae561… |
| 06-29 03:28:35 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xcae561… |
| 06-29 00:29:47 | Concrete-Handrail 0xe301…be70 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x31a755… |
| 06-29 00:29:47 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x31a755… |
| 06-29 00:28:02 | Concrete-Handrail 0xe301…be70 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x2c3921… |
| 06-29 00:28:02 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c3921… |
| 06-28 23:04:44 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x4130f9… |
| 06-28 23:04:44 | Concrete-Handrail 0xe301…be70 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x4130f9… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x7706…815c | No | BUY | 341 | 100¢ | $341 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:48:40 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bc4eb… |
| 06-25 15:35:52 | (anonymous) 0xc172…93ac | No | BUY | 108 | 100¢ | $108 | 0xe8929b… |
| 06-25 15:35:52 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8929b… |
| 06-25 15:35:52 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8929b… |
| 06-25 15:35:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8929b… |
| 06-25 15:34:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x934bd7… |
| 06-25 15:34:11 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x934bd7… |
| 06-25 15:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2e5b4… |
| 06-25 15:30:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2e5b4… |
| 06-25 15:26:38 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x392164… |
| 06-25 15:26:38 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x392164… |
| 06-25 15:23:01 | Itchy-Birch 0x8157…b5a0 | No | BUY | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0xe05a82… |
| 06-25 15:23:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe05a82… |
| 06-25 12:08:38 | (anonymous) 0x225d…7424 | No | BUY | 103 | 100¢ | $103 | 0xdd1a3d… |
| 06-25 12:08:38 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 103 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd1a3d… |
| 06-19 00:42:37 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdafc3b… |
| 06-19 00:42:37 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdafc3b… |
| 06-19 00:42:37 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | BUY | 316 | 100¢ | $315 | 0xdafc3b… |
| 06-19 00:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdafc3b… |
| 06-16 06:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x022c…7a01 | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $69 | 0x56af78… |
| 06-16 06:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56af78… |
| 06-16 06:07:07 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56af78… |
| 06-15 12:36:33 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x88e2e0… |
| 06-15 12:36:33 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x88e2e0… |
| 06-12 20:56:15 | (anonymous) 0x9a02…522d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd2cc7e… |
| 06-12 20:56:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2cc7e… |
| 06-12 07:02:16 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | SELL | 235 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x759675… |
| 06-12 07:02:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 53 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x759675… |
| 06-12 07:02:16 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x759675… |
| 06-12 07:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x759675… |
| 06-09 09:03:24 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x881d3a… |
| 06-09 09:03:24 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x881d3a… |
| 06-09 05:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x3e94…79a1 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x20fea3… |
| 06-09 05:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 244 | 98¢ | $240 | 0x20fea3… |
| 06-09 05:16:48 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 284 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x20fea3… |
| 06-09 05:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x20fea3… |
| 06-09 02:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x02edc3… |
| 06-09 02:59:18 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x02edc3… |
| 06-08 19:44:42 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x151bfc… |
| 06-08 19:44:42 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x151bfc… |
| 06-08 19:44:42 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 39 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x151bfc… |
| 06-08 08:36:03 | Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x765641… |
| 06-08 08:36:03 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x765641… |
| 06-08 04:15:19 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x63f873… |
| 06-08 04:15:19 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x63f873… |
| 06-08 04:09:49 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x2d759f… |
| 06-08 04:09:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x2d759f… |
| 06-07 18:40:37 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0xa7fe55… |
| 06-07 18:40:37 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0xa7fe55… |
| 06-07 15:30:31 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab69b9… |
| 06-07 15:30:31 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0xab69b9… |