Concrete-Handrail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

314

Trades

670

lifetime

Volume

$8.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-30 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

76% 80% +$1

Crypto

18% 77% +$0

Politics

3% 90% +$0

Sports

2% 60% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		+3	$3	100¢	$3	$0	10-24 02:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-31 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on July 5?	5	$62	31	31	-0	No	$0	07-05 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 25?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-25 13:15
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-20 02:45
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-27 17:17
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-04 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 12?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-12 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 10?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-09 23:30
bitcoin above 70k on july 13 2026	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-12 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 30?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-30 13:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-18 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 21?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-20 21:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-28 22:30
Will Seoul have between 130-140mm of precipitation in May?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-30 23:21
will bitcoin reach 70k june 22 28 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-27 23:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 6?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-06 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on July 4?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-03 19:50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on June 29?	7	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-29 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 29?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-29 05:55
Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.50 in June?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-14 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 24?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-23 22:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 13?	2	$54	28	26	+2	No	+$0	07-13 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on June 27?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-27 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 20?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-20 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on June 29?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-28 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 28?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on May 15?	4	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-15 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on July 6?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-06 08:38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 92°F or higher on July 13?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-13 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on June 1?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-31 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:10:45	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6bfb9c…
10-30 08:09:49	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x41c871…
10-24 02:33:17	Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0c1cfd…
10-13 15:37:13	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x94fff2…
10-11 11:48:31	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x873054…
10-05 21:50:19	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe20432…
10-05 21:49:26	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfd2108…
10-05 21:48:35	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x75b2fe…
10-05 21:47:44	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x74d6b3…
10-05 21:46:53	Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x44f03b…
09-26 16:33:44	Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x373e14…
09-24 14:19:20	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x25c9cd…
08-26 13:32:31	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3dac2c…
08-25 05:52:13	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x751c7a…
08-12 01:51:09	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x15bcdd…
08-07 15:11:46	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x243409…
08-06 09:51:57	Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf8d11a…
07-29 16:52:06	Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b6fb5…
07-25 18:25:16	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37eefe…
07-16 06:55:29	Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2cc04c…
07-15 17:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6f630b…
07-14 17:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 15?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x511792…
07-14 16:00:20	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x430a74…
07-14 15:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x95a53b…
07-14 13:40:28	wti closes above 72 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5645bb…
07-14 12:30:40	Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.50 in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xeac40a…
07-14 11:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa7edca…
07-14 09:31:16	Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.50 in June?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd95f2c…
07-14 09:30:26	Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.50 in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd1eb86…
07-14 09:14:40	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xea32e8…
07-14 08:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3269e1…
07-14 05:52:34	Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.50 in June?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x87aa56…
07-13 18:39:37	Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.50 in June?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd102d6…
07-13 16:40:52	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb17819…
07-13 13:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4b72b1…
07-13 12:55:49	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb35464…
07-13 09:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 13?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xba3a80…
07-13 08:02:28	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaab3c0…
07-13 04:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x346d44…
07-13 03:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1d6052…
07-13 03:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0b5dbd…
07-13 02:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc0f9cd…
07-13 01:13:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 92°F or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6ac334…
07-13 01:09:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 92°F or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9589c0…
07-13 01:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 13?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x757964…
07-13 00:03:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 92°F or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x117f4d…
07-12 18:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xae68c9…
07-12 16:21:23	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 13?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x908ea9…
07-12 15:24:38	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xec0f2d…
07-12 11:17:47	bitcoin above 70k on july 13 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1c4d6c…
07-12 11:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb9565d…
07-12 10:46:53	bitcoin above 70k on july 13 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x98b301…
07-12 10:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x41b3d4…
07-12 07:03:55	bitcoin above 70k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd38d58…
07-12 07:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x94395f…
07-12 07:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x09e2dd…
07-12 03:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8afe79…
07-12 02:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 12?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8e8ccd…
07-12 00:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb4c4a…
07-12 00:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa63b66…
07-12 00:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbb4061…
07-12 00:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7733c8…
07-12 00:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xde7e3e…
07-11 23:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x172a6b…
07-11 20:07:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 12?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xab828a…
07-11 19:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x520333…
07-11 18:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf60373…
07-11 18:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x37e77a…
07-11 17:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6a79ea…
07-11 17:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x433c89…
07-11 14:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x529af6…
07-11 08:27:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 12?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x7081b5…
07-11 06:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on July 12?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x01fe14…
07-11 06:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x4ed241…
07-11 04:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on July 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xee9a3d…
07-11 00:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf13e43…
07-10 16:59:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xca900d…
07-10 13:59:34	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbefd1f…
07-10 13:53:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8fe9a1…
07-10 12:40:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 10?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xca2277…
07-10 12:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x444098…
07-10 11:57:46	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x797a78…
07-10 10:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x14241c…
07-10 08:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xef6763…
07-10 06:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x44c4dc…
07-10 05:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xf90cfe…
07-10 04:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C or below on July 11?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9d18e8…
07-10 04:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1e7ea…
07-10 01:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C or below on July 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xee565c…
07-09 23:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on July 9?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5b740f…
07-09 23:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 9?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8b9f93…
07-09 23:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 10?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x4d11cd…
07-09 03:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcb85f9…
07-08 17:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7829a7…
07-08 07:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe6398a…
07-07 13:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 7?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xfff405…
07-07 12:29:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x1c6b4e…
07-07 06:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 7?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xeea0b5…
07-07 01:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 7?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x58adb6…
07-07 01:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 7?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdb02a7…