Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,473
Trades
53
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$6,155
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-04 15:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $271
vs crowd: 2% YES on $713)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $624 | $624 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $11 | $76 | $65 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $271 | $271 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 15 | $11 | $429 | $418 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +365 | $353 | $353 | 2 | 06-27 15:48 |
| Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | +282 | $271 | $271 | 7 | 07-04 15:14 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +81 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 07-04 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 07-04 15:11 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x413f…7928 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-28 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-04 13:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 15:14:14 | (anonymous) 0xee2d…dcc9 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf333d9… |
| 07-04 15:14:14 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf333d9… |
| 07-04 15:13:13 | (anonymous) 0xee2d…dcc9 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8eeee5… |
| 07-04 15:13:13 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8eeee5… |
| 07-04 15:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x473348… |
| 07-04 15:11:14 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 90 | 98¢ | $88 | 0x473348… |
| 07-04 15:11:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x473348… |
| 07-04 15:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x399c…190e | Yes | SELL | 241 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x473348… |
| 07-04 15:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x473348… |
| 07-04 15:11:14 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | No | SELL | 95 | 99¢ | $93 | 0x473348… |
| 07-04 15:10:52 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 241 | 96¢ | $231 | 0x656f43… |
| 07-04 15:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x399c…190e | Yes | BUY | 241 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x656f43… |
| 07-04 14:40:44 | (anonymous) 0xc241…734a | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x4d9c01… |
| 07-04 14:40:44 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4d9c01… |
| 07-04 14:40:22 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe3af18… |
| 07-04 14:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xc241…734a | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe3af18… |
| 07-04 14:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x4433…c02c | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x6a9b56… |
| 07-04 14:29:20 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x6a9b56… |
| 07-04 14:29:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x448554… |
| 07-04 14:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x4433…c02c | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x448554… |
| 07-04 14:20:53 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x7b231a… |
| 07-04 14:20:53 | (anonymous) 0x63d5…963b | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x7b231a… |
| 07-04 14:20:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x85c060… |
| 07-04 14:20:25 | (anonymous) 0x63d5…963b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x85c060… |
| 07-04 13:40:58 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x24c2e7… |
| 07-04 13:40:58 | (anonymous) 0xc59e…bada | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x24c2e7… |
| 07-04 13:40:58 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x24c2e7… |
| 07-04 13:40:38 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x3918f9… |
| 07-04 13:40:38 | (anonymous) 0xc59e…bada | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x3918f9… |
| 06-27 15:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdc3628… |
| 06-27 15:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xdc3628… |
| 06-27 15:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 165 | 96¢ | $159 | 0xdc3628… |
| 06-27 15:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdc3628… |
| 06-27 15:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x012d…1c53 | No | SELL | 400 | 97¢ | $387 | 0xdc3628… |
| 06-18 06:13:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc6bc8e… |
| 06-18 06:13:56 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc6bc8e… |
| 06-18 06:13:56 | (anonymous) 0xd5ee…dc0d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc6bc8e… |
| 06-17 20:51:14 | (anonymous) 0xd5ee…dc0d | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6ae4dc… |
| 06-17 20:51:14 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6ae4dc… |
| 06-17 20:51:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6ae4dc… |
| 06-14 13:22:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc6ffd6… |
| 06-14 13:22:03 | (anonymous) 0xdc3c…4127 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xc6ffd6… |
| 06-11 01:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x838f02… |
| 06-11 01:40:33 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x838f02… |
| 06-11 01:40:33 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x838f02… |
| 06-11 01:40:33 | Cumbersome-Driveway 0x2901…f4d6 | No | SELL | 300 | 98¢ | $294 | 0x838f02… |
| 06-11 01:40:33 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x838f02… |
| 06-05 08:26:15 | Shabby-Team 0xc3f5…697b | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67d60e… |
| 06-05 08:26:15 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67d60e… |
| 05-28 03:57:58 | (anonymous) 0x413f…7928 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x8abeda… |
| 05-28 03:57:58 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8abeda… |
| 05-27 21:02:26 | Shabby-Team 0xc3f5…697b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb8c19… |
| 05-27 21:02:26 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb8c19… |