Realized P&L
+$590
Unrealized P&L
+$106
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
4,074
Trades
55,641
lifetime
Volume
$103.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$62
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-25 02:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
50% 33% +$627
Politics
22% 41% +$338
Crypto
15% 36% -$241
Sports
11% 21% -$142
Tech
1% 38% +$54
Pop-Culture
0% 19% -$45
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -100 -$24 18¢ $-18 +$6 05-26 16:53
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes -97 -$4 9¢ $-8 -$4 05-23 11:09
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No -126 -$24 6¢ $-7 +$17 05-31 19:51
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -159 -$14 3¢ $-4 +$10 05-22 17:49
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? Yes -96 -$4 4¢ $-4 $0 06-09 09:10
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$3 3¢ $-3 -$1 05-26 20:11
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes -62 -$3 4¢ $-2 +$1 05-23 09:13
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No -100 -$5 2¢ $-2 +$3 06-09 23:49
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 +$0 06-13 13:43
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -100 -$5 2¢ $-2 +$3 06-02 23:45
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$6 2¢ $-2 +$4 05-24 21:04
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$3 1¢ $-1 +$2 05-22 09:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes -127 -$1 1¢ $-1 $0 06-16 11:51
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -100 -$6 1¢ $-1 +$5 05-22 04:58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes -100 -$45 1¢ $-1 +$44 06-01 04:10
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes -100 -$11 0¢ $-0 +$11 05-22 13:28
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -22 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 05-22 12:58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -149 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-31 11:11
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes -11 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 06-04 17:47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes -40 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-28 05:44
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes -100 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 05-26 15:51
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -100 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-12 20:02
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-27 18:16
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-26 01:30
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? Yes -51 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 06:33
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes -15 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-31 22:50
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes -2 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-29 17:22
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -28 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-23 20:04