Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
25.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
55,509
lifetime
Volume
$103.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$64
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-21 07:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
50% 43% $-0
Politics
22% 67% $-1
Crypto
15% 100% +$0
Sports
11% 30% $-4
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No -126 $-24 20¢ $-25 $-1 05-31 19:51
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -120 $-15 $-8 +$8 06-01 22:40
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -100 $-2 $-5 $-3 06-13 13:43
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No -100 $-5 $-5 $-0 06-09 23:49
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -100 $-5 $-4 +$0 06-02 23:45
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? Yes -103 $-3 $-4 $-0 06-04 19:08
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? Yes -100 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-11 01:40
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -83 $-3 $-3 $-0 06-05 15:31
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? Yes -78 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-09 09:10
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -44 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-11 19:55
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? Yes -110 $-2 $-0 +$1 06-15 09:09
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -11 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-17 13:30
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes -11 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-04 17:47
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -100 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-12 09:01
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-29 17:22
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-05 16:23
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -53 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-30 04:45
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok? Yes -53 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 10:11
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? Yes -75 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-09 15:37
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes -11 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 11:12
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-12 17:23
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-21 07:19
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 14¢ $-0 +$0 06-05 14:55