Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$143
Trades
24
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$4,834
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-02
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-06 10:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $15 | $15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $28 | $28 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | $28 | $28 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teeming-Technician 0x52e5…920a | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-06 10:42 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-28 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 23:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 23:13 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 03:35 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 22:55 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 22:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-06 10:42:27 | Teeming-Technician 0x52e5…920a | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x139974… |
| 06-06 10:42:27 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x139974… |
| 06-01 23:13:50 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa9834c… |
| 06-01 23:13:50 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xa9834c… |
| 06-01 23:13:50 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa9834c… |
| 06-01 22:55:55 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x955b16… |
| 06-01 22:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x955b16… |
| 06-01 18:27:40 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x03f7d1… |
| 06-01 18:27:40 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03f7d1… |
| 06-01 18:27:26 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x724e0e… |
| 06-01 18:27:26 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x724e0e… |
| 05-31 11:30:34 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3dc7be… |
| 05-31 11:30:34 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x3dc7be… |
| 05-31 06:41:56 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf7fa94… |
| 05-31 06:41:56 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf7fa94… |
| 05-31 06:40:32 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x20dae5… |
| 05-31 06:40:32 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x20dae5… |
| 05-31 06:39:10 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6eec6… |
| 05-31 06:39:10 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xd6eec6… |
| 05-31 06:36:43 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc95126… |
| 05-31 06:36:43 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc95126… |
| 05-28 03:35:41 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x843ae1… |
| 05-28 03:35:41 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x843ae1… |
| 05-28 03:35:41 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x843ae1… |