Realized P&L
+$94
Unrealized P&L
+$1.69K
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
3,675
lifetime
Volume
$877.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$239
Open exposure
$44.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-10 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
53% 89% +$109
Politics
39% 100% +$2
Tech
4%
Crypto
2% 40% $-27
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 351 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +8,867 $5,519 90¢ $8.0K +$2,506 06-07 11:40
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +8,196 $7,323 89¢ $7.3K $-11 06-09 23:58
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +5,624 $5,613 100¢ $5.6K $-12 06-06 18:25
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +7,121 $3,503 49¢ $3.5K +$4 06-03 12:09
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No -3,890 $-3,468 90¢ $-3495 $-27 06-08 07:36
Over $20M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +2,836 $2,803 99¢ $2.8K $-7 06-10 01:13
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +2,092 $1,928 94¢ $2.0K +$48 06-09 08:41
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1,506 $1,428 96¢ $1.4K +$10 06-09 08:42
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes +1,436 $1,431 100¢ $1.4K +$0 06-10 00:30
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1,451 $1,341 92¢ $1.3K +$1 06-09 09:30
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +1,175 $1,131 95¢ $1.1K $-15 06-10 01:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +1,000 $984 99¢ $992 +$9 06-04 01:25
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No -1,000 $-852 84¢ $-845 +$7 06-01 09:21
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No +745 $719 100¢ $741 +$22 06-01 13:23
Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +741 $732 99¢ $734 +$2 06-08 05:05
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027? No +433 $391 93¢ $402 +$11 06-09 19:23
Over $15M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +400 $394 98¢ $392 $-3 06-09 08:43
Over $300M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +284 $282 99¢ $282 +$1 06-07 19:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2,950 $1,184 10¢ $280 $-904 05-29 22:58
James Comey in jail by June 30? No +254 $251 98¢ $250 $-1 06-08 18:43
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +500 $245 50¢ $247 +$2 06-08 08:04
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30? No -243 $-243 94¢ $-230 +$14 06-05 17:55
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30? No +208 $206 99¢ $206 +$1 06-07 19:38
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +228 $166 87¢ $198 +$32 06-10 01:55
Over $50M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +189 $186 99¢ $186 +$0 06-07 19:13
Over $4M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +149 $137 94¢ $140 +$3 06-06 00:27
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027? No +152 $134 92¢ $139 +$5 06-09 19:22
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027? No +129 $118 82¢ $106 $-12 06-09 19:26
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 No +101 $100 99¢ $100 $-0 06-07 19:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$1 06-09 23:29