Accurate-Geyser 0x31abc8…2f86cf
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$94
Unrealized P&L
+$5.01K
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
5,268
lifetime
Volume
$1.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$235
Open exposure
$78.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-30 12:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
56% 89% +$109
Politics
30% 100% +$2
Tech
12% — —
Crypto
2% 40% $-27
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 351 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +25,362 $24,839 100¢ $25.2K +$408 06-30 07:18
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +12,515 $11,367 99¢ $12.4K +$1,054 06-29 23:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +8,867 $5,519 100¢ $8.8K +$3,309 06-07 11:40
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -4,256 $-3,955 94¢ $-4022 $-67 06-22 15:49
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No -3,857 $-3,448 99¢ $-3834 $-386 06-13 04:05
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +3,051 $2,880 97¢ $3.0K +$92 06-30 11:06
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +2,511 $2,391 99¢ $2.5K +$105 06-30 08:39
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No +2,270 $2,256 99¢ $2.3K $-4 06-30 09:42
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +2,020 $1,892 99¢ $2.0K +$116 06-30 08:03
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1,948 $1,848 100¢ $1.9K +$95 06-29 20:29
Will Puffpaw launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +1,632 $1,616 100¢ $1.6K +$13 06-27 00:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +1,000 $984 100¢ $999 +$15 06-04 01:25
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +954 $950 100¢ $953 +$2 06-27 18:26
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027? No +926 $840 94¢ $873 +$33 06-28 01:54
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +806 $758 100¢ $802 +$44 06-29 04:58
Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +803 $793 100¢ $800 +$7 06-27 03:52
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No +745 $719 100¢ $744 +$25 06-01 13:23
Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +749 $744 99¢ $744 $-0 06-27 18:32
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No -802 $-688 82¢ $-662 +$26 06-29 00:40
James Comey in jail by June 30? No +624 $619 100¢ $622 +$3 06-29 04:57
Over $15M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +598 $589 100¢ $597 +$8 06-27 03:48
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -1,196 $-597 50¢ $-593 +$4 06-16 09:25
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +491 $402 98¢ $483 +$81 06-30 01:01
Over $300M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No -293 $-295 100¢ $-293 +$2 06-24 17:31
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No +283 $268 100¢ $282 +$14 06-21 00:20
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +220 $218 100¢ $219 +$2 06-30 08:41
Over $4M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +206 $201 100¢ $205 +$4 06-30 08:37
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? No +164 $152 95¢ $157 +$4 06-25 22:39
Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +140 $137 100¢ $140 +$3 06-23 22:35
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +163 $142 84¢ $138 $-4 06-19 19:14