Realized P&L
+$137
Unrealized P&L
+$225
Hit rate
79.4%
Resolved
508
Trades
11,571
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$161
Open exposure
$2.84K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 10-03 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
49% 92% +$4,672
Politics
38% 81% -$6,912
Tech
12% 96% +$2,339
Crypto
1% 67% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$25
Sports
0% 75% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +500 $496 100¢ $499 +$3 05-18 12:54
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +500 $496 99¢ $496 +$1 05-18 13:30
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +500 $464 98¢ $490 +$26 05-25 20:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -500 -$390 96¢ $-480 -$90 07-02 08:07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$225 38¢ $-240 -$15 05-18 23:09
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -150 -$318 96¢ $-143 +$174 06-22 15:49
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +123 $115 97¢ $119 +$4 05-14 17:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$154 18¢ $-112 +$42 05-19 02:33
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $91 94¢ $94 +$3 05-14 17:25
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$25 4¢ $-22 +$3 05-18 16:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$24 17¢ $-17 +$7 05-14 17:31
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$9 16¢ $-16 -$7 05-14 17:31
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$5 2¢ $-16 -$11 05-18 16:17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$6 15¢ $-15 -$9 05-14 17:31
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$32 3¢ $-15 +$16 05-19 13:53
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$18 2¢ $-11 +$7 05-21 17:31
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$6 2¢ $-9 -$4 05-18 20:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -500 -$70 2¢ $-8 +$62 07-02 08:07
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$5 5¢ $-5 $0 05-14 17:31
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$4 5¢ $-5 -$1 05-14 17:31
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$8 1¢ $-5 +$3 05-19 00:46
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$5 1¢ $-5 +$0 05-18 20:22
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$3 4¢ $-4 -$1 05-14 17:31
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$7 0¢ $-3 +$4 05-20 11:23
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 -$1 05-14 17:31
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -123 -$2 2¢ $-2 $0 05-14 18:29
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$5 0¢ $-2 +$3 05-18 16:17
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$6 0¢ $-2 +$3 05-18 20:22
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$1 0¢ $-2 -$1 07-25 08:56
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -623 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 05-18 16:16