Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027?
open
Total volume
$613
Trades
57
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$92
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-09
last 07-26 08:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $18 | $315 | $297 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $36 | $14 | +$22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $7 | $18 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $41 | $155 | $114 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $3 | $174 | $171 |
| Median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| unranked | 5 | $13 | $19 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +181 | $155 | $155 | 3 | 07-10 16:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +149 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 07-11 06:01 |
| Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | Yes | +60 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-11 14:04 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 07-26 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-11 14:04 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-19 17:21 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-21 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | +12 | $3 | $41 | 10 | 07-24 09:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 08:22:06 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x779471… |
| 07-26 08:22:06 | Deadly-Word 0x8ee1…377a | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x779471… |
| 07-24 09:42:57 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x33cecf… |
| 07-24 09:42:57 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x33cecf… |
| 07-23 07:39:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xff1195… |
| 07-23 07:39:04 | Deadly-Word 0x8ee1…377a | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xff1195… |
| 07-20 13:33:33 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x63bc36… |
| 07-20 13:33:33 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x63bc36… |
| 07-13 09:30:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x2be9de… |
| 07-13 09:30:52 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x2be9de… |
| 07-11 14:04:29 | Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | Yes | BUY | 60 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x623295… |
| 07-11 14:04:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x623295… |
| 07-11 14:04:29 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x623295… |
| 07-11 14:04:29 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x623295… |
| 07-11 06:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x3dc715… |
| 07-11 06:02:02 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x3dc715… |
| 07-11 06:01:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x28e379… |
| 07-11 06:01:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x28e379… |
| 07-11 06:01:56 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x28e379… |
| 07-11 06:01:52 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x381dd6… |
| 07-11 06:01:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x381dd6… |
| 07-11 06:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x389a2a… |
| 07-11 06:01:49 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x389a2a… |
| 07-10 16:36:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xd3fc78… |
| 07-10 16:36:01 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 57¢ | $12 | 0xd3fc78… |
| 07-03 13:30:31 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x819705… |
| 07-03 13:30:31 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x819705… |
| 06-29 11:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x03ab3e… |
| 06-29 11:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x03ab3e… |
| 06-29 11:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x03ab3e… |
| 06-25 08:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x8082a3… |
| 06-25 08:46:05 | Putrid-Partridge 0x507a…be1f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8082a3… |
| 06-25 08:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x8082a3… |
| 06-21 05:24:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0xfcd2fe… |
| 06-21 05:24:56 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0xfcd2fe… |
| 06-21 05:24:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 126 | 91¢ | $115 | 0x4dd7cf… |
| 06-21 05:24:32 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 126 | 91¢ | $115 | 0x4dd7cf… |
| 06-21 05:24:19 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xa93b41… |
| 06-21 05:24:19 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xa93b41… |
| 06-19 17:21:52 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xdca167… |
| 06-19 17:21:52 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdca167… |
| 06-19 17:21:44 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x384258… |
| 06-19 17:21:44 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x384258… |
| 06-19 17:21:37 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x01ae7c… |
| 06-19 17:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x01ae7c… |
| 06-19 17:21:37 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x01ae7c… |
| 06-16 16:41:44 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x39a256… |
| 06-16 16:41:44 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x39a256… |
| 06-16 15:25:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7f58e3… |
| 06-16 15:25:19 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7f58e3… |
| 06-10 17:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x93bbaa… |
| 06-10 17:21:07 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x93bbaa… |
| 06-10 10:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3bc5bf… |
| 06-10 10:46:34 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3bc5bf… |
| 06-09 19:26:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 9¢ | $11 | 0xa6c053… |
| 06-09 19:26:40 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 129 | 91¢ | $118 | 0xa6c053… |
| 06-09 19:26:40 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa6c053… |