Realized P&L
+$831
Unrealized P&L
-$174
Hit rate
97.4%
Resolved
28
Trades
7,595
lifetime
Volume
$2.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$291
Open exposure
$9.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
89% 92% +$265
Crypto
6% 75% +$566
Politics
4%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -2,569 $-2,246 90¢ $-2299 $-53 06-06 01:52
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -1,705 $-1,562 92¢ $-1562 $-0 06-04 13:49
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -1,045 $-990 93¢ $-971 +$19 05-29 07:30
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30? No -754 $-458 94¢ $-705 $-247 06-03 23:08
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No +667 $621 94¢ $630 +$8 06-08 17:30
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +1,433 $520 38¢ $537 +$18 06-08 00:16
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No -508 $-399 91¢ $-462 $-63 06-01 19:25
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +800 $264 40¢ $324 +$60 05-29 20:37
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? No +1,082 $401 29¢ $314 $-87 06-06 14:56
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +288 $202 90¢ $258 +$57 06-02 19:19
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -235 $-229 98¢ $-230 $-1 05-30 05:59
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -500 $-174 36¢ $-180 $-6 06-06 18:41
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -191 $-161 73¢ $-140 +$21 06-03 04:23
3Jane FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -189 $-110 53¢ $-101 +$9 06-02 19:21
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +70 $65 98¢ $69 +$3 06-05 17:03
Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30? No -83 $-69 76¢ $-64 +$5 05-30 05:29
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No -47 $-90 84¢ $-39 +$51 06-02 21:33
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes +667 $37 $38 +$1 06-08 17:44
Tuyo FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +41 $30 88¢ $36 +$6 06-08 00:36
Tuyo FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +28 $23 86¢ $24 +$2 06-07 19:12
City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +46 $5 38¢ $18 +$13 06-07 19:53
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20? No -21 $-16 70¢ $-15 +$2 06-05 16:32
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-12 76¢ $-12 $-1 05-29 09:27
3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +21 $-11 56¢ $12 +$23 06-09 12:32
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +63 $3 11¢ $7 +$3 06-01 08:37
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +300 $33 $6 $-27 06-02 19:21
Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026? No +28 $6 21¢ $6 +$0 06-01 13:56
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -20 $-15 29¢ $-6 +$9 05-30 05:59
Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +36 $1 $3 +$1 06-01 06:03
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -3 $-1 44¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 05:25